Chain Reaction Research

Chain Reaction Research: How does the Palm Oil Spot Market Contribute to Deforestation?

On 22 July, Chain Reaction Research (CRR) held a webinar to present their findings on a rather interesting subject matter: spot markets.

The spot market refers to one-off transactions that occur outside of long-term contracts, and are typically used by suppliers to get rid of surplus stock and buyers to plug shortfalls in capacity. This is antithesis of the usual business models of long-term contracts, and while transactions made via the spot market are estimated to be much fewer compared to the those long-term contracts, the spot market does pose some degree of risk to No Deforestation, No Peat, No Exploitation (NDPE) compliance.

Here are a few key points and findings by CRR:

  1. Unsurprisingly, there is little transparency by companies when it comes to disclosing information regarding spot market transactions. A good case study would be Sime Darby—between 2017 and 2020, seven non-compliant suppliers entered the company’s supply chain via spot purchases, one of which was PT Saraswati Utama, a company that was heavily linked to illegal deforestation. Sime Darby acknowledged the purchase, but maintained that since it was made on the spot market, it does not have any real link to PT Saraswati Utama.

  2. Purchases made by companies on the spot market appears to be opportunistic in nature rather than a preferred business strategy. Genting and Sawit Sumbermas Sarana are two examples of companies that use the spot market but are currently adopting different business models. For suppliers, however, the spot market can be a viable business model, even if the purchases made are materially insignificant for the buyers. An example would be Palma Serasih, a company suspended from the NDPE market after being found to have cleared 6,500 ha of forestland in East Kalimantan between Jan 2016 and May 2020. In the first quarter of 2020, Palma Serasih’s biggest buyers were LDC and Sime Darby, with Sime Darby confirming that it made two spot purchases of insignificant material from Palma Serasih earlier in 2020.

  3. CRR identifies spot markets as a threat to NDPE compliance due to: 1) the lack of transparency; 2) information on the supply base not being provided until after the purchase is made; 3) the nature of a one-off transaction negates the incentives for a supplier to comply with the NDPE; and 4) the limited incentives to commit to NDPE since companies can still generate enough revenue from spot market transactions alone, i.e. Palma Serasih.

Chain Reaction Research: Which Companies are Most Exposed to Deforestation-driven Fires in their Supply Chains?

Chain Reaction Research (CRR) hosted a webinar on 5 June 2020 presenting their findings of one of their most current research: identifying the companies most exposed to deforestation-driven fires in their supply chains. The research was focused on the fires that occurred in Brazil (Amazon-Cerrado transition area) and Indonesia (West Kalimantan and Southeast Sumatra) between July and October 2019. CRR replied on hotspot data obtained from NASA as well as potential buying zones maps from potential buying zones from Imazon (a Brazilian conservation NGO) and company concession boundaries.

The results of the research revealed interesting information:

  • Cattle: When overlaying fire alerts with the potential buying zones, 60% of the total fires recorded were attributed to the top three meatpackers in Brazil—JBS S.A., Marfrig, and Minerva Foods—with JBS S.A. recording the highest risk exposures to fire.

Source: CRR (2020)

Source: CRR (2020)

  • Soy: More fires were found to be within the vicinity of Bunge and Cargill silos than any other main soy traders combined throughout Jul-Oct 2019.

Source: CCR (2020)

Source: CCR (2020)

  • Palm oil (companies): There were almost 15,000 fire alerts that occurred in concessions owned by the top ten companies most affected by the Jul-Oct 2019 Indonesian fires. However, it should be noted that the total number of hotspots for these ten companies comprise only 4% of all alerts recorded during the same period; CCR suggests that the majority of the fires occurred in small-scale holdings and not within company concessions.

Source: CCR (2020)

Source: CCR (2020)

  • Palm oil (traders/refiners): The total number of hotspots recorded within the concession areas of the top 10 traders/refiners in Indonesia with NDPE policies represent 77% of all alerts throughout Jul-Oct 2019.

Source: CCR (2020)

Source: CCR (2020)