Petronas news (update 45): Saudi Aramco not going ahead with Petronas for Johor project - RAPID, Petronas-led LNG project gets Canada approval amidst China deals tilt

26 Jan 2017: Saudi Aramco not going ahead with Petronas for Johor project - RAPID

Saudi Aramco not going ahead with Petronas for Johor project: WSJ 25 January 2017 Read more at http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2017/01/25/saudi-aramco-not-going-ahead-with-petronas-for-johor-project-wsj/#LKtPTGvDSORu0kVq.99

Earlier news:

  • Petronas decision on Rapid deal with Aramco in Dec? 28 OCTOBER 2016 -- Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) is said to be making a final investment decision in December to partner with Saudi Arabian Oil Co (Saudi Aramco) by offering a 50 per cent stake in its refinery and petrochemical integrated development project (Rapid) in Johor. According to the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) report yesterday, if Petronas proceeds with the plan, the two companies will set up a joint-venture company in the first quarter of next year to run the project, with the refinery due to start operating in early 2019. Read More : http://www.nst.com.my/news/2016/10/183983/petronas-decision-rapid-deal-aramco-dec 


  • Petronas-Aramco seek $10b loan for Johor project SEP 30, 2016 - Talks with banks have begun; however, analysts say profit squeeze could force rethink of Canadian gas plans - Malaysia's national oil corporation Petronas and the Saudi Arabian Oil Company (Saudi Aramco) have begun negotiations with Malaysian-based banks to raise a record US$7.5 billion (S$10 billion) syndicated loan to finance a planned refinery and petrochemical complex in Johor. Bankers familiar with the loan syndication said that the 50-50 joint venture between the two international oil giants will be a straight-forward loan ahead of a much larger bond issue further down the road to finance the Refinery and Petrochemical Integrated Development Project, or Rapid, as it is called in the Pengerang industrial zone in Johor. http://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/petronas-aramco-seek-10b-loan-for-johor-project


  • Petronas Could Soon Seal Partnership With Saudi Aramco on $21 Billion Refinery - Malaysia’s state oil firm in December is expected to offer the Saudi Arabian giant a 50% stake in the project By YANTOULTRA NGUI Oct. 27, 2016 http://www.wsj.com/articles/petronas-could-soon-seal-refinery-partnership-with-saudi-aramco-1477545192



Note: Customised news update is available for 29 Sep 2016 - 26 Jan 2017

29 Sep 2016: Petronas-led LNG project gets Canada approval amidst China deals tilt

Editor's note: Canada approves Petronas-led $27 bln LNG complex. Reports say Petronas is in no rush to start. The view from KL is that this is an important plus for Petronas. It's good news as a continued stall would have dragged Petronas - this is its single largest project. A significant stake had been sold to China interests. The view from a Canada businessman is that this is good for Canada. Low oil prices have hit Alberta. LNG is clean fuel, although there is some environmental impact from this project. Note: Canada and China recently signed various state level MOUs. Thus, both Malaysia and Canada have had state-level or G2G agreements with China.

Federal government approves $11.4-billion LNG project in B.C. September 28, 2016 -- Pacific NorthWest LNG has been one of the leading LNG project proposals for several years, along with the Shell-led $25-billion LNG Canada project in Kitimat and the Chevron-led $12-billion Kitimat LNG project. Shell and Chevron have secured federal and provincial environmental approvals, plus First Nations support at the terminal, and significant support along their pipeline routes.....But the Greater Vancouver Board of Trade welcomed the announcement, which it noted is subject to 190 conditions, and includes up to $2.5 billion in annual tax revenue and nearly $3 billion in annual contributions to Canada’s GDP. “The Pacific NorthWest LNG project will energize the Canadian economy,” said the board of trade’s president and CEO, Iain Black. http://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/feds-flying-to-vancouver-for-historic-lng-decision-expected-to-ok-megaproject

Canada approves $36 bn LNG project, eyes Asia 28 Sep 2016 -- The project includes a pipeline and two Petronas terminals to ship gas to Asia. The gas terminals are to be built on Lelu Island, near Prince Rupert on the Pacific coast. Each will have a capacity of six million tons per year, with the possibility of adding a third down the road. The pipeline built by the operator TransCanada must cross 900 kilometers of British Columbia between Hudson's Hope (about 400 kilometers or 250 miles north of Prince George), ending at Lelu Island. The pipeline deal comes after Petronas in late 2012 snapped up Canada's Progress Energy Resources gas producer for USD 5.2 billion.
The deal means heavy LNG traffic through a maze of islands where salmon is a vital resource. However, others were upbeat about job opportunities. The green light for the pipeline project comes a few weeks after a key meeting between federal and provincial governments to define the necessary steps to reduce carbon emissions under last year's Paris climate agreement.
Read more at: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/wire-news/canada-approves-usd-36-bn-lng-project-eyes-asia_7534301.html?utm_source=ref_article

Pacific NorthWest LNG, a consortium comprised of Petroliam Nasional Berhad (Petronas 62%), Japan Petroleum Exploration Company (JAPEX 10%), PetroleumBRUNEI (3%), Indian Oil Corporation (10%) and China Petrochemical Corporation (Sinopec 15%). http://www.hydrocarbons-technology.com/projects/pacific-northwest-lng-project/

Fastest Asia-U.S. Shipping Route? Canada’s Ports http://www.wsj.com/articles/fastest-asia-u-s-shipping-route-canadas-ports-1418335017

China, Canada resolve canola-shipping dispute; to boost trade ties SEPTEMBER 22, 2016 By David Ljunggren and Rod Nickel http://atimes.com/2016/09/china-canada-resolve-canola-shipping-dispute-to-boost-trade-ties/

Strengthening of Canada-China commercial relationship September 1, 2016 http://pm.gc.ca/eng/news/2016/09/01/strengthening-canada-china-commercial-relationship

Canada to Join China-Led Infrastructure Bank in Win for Xi by   Bloomberg News  August 31, 2016 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-08-31/canada-to-join-china-led-infrastructure-bank-in-victory-for-xi


29 August 2016: Sarawak and Sabah reps on Petronas board after Sarawak staffing tussle

After Sarawak, Sabah rep to join Petronas board Sunday August 28, 2016 - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/after-sarawak-sabah-rep-to-join-petronas-board#sthash.49Leg91p.dpuf

Sarawak says ‘not in picture’ over Petronas’ oil production share with foreign firms Sunday August 28, 2016 - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/sarawak-says-not-in-picture-over-petronas-oil-production-share-with-foreign#sthash.m8P0fhWc.dpuf

Petronas, Sarawak resolve seven staffing issues, says Adenan  22 comments      Edward Subeng Stephen, Bernama     Published 27 Aug 2016  https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/353829

End to Petronas-Sarawak controversy  by fintan ng and p aruna 23 August 2016 http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2016/08/23/end-to-controversy/
Sarawak DAP mulls taking Petronas hiring issue to Parliament Tuesday August 23, 2016 - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/sarawak-dap-mulls-taking-petronas-hiring-issue-to-parliament#sthash.ki8Tg7QT.dpuf

Petronas: Most workers needed in Sarawak will be from the state 10 August 2016 | MYT 9:39 AM http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2016/08/10/petronas-most-workers-needed-in-sarawak-will-be-from-the-state/

Work permit freeze due to real hiring bias, Sarawak DCM tells Petronas BY SULOK TAWIE Wednesday August 10, 2016 - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/work-permit-freeze-due-to-real-hiring-bias-sarawak-dcm-tells-petronas#sthash.e8w5lbJt.dpuf

Petronas to explain decision in terminating employees from Sarawak  8 August 2016 | MYT 9:35 PM  http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/08/08/petronas-to-explain-decision-in-terminating-employees-from-sarawak/



14 August 2016: Petronas Sarawak staff retrench woes, oil and gas company woes in Singapore and Malaysia

State will be fair in immigration dealings with Petronas staff: Nancy  August 14, 2016, Sunday Churchill Edward... KUCHING: A Sarawakian minister in the Prime Minister’s Department assured citizens that the state government will be fair in the dealings with immigration involving national petroleum corporation Petronas staff. The minister Nancy Shukri was reacting to the recent action taken by the Sarawak government led by Chief Minister Datuk Patinggi Tan Sri Adenan Satem following grouses expressed by Sarawakians over Petronas selection of manpower. 
Nancy said: “I have been following the arguments on the drastic action taken by the Sarawak state government against Petronas. It was clearly stated by the Sarawak state government that any new applications for work permits from Petronas  have been frozen as a result of complaints from Sarawakian Petronas officers whose services were terminated and retrenched as revealed by Suarah Petroleum Group. (SPG). It is a normal action by the state.”... She added that the action was based on the complaints by the SPG and definitely there was a basis to the complaints. “The action against Petronas was the first after 1963 using the autonomy power of the state through immigration law.... Secondly, it was an isolated and independent action upon receiving complaints from SPG and Sarawakians as a whole. However. she opines sit also reflects that Sarawakians are becoming more aware of their rights under the constitution and the state government has to act accordingly for the interests of Sarawakians under the constitution. “I would say that it is nothing to do with the devolution issues since the negotiation is in progress and committment given by the federal government  is very positive....... http://www.theborneopost.com/2016/08/14/state-will-be-fair-in-immigration-dealings-with-petronas-staff-nancy/


http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/og-meltdown-will-there-be-more-casualties


12 July 2016: PETRONAS reaches cessation deal with SapuraKencana, Petrofac for Berantai


PETRONAS Reaches Deal with SapuraKencana, Petrofac for Berantai by  Chee Yew Cheang Rigzone Staff July 11, 2016 -- Malaysia's national oil company (NOC) Petroliam Nasional Berhd (PETRONAS) announced Monday that it has reached an agreement with Petrofac Energy Developments Sdn Bhd and SapuraKencana Petroleum Berhad's subsidiaries Kencana Energy Sdn Bhd and Sapura Energy Ventures Sdn Bhd for the cessation of the Berantai Risk Service Contract (RSC) located in Block PM 309 offshore Terangganu, Malaysia. "The RSC’s cessation will allow PETRONAS to minimize the project’s long-term value erosion and optimize the development and production activities in Malaysia, in line with its efforts to reduce costs and increase the efficiency of its operations," the state-owned firm said in the press release. PETRONAS will reimburse the balance of outstanding capital and operational expenditures to the contractors over the following 12 months following the RSC cessation that will take effect Sept. 30. Under the agreement, the contractors will transfer ownership of the Berantai FPSO (floating production, storage and offloading) facility to the NOC. http://www.rigzone.com/news/oil_gas/a/145560/PETRONAS_Reaches_Deal_with_SapuraKencana_Petrofac_for_Berantai


16 May 2016: Sarawak seeks to regulate Petronas activities within state  - says Federal Government has no authority to issue licences 


Sarawak seeks to regulate Petronas activities within state BY SULOK TAWIE June 15, 2016 --  Sarawak Chief Minister Tan Sri Adenan Satem announced today the state government’s plans to regulate the seabed and subsoil activities of national oil company Petronas and its contractors within its territory. He said Sarawak’s regulatory framework would be based on relevant state laws to which Petronas and its contractors would have to abide. “Petronas, a corporation having rights to prospect and mine petroleum both offshore and onshore under the Petroleum development Act, 1974, will have to be regulated and abide by the provisions of the Oil Mining Ordinance of Sarawak and the Land Code in regard to the use and occupation of State Land within the boundaries of Sarawak for the prospecting and mining of petroleum,” he said when winding up the debate in the state assembly here. He said the Land Code of Sarawak, which came into effect on January 1, 1959, defines “state land” to include the seabed and subsoil which forms part of the continental shelf by virtue of an Order made by the British Queen while Sarawak was still a Colony. “Article 73(b) of the Federal Constitution states that the state legislature may make laws for the whole or any part of the State. “Therefore, state laws like the Land Code, the Oil Mining Ordinance 1958 of Sarawak apply to the seabed and sub-soils in the continental shelf regardless of the character of the high seas above that area of the continental shelf....Adenan also said the state government does not agree to the extension of Continental Shelf Act and the Petroleum Mining Act to Sarawak, which purports to authorise the federal government to grant licences for the exploration and mining of petroleum in the Continental Shelf of Sarawak. “Therefore, Parliament has no constitutional authority to pass any legislation relating to the issuance of licences for the prospecting for oil or the oil mining leases within the boundaries of Sarawak which extend to the seabed and sub-soils in the Continental Shelf,” he added. - See more at: http://m.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/sarawak-seeks-to-regulate-petronas-activities-within-state#sthash.DjzxLOl4.PfWk3WCC.dpuf


Petronas Bintulu LNG Complex, located approximately 20km from Bintulu Town, covers 276ha and currently accounts for 40.5% of Sarawak's gross export, 6% of Malaysia's total export and 4.2% of the country's GDP. It includes three LNG plants with eight LNG trains in total. The three plants are respectively owned and operated by Malaysia LNG, MLNG Dua and MLNG Tiga, in joint venture with Petronas. http://www.hydrocarbons-technology.com/projects/petronas-bintulu-lng-complex-sarawak/


First edition of the Offshore Malaysia Oil and Gas Activity Map to 2019 

http://www.infield.com/news/offshore-malaysia-oil-gas-activity-map/77



http://www.slideshare.net/innovasjonnorge/2013-opportunities-og-sea-egil


Malaysia Oil and Gas Profile - » A Barrel Full Oil & Gas Wiki http://abarrelfull.wikidot.com/malaysia-oil-and-gas-profile


26 May 2016: Panama Canal upgrade to bring more gas to Asia


Panama Canal Fever Sweeps Globe Again as New Era in Trade Nears by Alex Nussbaum Naureen Malik May 25, 2016... As U.S. gas exports ramp up, new route will slash time to Asia. $5 billion project also shifts oil, crops, container trade.... 

 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-25/panama-canal-fever-sweeps-globe-again-as-new-era-in-trade-nears?cmpid=BBD052516_BIZ&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_campaign=

24 May 2016: Russian state oil firm may buy Petronas' assets, its earnings and assets impaired  on lower oil prices, Canada project news and others


Russian state oil firm may buy Petronas' assets  Published 23 May 2016 ..."Also, Zarubezhneft shows interest in studying the assets of Petronas. The parties are holding consultations about it," he is reported as saying on Friday by Russian news agency Tass. "As for Zarubezhneft, it is studying opportunities to undertake projects in Malaysia.... https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/342610

Malaysia’s Petronas Says Oil Prices to Continue Affect Earnings - National company posts 60% annual decline in profit By YANTOULTRA NGUI May 18, 2016 http://www.wsj.com/articles/malaysias-petronas-says-oil-prices-to-continue-affect-earnings-1463583213

Petronas’ Q1 profit down 60% on low product prices, asset impairment Posted on 19 May 2016 http://www.thesundaily.my/news/1807242

Petronas and ringgit volatility 21 May 2016 http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2016/05/21/petronas-and-ringgit-volatility-taking-on-a-challenge-king-koil-acquisition/

Petronas leaves May crude price factor unchanged at $4/bbl May 12, 2016 http://af.reuters.com/article/energyOilNews/idAFL3N1891BK

Others

PETRONAS' PLNG SATU Heads to Malaysia's Kanowit Gas Field Off Sarawak by  Petroliam Nasional Berhad|Press Release|Wednesday, May 18 - See more at: http://www.rigzone.com/news/oil_gas/a/144575/PETRONAS_PLNG_SATU_Heads_to_Malaysias_Kanowit_Gas_Field_Off_Sarawak#sthash.Vhthum8U.dpuf

Petronas sails Satu PFLNG Anamaria Deduleasa  16 May 2016 http://www.upstreamonline.com/incoming/1432691/petronas-sails-satu-pflng

Petronas Turns to Jotun to Help "Substantially Cut Fuel Costs" May 18, 2016 http://shipandbunker.com/news/apac/291637-petronas-turns-to-jotun-to-help-substantially-cut-fuel-costs

Petronas, PetroVietnam extend contract for 10 more years 11/05/2016 http://english.vietnamnet.vn/fms/business/156327/petronas--petrovietnam-extend-contract-for-10-more-years.html

Petronas, PetroVietnam extend PSC for 10 more years 9 May 2016 http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2016/05/09/petronas-petrovietnam-extend-psc-for-10-more-years/

PETRONAS, PetroVietnam Extend PM3CAA PSC in Malaysia-Vietnam Waters to 2027 by  Petroliam Nasional Berhad / Vietnam Oil & Gas Group|Press Release|Tuesday, May 10 - See more at: http://www.rigzone.com/news/oil_gas/a/144395/PETRONAS_PetroVietnam_Extend_PM3CAA_PSC_in_MalaysiaVietnam_Waters_to_2027#sthash.OYe2BGUD.dpuf

Petronas to conduct test at Bintulu plant 12 May 2016 http://www.thestar.com.my/metro/community/2016/05/12/petronas-to-conduct-test-at-bintulu-plant/

DNeX bags drilling equipment and services job from Petronas Carigali By Supriya Surendran / theedgemarkets.com   | May 19, 2016  http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/dnex-bags-drilling-equipment-and-services-job-petronas-carigali


On Canada project

Canada Set to Make Petronas LNG Decision as Early as Mid-Summer May 2, 2016 http://boereport.com/2016/05/02/canada-set-to-make-petronas-lng-decision-as-early-as-mid-summer/

Petronas names new president of Pacific NorthWest LNG BRENT JANG VANCOUVER — The Globe and Mail Published Apr. 29  http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/industry-news/energy-and-resources/petronas-names-new-head-at-pacific-northwest-lng-to-oversee-bc-project/article29791565/

B.C. LNG: First Nations appeal to UN to help stop Petronas project - Scientists have raised concerns about the project slated for Lelu Island The Canadian Press Posted: May 12, 2016  http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/b-c-lng-first-nations-appeal-to-un-to-help-stop-petronas-project-1.3579074


On RAPID project 

PETRONAS Signs Contracts For Pengerang Petrochemical Plants  May 11 http://www.bernama.com.my/bernama/v8/newsindex.php?id=1244624

AP: Malaysia – Petronas seeking new RAPID partner 13 May 2016 http://www.pfie.com/ap-malaysia-petronas-seeking-new-rapid-partner/21247242.article


On Petronas Gas

Get set for competitive prices thanks to Gas Supply Bill 2016 BY FERNANDO FONG - 23 MAY 2016  Read More : http://www.nst.com.my/news/2016/05/147384/get-set-competitive-prices-thanks-gas-supply-bill-2016

Petronas Gas sets RM4.5bil capital expenditure over five years 27 April 2016 http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2016/04/27/petgas-sets-rm45bil-capex-over-five-years/

Petronas Gas set aside RM4.5b capex over next 5 years  26 April 2016 http://www.thesundaily.my/news/1779161


On MISC

Profit up at Petronas unit, weak tanker price clouds prospects  May 9, 2016 http://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Companies/Profit-up-at-Petronas-unit-weak-tanker-price-clouds-prospects

Petronas unit to buy remainder 50% in joint venture to boost tanker fleet in International Shipping News 26/04/2016  http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/petronas-unit-to-buy-remainder-50-in-joint-venture-to-boost-tanker-fleet/


15 Apr 2016: Petronas to slash capex for Canadian LNG project -  to US$500 million over the next 2 years from the initial US$5 billion planned over the next 3 years

Petronas to slash capex for Canadian LNG project - report By Meena Lakshana / theedgemarkets.com | April 14, 2016 KUALA LUMPUR (April 14): National oil firm Petroliam National Bhd's (Petronas) unit Progress Energy Ltd is significantly slashing its capital expenditure (capex) in the US$36 billion Pacific Northwest liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in northern British Columbia while awaiting a final approval from the Canadian government's environmental agency. According to a report by Canada-based Financial Post, Progress president and chief executive officer Michael Culbert said the company is reducing its investment to US$500 million over the next two years from the initial US$5 billion planned over the next three years.



Petronas slashes spending as it awaits decision on B.C. liquefied natural gas project by Yadullah Hussain | April 13, 2016 http://business.financialpost.com/news/energy/petronas-slashes-spending-as-it-awaits-decision-on-b-c-liquefied-natural-gas-project?__lsa=924a-f026


13 Mar 2016: Petronas keeping eye on Candada project EIA process, Mahathir fired as Adviser to Petronas

Petronas keeping a close eye on Canada’s environmental impact assessment process By Dispatch Staff -  March 12, 2016, Just when Petronas, through its subsidiary Pacific NorthWest LNG, and its partners were in the final stages of an investment decision, the new federal Liberal government in Canada is toughening up environmental reviews of major energy projects. This is a step in the direction of regaining “public trust” and to meet with the emission reduction pledge that the government made at the Paris conference last year. The government said in January that major energy projects would be subject to additional assessment on “direct and upstream greenhouse gas emissions” and this is something that spells uncertainty over the $36 billion LNG project says Petronas. Malaysia’s state-owned company has already spent an estimated $12 billion to get its LNG project to this stage and with new assessment, the project which has already suffered from multiple delays, will get delayed again and because of this Petronas has conveyed to federal cabinet ministers it won’t accept additional hurdles.... http://www.dispatchtribunal.com/petronas-keeping-a-close-eye-on-canadas-environmental-impact-assessment-process/17617/



Petronas to mature Canadian project BY TEE LIN SAY 10 March 2016; PETALING JAYA: Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) via subsidiary Pacific NorthWest LNG (PNW LNG) is proactively taking steps to mature the US$36bil (RM147bil) Pacific NorthWest liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Canada towards its final investment decision, the national oil company said in a statement. This was in response to recent press reports which said that Petronas was close to pulling out of the project, following frustrations with the stance of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s climate-change priorities and the introduction of new uncertainties for the project.  The new federal Liberal government in Canada is toughening up environmental reviews of major energy projects as it strives to meet international commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.... A Canadian newspaper had quoted sources as saying that Petronas was threatening to walk away if it didn’t get federal approval by March 31.... http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2016/03/10/petronas-to-mature-canadian-project/



Malaysia Fires Former Leader Mahathir as Adviser to Petronas - Government cites former prime minister’s alliance with the opposition By YANTOULTRA NGUI March 11, 2016 KUALA LUMPUR, Malaysia—Former leader Mahathir Mohamad was terminated on Friday as an adviser to state oil firm Petroliam Nasional Bhd., or Petronas, over his alliance with the opposition, which is demanding the resignation of embattled Prime Minister Najib Razak. The prime minister’s office said in a statement that Mr. Najib’s cabinet has agreed unanimously to terminate Dr. Mahathir’s service... http://www.wsj.com/articles/malaysia-fires-former-leader-mahathir-as-adviser-to-petronas-1457707460


Mahathir Mohamad wins jailed Anwar Ibrahim's backing in bit to oust Malaysian PM Najib Razak March 4, 2016 by Lindsay Murdoch Bangkok: Malaysia's jailed opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim has declared support for his arch-nemesis Mahathir Mohamad in efforts to topple embattled Prime Minister Najib Razak. Mr Anwar said Mr Najib has "wreaked havoc" in the country with "the most severe scandal" in Malaysia's history... Former Malaysian prime minister Mahathir Mohamad  in his office in Kuala Lumpur last week....  

Former Malaysian prime minister Mahathir Mohamad in his office in Kuala Lumpur last week. Photo: Bloomberg... http://www.smh.com.au/world/mahathir-mohamad-wins-jailed-anwar-ibrahims-backing-in-bit-to-oust-malaysian-pm-najib-razak-20160303-gnabf8.html#ixzz42nKqYZzu 


2 Mar 2016: Petronas to cut 1,000 jobs or less than 2%, expenditure cut of up to RM20 billion in 2016 to affect raft of Malaysia O&G players

The Edge reports: 1,000 job cuts affects less than 2% of the Petronas work force. It has over 50,000 staff at end 2014, up from 39,000 in 2009. Staff costs were almost RM10 billion at end 2014,average cost per employee was RM188,000. Key positions also shift as CEO Wan Zulkiflee appoints new upstream and technology & engineering heads.

source: screen shot of The Edge article, http://tefd.theedgemarkets.com/2016/TEP/20160302zgy9pl.pdf


3 Feb 2016: ExxonMobil sees 2015 earnings fall 50%, cuts 2016 spending by 25%



ExxonMobil sees 2015 earnings fall 50%, cuts 2016 spending by 25%; ExxonMobil Corp. plans to reduce its capital and exploration expenditures in 2016 by 25% compared with that of 2015 to $23.2 billion.  The company estimates earnings in 2015 totaled $16.2 billion, a 50% drop from the $32.5 billion earned in 2014. Capital and exploration expenditures were $31.1 billion, down 19% from the 2014 level.

http://www.ogj.com/articles/2016/02/exxonmobil-sees-2015-earnings-fall-50-cuts-2016-spending-by-25.html?



26 Jan 2016: Petronas, Pertamina, PTT, ONGC retain sovereign ratings while S&P downgrades others including Sinopec and CNOOC


S&P downgrades Asia Pacific energy firms, Petronas not affected 26 January 2016; We don't believe China's national oil companies will be able to stabilise their cash flow adequacy amid the current price environment, despite their efforts to cut capital expenditure and costs," the agency said. The company said it had therefore lowered its credit profile for companies, including China Petroleum & Chemical Corp and China National Offshore Oil Corp (CNOOC) in China and for Woodside Petroleum and Santos in Australia. However, S&P said the revised oil price outlook had no impact on the ratings and outlooks on national oil companies in South and Southeast Asia, such as Indonesia's PT Pertamina, Malaysia's Petroliam Nasional (Petronas), Thailand's PTT Public or India's Oil and Natural Gas Corp (ONGC). "The companies all have an important policy role as major energy suppliers and providers in their respective countries... Therefore, the ratings and outlook on these four companies remain the same as those on their respective sovereigns." The Standard & Poor's reviews come days after competing rating agency Moody's put 175 commodity firms, including in Asia, on review over a bleak outlook - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/sp-downgrades-asia-pacific-energy-firms-petronas-not-affected#sthash.NHfnbGms.dpuf

12 Jan 2016: Bloomberg - Petronas Sees Three More Tough Years in `Unsettling Environment,'  mulls $30 oil for 2016 (two months ago, assumed $48 for 2016)

Note: This is a still not a major Petronas news update, but an ad hoc one.


  • Petronas also in recent Malaysia news alerts on cuts to contract workers in 2016. Shell Malaysia reported in local news to have cut about 1,300 jobs in 2015. Jobs loss outlook for 2016 worse than some 20,000 lost in 2015 in Malaysia. Other 2015 job cuts include Malaysia Airlines -6,000, RHB Bank -2,700, CIMB Bank -3,600, Standard Chartered -3,600 from The Malaysian Insider compilation from 2015 news. 

  • The recent price drop from around $38 toward $31 may highlight these major producers by cost: United States $36.20, Norway $36.10, Angola $35.40, Colombia $35.30, Nigeria$31.60. See diagram below.
  • Certainly also issues for POGO food-fuel price spread re. biodiesel. 
  • China GDP and oil demand is eyed, and into the future, car makers start to worry about tech disruption to their industry.


Source: What it costs to produce oil By Alanna Petroff and Tal Yellin / CNNMoney - The collapse in the price of oil has squeezed energy companies and countries that were betting on higher returns. Here’s what it costs on average to pump a barrel of oil in the 20 biggest oil producing nations. http://money.cnn.com/interactive/economy/the-cost-to-produce-a-barrel-of-oil/index.html?iid=EL. 




Oil tumbles nearly 5 percent to new lows; analysts warn of $20s - A brutal new year selloff in oil markets deepened on Monday, with prices plunging as much as 5 percent to new 12-year lows as further ructions in the Chinese stock market threatened to knock crude into the $20s. http://uk.reuters.com/article/idUKKCN0UP01T20160111

Petronas Sees Three More Tough Years in `Unsettling Environment' by   Elffie Chew January 12, 2016; Crude oil may average $30/barrel in low-price scenario. Company plans to keep 60-70 billion ringgit annual capex.... Petroliam Nasional Bhd. said crude prices could average $30 a barrel this year and warned the Malaysian state oil company faces two to three tough years.Just two months after the company was assuming an average price of $48 a barrel, Chief Executive Officer Wan Zulkiflee Wan Ariffin laid out the new "low-price" scenario for 2016. Petronas remains committed to its multi-billion dollar projects as it sticks to its capital expenditure plan of as much as 350 billion ringgit ($80 billion) over the next five years, he said Monday.... The drop in oil has in part led to international investors souring on Malaysia, with the ringgit slumping to a 17-year low in 2015. The net-oil exporting nation stands to lose 300 million ringgit for every $1 a barrel decline in crude, according to government estimates. Brent currently trades below $32 a barrel.Moody Investors Service lowered its credit-rating outlook for Malaysia on Monday, citing an external environment that has crimped government revenue despite Prime Minister Najib Razak’s efforts to improve the country’s finances. Najib said last week he will amendthe 2016 budget to take into account the lower price of oil after using the same price assumption that Petronas did....."The reversal in the price will happen," Wan Zulkiflee said. "It’s only whether it will happen in three years, five years or in seven years’ time.".... The slowing Chinese economy and its weakening yuan are having an impact on Petronas’ sales and operations in the North Asian nation, Wan Zulkiflee said.....In Canada, Petronas is still awaiting environmental approval from regulators to start construction on the Pacific NorthWest LNG project....The company will review its decision within this quarter on whether to proceed .... Wan Zulkiflee said the company will continue to maintain its production levels as significant cuts would result in setbacks when there is a recovery. Petronas hasn’t gotten to the point where it needs to "right-size" permanent employees even as it reviews the status of contract workers, he said. .....Spending Cuts - It’s also lowering spending by improving on procurement processes and cutting costs on business travel that saved the company 24 percent in operating expenditure excluding salaries last year, Wan Zulkiflee said....... It’s still committed to paying the government 16 billion ringgit in dividends this year, down from 26 billion ringgit in 2015... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-11/petronas-sees-three-more-tough-years-in-unsettling-environment-

Oil Extends Losses From 12-Year Low as Stockpiles Seen Expanding by Ben Sharples January 12, 2016, Inventories probably rose 2 million barrels last week: survey, Iran to starting selling new oil grade before boosting exports... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-11/oil-extends-decline-from-12-year-low-as-stockpiles-seen-rising


China's Demand for Crude is Showing Signs of Cracking - Resilient supply isn't the only problem for crude. by Luke Kawa, January 11, 2016; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-11/china-s-demand-for-crude-is-showing-signs-of-cracking


The End of the Monetary Illusion Magnifies Shocks for Markets by Simon Kennedy January 8, 2016; Central banks no longer have as much room to deliver stimulus. HSBC says currencies most sensitive to policy in 15 years... Central bankers are no longer the circuit breakers for financial markets. Monetary-policy makers, market saviors the past decade through the promise of interest-rate reductions or asset purchases, now lack the space to cut further -- if at all -- or buy more. Even those willing to intensify their efforts increasingly doubt the potency of such policies. That’s leaving investors having to cope alone with shocks such as this week’s rout in China or when economic data disappoint, magnifying the impact of such events....http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-08/the-end-of-the-monetary-illusion-magnifies-shocks-for-markets


The driverless, car-sharing road ahead - Carmakers increasingly fret that their industry is on the brink of huge disruption Jan 9th 2016; ...Now, Mr Fields is talking about autonomous cars being ready to roll by 2020. More conservative car bosses add five years.... Barclays, another bank, forecasts that the fully driverless vehicle will result in the average American household cutting its car ownership from 2.1 vehicles now to 1.2 by 2040.... The 11m or so annual sales of mass-market cars for personal ownership in America may be replaced by 3.8m sales of self-driving cars, either personally owned or part of taxi fleets, Barclays thinks....http://www.economist.com/news/business/21685459-carmakers-increasingly-fret-their-industry-brink-huge-disruption?cid1=cust/noenew/n/n/n/20160111n/owned/n/n/nwl/n/n/n/email

4 Jan 2016: Pressure to cut domestic O&G jobs after expatriates sent packing? Big oil to cut investment again in 2016.

Editor's note: Over the weekend, chatted with some O&G people who report that PETRONAS under pressure from its foreign creditors on why it is not cutting more domestic jobs. O&G expatriate job cuts already impacting the KL rental property markets. **This is a short update only, I shall do a major PETRONAS news review for 14 Nov to end December soon.

Big oil to cut investment again in 2016 By Karolin Schaps and Ron Bousso Jan 3, 2016; At around $37 a barrel, crude prices are well below the $60 firms such as Total (TOTF.PA), Statoil STO.OL and BP (BP.L) need to balance their books, a level that has already been sharply reduced over the past 18 months. International oil companies are once again being forced to cut spending, sell assets, shed jobs and delay projects as the oil slump shows no sign of recovery.  U.S. producers Chevron (CVX.N) and ConocoPhillips (COP.N) have published plans to slash their 2016 budgets by a quarter. Royal Dutch Shell (RDSa.L) has also announced a further $5 billion in spending cuts if its planned takeover of BG Group (BG.L) goes ahead. http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-oil-companies-investments-idUKKBN0UH0AG20160103

14 December 2015, from The Edge Malaysia on loss of jobs by O&G expatriates impacting KL high-end property rentals.



14 Nov 2015: PETRONAS 3Q2015 net profit plunges, capex plans continue, dividend cut, Canada project hurdles, RAPID on track

Petronas Q3 net profit tumbles 91% on weak oil prices Published: 11 November 2015 http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/business/article/petronas-q3-net-profit-tumbles-91-on-weak-oil-prices#sthash.CA7S0JwR.dpuf

Petronas slashes 2016 dividend as earnings plummet Published: 12 November 2015 http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/business/article/petronas-slashes-2016-dividend-as-earnings-plummet#sthash.ExUzppFO.dpuf

Malaysia's Petronas says committed to capex plans despite continuing challenges (Platts)-- 12 Nov 2015 * January-September capex up 5.5% on year at $11.42 billion * Q3 oil, gas production rises 4.8% on year * Progress of RAPID project on track   Malaysia's state-owned Petronas remained committed to its capital expenditure plans even though it anticipated continuing challenges due to bearish market sentiment, CEO Wan Zulkiflee Wan Ariffin said Wednesday. The projects that the company will focus its capital investment on include the Refinery And Petrochemical Integrated Development project in the southern Johor state; the Pacific North West LNG Project in Canada; LNG Train 9 in Bintulu; and the two floating LNG projects being constructed in South Korea. "These capex projects are investments for the long term, and we are set on seeing them through successfully to ensure Petronas' sustainability well into the future," Wan Zulkiflee said in a statement while announcing the company's Q3 2015 results. http://www.platts.com/latest-news/natural-gas/singapore/malaysias-petronas-says-committed-to-capex-plans-26275638

Government will not revise Budget 2016 despite Petronas’ lower dividend, says deputy finance minister Friday November 13, 2015 - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/government-will-not-revise-budget-2016-despite-petronas-lower-dividend-says#sthash.jiRcOwDD.dpuf

PETRONAS Not Laying Off Permanent Staff Despite Current Market Gloom by  Chee Yew Cheang Rigzone Staff Thursday, November 12, 2015- See more at: http://www.rigzone.com/news/oil_gas/a/141580/PETRONAS_Not_Laying_Off_Permanent_Staff_Despite_Current_Market_Gloom#sthash.lu12aOx0.dpuf

Canadian indigenous, environmental groups urge Trudeau to reject Petronas project Published: 12 November 2015 http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/canadian-indigenous-environmental-groups-urge-trudeau-to-reject-petronas-pr#sthash.KyvnVLWa.dpuf

Another hurdle to Petronas’ project in Canada  11 November 2015; Over 70 Northern British Columbia indigenous leaders, environmental organisations, scientists, businesses, unions, university groups, and faith groups from across the province have signed on to a letter written by Lax Kw’alaams hereditary chief Yahaan (Donnie Wesley) calling on Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Environment Minister Catherine McKenna to reject the PNW LNG plant proposed for Lelu Island and Flora Bank. They also want ongoing test-drilling at the site to be cancelled.  The final Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency (CEAA) decision, expected by early 2016 though possibly sooner, is the final major regulatory hurdle the project must overcome to move ahead.  http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/11/11/Another-hurdle-to-Petronas-project-in-Canada/?style=biz

PETRONAS Celebrates First Production at Bukit Tua, Kepodang Fields by  Petroliam Nasional Berhad Press Release November 05, 2015 http://www.rigzone.com/news/oil_gas/a/141450/PETRONAS_Celebrates_First_Production_at_Bukit_Tua_Kepodang_Fields#sthash.56HKH1ex.dpuf

Petronas Unit Allocates Up to $300m for Indonesian Oil Fields Next Year By : Retno Ayuningtyas November 09, 2015; A unit of Malaysian energy giant Petronas plans to invest $200 million to $300 million next year on developing its oil blocks in Indonesia, an executive says.  Hazli Sham Kassim, Petronas Carigali’s general manager and head of Indonesian operations, said the company would wrap up production at the Bukit Tua field in Ketapang, East Java, and begin exploration activities in the North Madura II block in offshore East Java in 2016. http://jakartaglobe.beritasatu.com/business/petronas-unit-allocates-300m-indonesian-oil-fields-next-year/

OMV, Petronas launch oil talks with Iran TEHRAN, Nov. 11 (MNA) – Describing the latest status of negotiations with Malaysia’s Petronas and Austria’s OMV oil companies, managing director of ICOFC announced several Russian firms’ willingness to invest in Iran’s central oil fields. http://en.mehrnews.com/news/111869/OMV-Petronas-launch-oil-talks-with-Iran

PETRONAS FLNG2 Reaches Milestone with Keel Laying at SHI's Shipyard  by  Petroliam Nasional Berhad Press Release Monday, November 09, 20- See more at: http://www.rigzone.com/news/oil_gas/a/141503/PETRONAS_FLNG2_Reaches_Milestone_with_Keel_Laying_at_SHIs_Shipyard#sthash.xyqjLvVH.dpuf

Petronas floating LNG2 to commission in 2018 Posted on 9 November 2015 http://www.thesundaily.my/news/1606223

WCT bags RM315.6 million Petronas EPCC job Posted on 13 November 2015 -http://www.thesundaily.my/news/1609929

Petronas Dagangan aims to sustain financial results 9 November 2015 http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/11/09/Petronas-Dagangan-aims-to-sustain-financial-results/?style=biz

Total, Petronas keep eye out for acquisitions as prices pressure oil players October 18, 2015  http://www.smh.com.au/business/energy/total-petronas-keep-eye-out-for-acquisitions-as-prices-pressure-oil-players-20151017-gkbu4o.html#ixzz3rO6CuZ9j

Icon Offshore appoints Petronas top exec Amir as new MD 3 November 2015 http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/11/03/Icon-appoints-Petronas-top-exec-Amir-as-new-MD/?style=biz

MISC-Bumi Armada FPSO business merger could create huge Petronas subsidary by By Vincent Wee Malaysian shipping company MISC and oil and gas services provider Bumi Armada, both relatively big players in their respective fields, are reportedly in early stages of exploring a corporate exercise involving the consolidation of the floating production storage offshore (FPSO) businesses of both companies, local reports cited sources as saying. According to them, the exercise could see MISC inject its FPSO businesses into Bumi Armada in return for shares, a move that could see Petronas' shipping unit ending up with a big stake in Bumi Armada http://www.seatrade-maritime.com/news/asia/misc-bumi-armada-fpso-business-merger-could-create-huge-petronas-subsidary.html
Lawas natives yet to see a single sen over Petronas gas pipeline BY SHERIDAN MAHAVERA 29 October 2015,  Lun Bawang landowners in Kampung Long Luping said they have either been partially paid or not at all for land taken for the pipeline, which made the news last year after a section of it blew up. Sakai Libang, 54, said the problem was not Petronas but the Land and Survey Department http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/lawas-natives-yet-to-see-a-single-sen-over-petronas-gas-pipeline#sthash.6jD8YEjH.dpuf

11 October 2015: Petronas mostly ‘exempted’ from TPP, quit Mauritania, mulling TAP Project, analysts doubt Canada project, credit and rating


Khazanah, Petronas mostly ‘exempted’ from TPP, says minister Published: 7 October 2015 8:56 PM - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/malaysia-state-fund-petronas-mostly-exempted-from-tpp-says-minister#sthash.pZ9XE5yZ.dpuf

Petronas Renews Pledge to Export Canadian Gas as Analysts Doubt by  Rebecca Penty October 9, 2015 — 7:24 AM HKT. Malaysian energy company says proceeding depends on approvals. Executive vice president dismisses energy market volatility.... Analysts have cast doubt on Canada’s ability to deliver LNG export projects this decade. The global market is entering a period of oversupply, with ventures starting up in Australia and the U.S., and demand is slowing in Asia just as the oil slump has taken down prices for LNG. There are 20 projects under consideration for export from the Pacific Coast in British Columbia and none have started construction.... Canada and East Africa are “last to the LNG party” globally behind the U.S. and Australia, according to CIBC World Markets commodities strategist Katherine Spector. Plunging oil prices mean only about 6 billion cubic feet (170 million cubic meters) a day of LNG exports will be developed in North America by 2022, Spector wrote in a report this week, about half the amount she had forecast last year would be online by 2020.... Petronas in June said it would proceed with the Pacific NorthWest LNG project, pending outstanding approvals, becoming the only Canadian proposal to issue an investment decision to date. Other owners of the venture are Indian Oil Corp., Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. and Brunei National Petroleum Co.
 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-10-08/petronas-renews-pledge-to-export-canadian-gas-as-analysts-doubt

Petronas quitting Mauritania on revenue, oil price fall Published: 7 October 2015 4:06 PM - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/business/article/petronas-quitting-mauritania-on-revenue-oil-price-fall#sthash.DqlwsV0S.dpuf

Petronas Said to Mull Buying Statoil’s Stake in TAP Project  by  Ercan Ersoy and Elffie Chew  September 2, 2015 — 1:16 AM HKTUpdated on September 2, 2015 — 8:28 PM HKT http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-09-01/petronas-said-to-consider-buying-statoil-s-stake-in-tap-project


Adding on older news items of interest

UPDATE 1-Malaysia's Petronas to delay RAPID'S refinery start-up to mid-2019 May 18, 2015, * Weak commodity prices prompt review, re-bidding of EPC contracts * Petrochemical chains also rephased due to weak oil prices... http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/05/18/asia-oil-petronas-idUSL3N0Y924T20150518

The Yuan Drop Just Added $14 Billion to Asia Inc.’s Debt Burden by Christopher Langner, David Yong and Lianting Tu August 13, 2015 — 2:43 PM HKT; ... The extra yield over Treasuries investors demand to hold the 10-year 5.25 percent dollar bonds of state-owned oil company Petroliam Nasional Bhd. -- among Malaysia’s most liquid notes -- has risen 11 basis points this week to the highest since March. “We’re especially worried about Malaysia as its currency faces the most stress after the yuan devaluation,” said Gordon Tsui, the head of fixed income at Taikang Asset Management (Hong Kong) Co

ASIA CREDIT CLOSE: Petronas takes advantage of improving risk appetite HONG KONG, Aug 5 (IFR) - Petronas saw its bonds tighten as an improvement in risk appetite drove investors to buy into the long-end of the curve. The Petronas 2025s and 2045s tightened around 5bp, according to a Hong Kong-based trader, who put it down to investors taking advantage of an overnight rise in 10-year US Treasury yields.... http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/08/05/markets-asia-debt-idUSL3N10G3AD20150805

Fitch Revises PETRONAS' Outlook to Stable; Affirms 'A' IDR Jul 1, 2015 2:38am EDT  http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/01/idUSFit92745720150701

British Columbia Sees $7.1 Billion From Petronas Gas Exports  July 7, 2015 — 6:11 AM HKTUpdated on July 7, 2015 — 7:12 AM HKT  British Columbia is pledging to cap levies on Petroliam Nasional Bhd.’s natural gas export project as it expects to collect C$9 billion ($7.1 billion) from the venture by 2030. Canada’s westernmost province must compensate the Malaysian oil producer, known as Petronas, and its partners if it adds costs through changes to certain taxes or credits over the next 25 years, according to terms of an agreement signed May 20 that were released Monday. “The revenue opportunities are significant,” British Columbia Finance Minister Michael de Jong said in a briefing with reporters Monday..... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-06/british-columbia-sees-7-1-billion-take-from-petronas-gas-export

We only produce the oil, Putrajaya sets price, says Petronas chairman Published: 2 July 2015 8:51 AM - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/we-only-produce-the-oil-putrajaya-sets-price-says-petronas-chairman#sthash.8DtLxS2L.dpuf

South Sudan Fighting Escalates in Oil States Before Peace Talks by   Okech Francis  June 6, 2015 — 10:46 PM HKT http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-06-06/south-sudan-fighting-escalates-in-oil-states-before-peace-talks

South Sudan Oil Field Becomes Battleground as Economy Reels by   Ilya Gridneff  May 26, 2015 — 5:00 AM HKT http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-05-25/south-sudan-oil-field-becomes-key-battleground-as-economy-reels

MMC Corp appoints former Petronas president Shamsul as chairman Published: 6 July 2015 7:42 PM - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/business/article/mmc-corp-appoints-former-petronas-president-shamsul-as-chairman#sthash.M7lQbRD8.dpuf

 

19 August 2015: PETRONAS slashes rig count to 14 from 39 and operating cashflow woes requires use of cash reserves, Irish probe tanks, environmental doubts on BC LNG project, US starts talks on South Sudan sanctions


On recent earnings and rig count slash, worries of Malaysia contractors
Petronas Irish probe tanks  Written by  OE Staff   Friday, 14 August 2015 02:26  Petronas subsidiary PSE Seven Heads' Midleton well offshore Ireland has failed to discover commercial quantities of gas, according to partner Landsdowne Oil & Gas. http://www.oedigital.com/component/k2/item/10031-petronas-irish-probe-tanks

On BC project
  • Malaysia scandal dampens hopes for Petronas LNG Project in BC published by Asianpost on Wed, 08/12/2015 - 08:56  By Ng Weng Hoong  New Canadian Media  Special to The Post British Columbia Finance Minister Mike de Jong’s recent visit to Malaysia yielded a Facebook photo-op with Prime Minister Najib Abdul Razak and a misreported story that state energy firm Petronas and its five Asian partners would begin construction of their US$36 billion liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in northern BC this September. In the reporting of de Jong’s press conference, Malaysian news agency Bernama did not make clear that the project must first receive Ottawa’s environmental approval, due sometime between September and December, before the Petronas-led Pacific NorthWest (PNW) LNG – not the British Columbia government – can make its final investment decision http://www.asianpacificpost.com/article/7085-malaysia-scandal-dampens-hopes-petronas-lng-project-bc.html
  • Petronas LNG terminal set in salmon's 'Grand Central Station' - New data shows LNG terminal in middle of nursery for 40 salmon populations CBC News Posted: Aug 07, 2015 3:22 PM PT| Last Updated: Aug 08, 2015 2:13 PM PT http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/petronas-lng-terminal-set-in-salmon-s-grand-central-station-1.3181203



On South Sudan
  • South Sudan: Sides trade accusations after deal falters 3 hours ago; Rebels have accused South Sudan's government of resuming military attacks, a day after President Salva Kiir failed to sign a peace deal aimed at ending the civil war.  Rebel leader Riek Machar said the government had chosen war over peace. But Mr Kiir's chief negotiator said the deal was a sell-out that could not be implemented as the rebels are split.... http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-33982009
  • US Pursues New UN Sanctions on South Sudan as Deal Unsigned By THE ASSOCIATED PRESSAUG. 18, 2015, 6:08 P.M. E.D.T.  UNITED NATIONS — The United States has begun talks at the United Nations to sanction South Sudan if its government doesn't sign a peace deal with rebels within 15 days and all sides in the conflict don't promptly implement a cease-fire, President Barack Obama's national security adviser said Tuesday. http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2015/08/18/world/africa/ap-un-united-nations-south-sudan.html?_r=0
  • South Sudan economy 'in intensive care' as famine looms By James Copnall BBC South Sudan analyst 10 July 2014 http://www.bbc.com/news/business-28225098


23 June 2015: PETRONAS C$36 billion gas project faces dissent and low prices, with several LNG startups oversupply  / glut until 2020-2025, Axens to provide processing technology for naptha at PETRONAS RAPID, PSE Seven Heads agrees contract for Irish drilling

Petronas Canada Gas Bet No Cinch as Dissent Adds to Low Prices  by Rebecca Pentyand Allison McNeely June 22, 2015 — 10:04 PM HKT; Petroliam Nasional Bhd.’s C$36 billion ($29.4 billion) Canadian natural gas export project was treading water after the global market for the fuel weakened. Now local opposition is adding a new hurdle. A British Columbia aboriginal group that claims title to land earmarked for the liquefied natural gas terminal says it will take legal action if its environmental concerns aren’t addressed. That follows a decision by Petronas, as the Malaysian company is known, and investors earlier this month to press ahead with the Pacific NorthWest LNG terminal. The Lax Kw’alaams band, which has already turned down C$1.15 billion in compensation, says the terminal is slated for a culturally significant island and would damage salmon habitat, Deputy Mayor Stan Dennis said in an interview. In October, then-Petronas Chief Executive Officer Shamsul Azhar Abbas said the project needs to stay on schedule and begin shipments in 2019 or face a deferral of 10 to 15 years, until another market window opens. “One of the key risks is potential for delay,” said Tom Isaac, a partner at Osler, Hoskin & Harcourt LLP in Calgary who leads the firm’s aboriginal law group and has no stake in the project. “If litigation were initiated, that could take some time to wind its way through the courts.” Several planned LNG project startups this decade means buyers will be oversupplied until at least 2020. About 40 percent of respondents to a recent Bloomberg Intelligence survey said the glut may last until 2025, analysts led by Elchin Mammadov said in a June 16 presentation. Australia and Canada have the most expensive LNG projects in the world to develop, and some will be shelved or canceled, the analysts said....
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-06-22/petronas-canada-gas-bet-no-cinch-as-dissent-adds-to-low-prices

Malaysia’s Petronas to Build Natural-Gas Plant in British Columbia - Plan paves the way for export of cheap North American gas to Asia, By  Chester Dawson  June 12, 2015 1:53 a.m. ET
CALGARY—Malaysia’s state-owned energy company Thursday said it would build a large-scale natural-gas plant on Canada’s Pacific coast, paving the way for the export of cheap North American gas to high-demand markets in Asia. The 36 billion-Canadian-dollar (US$29.3 billion) project, known as Pacific NorthWest LNG, marks Canada’s emergence as a hub for exporting surplus North American natural gas to Asia. It is the first of nearly two...
http://www.wsj.com/articles/malaysias-petronas-to-build-natural-gas-plant-in-british-columbia-1434088430

PETRONAS selects Axens Technologies for Malaysia’s RAPID project Monday, Jun 22, 2015
Petroliam Nasional Berhad (PETRONAS), Malaysia’s national oil and gas company has selected Axens as a technology provider for PETRONAS’ Refinery and Petrochemicals Integrated Development (RAPID) project located in Pengerang, Johor, Malaysia..... RAPID is estimated to cost US$16 billion while the associated facilities will involve an investment of about US$11 billion. PIC is poised for its refinery start-up by early 2019.... Axens was initially selected in October 2010 for a Detailed Feasibility Study, after which their technologies were selected following an open bid in January 2012 on the basis of the best NPV (Net Present Value), as well as proven long term operating experiences supported by the technology and catalyst’s specific features; hence providing  additional benefits to the project. The following technologies from Axens was selected for the RAPID project:
•Naphtha Hydrotreating (NHT), this process purifies naphtha  removing dienes, olefins compounds, sulfur and nitrogen species with a feed capacity of 21,000 BPSD; •OctanizingTM a continuous catalytic regenerative (CCR) reforming process for maximizing the production of reformate from heavy hydrotreated naphtha , with a feed capacity of this unit 14,000 BPSD.........
http://www.youroilandgasnews.com/petronas+selects+axens+technologies+for+malaysia%E2%80%99s+rapid+project_117941.html

Petronas inks rig for Irish drilling  Written by  Elaine Maslin   Monday, 22 June 2015 03:59; Petronas subsidiary PSE Seven Heads has agreed a contract to drill on the Midleton prospect offshore Ireland starting in August, according to partner Lansdowne Oil & Gas. PSE Seven Heads, a subsidiary of Petronas' PSE Kinsale Energy will use Diamond Offshore Drilling's Ocean Guardian semisubmersible drilling rig to drill the well, in SEL 4/07, which covers part-blocks 49/11, 49/12, 49/17 and 49/18, immediately southeast of the Kinsale Head gas field, in the Celtic Sea offshore southeast Ireland. The Midleton prospect, about 20km northeast of the Kinsale Head field, has been estimated to contain 330 Bcf gas initially in place, according to Landsdowne.... http://www.oedigital.com/component/k2/item/9484-petronas-inks-rig-for-irish-drilling
10 June 2015:  Opinion: Uncertainty grows over LNG deal - ‘Conditional’ final investment decision expected from Petronas by June; Tanjung Offshore secures RM250m contract from Petronas Carigali  

Opinion: Uncertainty grows over LNG deal - ‘Conditional’ final investment decision expected from Petronas by June BY NG WENG HOONG, SPECIAL TO THE VANCOUVER SUN JUNE 5, 2015; The sobering reality is the project faces greater barriers and more uncertainties than a year ago when Zulkiflee’s predecessor, Shamsul Azhar Abbas, began to grasp the magnitude of his over-reach to develop natural gas reserves, pipelines and a large LNG terminal in B.C. all within five years. Company insiders confirmed they had underestimated the extent of environmental and First Nations opposition to fracking, and oil and gas pipeline projects in B.C. Also, like most in the industry, they had not anticipated the crippling effects of the oil price collapse. Political developments in Malaysia and China could add a few more black swans to halt the project’s progress.....Shamsul’s term was not renewed in March following clashes with his boss and PNW’s biggest supporter, Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Abdul Razak, who is now fighting for political survival over allegations of financial mismanagement of billions of dollars in state funds. It was Najib who announced the project’s massive $36-billion price tag, the equivalent of 10 per cent of Malaysia’s GDP, to a surprised Prime Minister Stephen Harper during a visit to Southeast Asia in 2013. Will Petronas or the Malaysian government continue to support PNW’s high-risk project if Najib is no longer prime minister?.........management. Zulkiflee made his first move by approving PNW’s offer to pay $1.15 billion to the 3,700-member Lax Kw’alaams First Nations group over 40 years for the right to build the LNG project over their property and ancient fishing grounds. Despite some calling it a generous “game changer,” the sum offered was insignificant as it amounts to less than $8,000 per person per year........“Industry analysts expect only one to three B.C. LNG projects to be operating by 2025. The market outlook for Asia is still uncertain,” she wrote. Also, Canadian projects, requiring the equivalent of crude oil prices at $76 to $90 US a barrel, are expensive when compared with their rivals in the U.S.... Another likely source of concern, not widely discussed, is the commitment of two of PNW’s cornerstone shareholders, Sinopec and IOC.... Amid the LNG price collapse, India is spoiled for choice to increase import volumes through existing channels with Qatar, Nigeria, Egypt and Australia while it pursues talks to develop new overland supply lines with Russia, Turkmenistan and even Iran, which could soon be free of trade sanctions imposed by the West. These developments are leaving Petronas looking increasingly quixotic in its quest to launch B.C.’s LNG industry. The company’s attempts to sell down its 62 per cent stake in PNW LNG to 50 per cent have stalled since the last deal was concluded with Sinopec in April 2014....Rather than clarify the situation, Petronas’ offer to make a conditional final investment decision could set the stage for further negotiations and uncertainty.  http://www.vancouversun.com/opinion/op-ed/Opinion+Uncertainty+grows+over+deal/11112497/story.html

Tanjung Offshore secures RM250m contract from Petronas Carigali Tuesday, 9 June 2015
KUALA LUMPUR:  Oil & gas services provider, Tanjung Offshore Bhd secured a RM250mil contract to provide topside maintenance to Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd’s platforms in Sarawak.
It said on Tuesday the construction work request contract would involve the maintenance for Petronas Carigali’s offshore and onshore facilities in Sarawak. The contract is for two years with an option to extend for another year.... http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/06/09/Tanjung-Offshore-secures-RM250m-contract-from-Petronas-Carigali/?style=biz

1 June 2015: Petronas top official robbed of RM300,000 (c. USD 81,000) in house break-in

Petronas top official robbed of RM300,000 in house break-in Posted on 27 May 2015 - 09:21pm
KUALA LUMPUR: A gang of robbers escaped with more than RM300,000 in cash and valuables after holding up a top official of national petroleum company Petronas and his family at their bungalow near Taman Tun Abdul Razak, Ampang today.
The Petronas top official, who is a Datuk, was asleep when he and his family were woken up from their sleep by the robbers who broke in at about 5am.
The gang fled after getting cash, gold jewellery, luxury watches and other items.
Minutes after they left, the victims, who were unharmed, managed to untie themselves and alerted the police.
http://www.thesundaily.my/node/311694

22 May 2015: Malaysia's Petronas posts Q1 profit drop, cuts dividend; Petronas reports first oil from Indonesia's Bukit Tua field 

UPDATE 1-Malaysia's Petronas posts Q1 profit drop, cuts dividend on oil price fall  By Anuradha Raghu Fri May 22, 2015 6:59am EDT * Q1 net profit 11.4 bln rgt vs 18.8 bln rgt in Q1 2014 * Maintains projection for crude prices at avg $55/barrel in 2015 * Price will be rangebound for many, many quarters- CEO (Adds details of results, CEO quotes) KUALA LUMPUR, May 22 (Reuters) - Malaysian state-owned oil firm Petronas posted a 39 percent drop in first-quarter net profit on lower crude prices, but a mild rebound in oil helped earnings bounce from the previous quarter when it made its first quarterly loss in at last five years. Global oil prices have climbed more than 40 percent from six-year lows hit earlier this year to touch 2015 highs in early May. Prices, though, are still well-down from the peaks of June 2014, when growing evidence of a worldwide glut sent crude markets into free fall. Petroliam Nasional Bhd, which is called Petronas, reported on Friday a net profit of 11.4 billion ringgit ($3.18 billion) for the January-March period, compared to a profit of 18.8 billion ringgit in the same period in 2014. It had suffered a net loss of 7.3 billion ringgit ($2.03 billion) in the previous quarter. Malaysia, a net energy exporter, relies heavily on Petronas for most of its oil and gas revenue. Out of the 66 billion ringgit of oil revenues in 2014, 29 billion came in the form of dividends paid by Petronas, a government report showed. That dividend would be cut to 26 billion ringgit in 2015, Petronas said..... http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/05/22/petronas-results-idUSL3N0YC3QY20150522

Petronas reports first oil from Indonesia's Bukit Tua field WorldOil (subscription) KUALA LUMPUR, Malaysia -- Petronas has reached a significant milestone in its upstream operations in Indonesia with first oil achieved from Bukit Tua field on May 17. “This upstream project is an integrated development as it also involves the ...
http://www.worldoil.com/news/2015/5/22/petronas-reports-first-oil-from-indonesia-s-bukit-tua-field

18 May 2015: LNG's adverse impact on Petronas and Malaysia  - Citigroup cited in The Star; PETRONAS suggests that Malaysia's many O&G players should consolidate

LNG's adverse impact on Petronas and Malaysia Monday, 18 May 2015  By: TEE LIN SAY PETALING JAYA: The earnings of state-owned Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) and the country’s current account are expected to come under pressure in the next few months due to the steep drop in the average price of spot liquefied natural gas (LNG). LNG prices track crude oil prices and have more than halved, with the average spot price down as of April to US$7.60 mmbtu (million British thermal units)since oil prices started their downward descent last July. LNG makes up two-thirds of Petronas’ total oil and gas production, and with contract agreements up for renewal, analysts pointed out that earnings would be hit. The average price of spot-LNG in July 2014 was US$13.8MMbtu, and prices rose slightly to US$15.1mmbtu as of Dec 2014. It started adjusting early this year, and as of April, it stands at US$7.9mmbtu. Economists believed that the country would face a current account (CA) deficit in the second quarter if countracts negotiated were not favourable. Citigroup Inc economist Kit Wei Zheng warned that headwinds from lower oil prices, which have not been as severe based on first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data, could increase going forward.  “The impact of weaker LNG prices on the CA should be maximum in the second quarter, and the CA surplus should recover in the second-half for leading to a full year surplus of 3.2% of GDP,” he said in a report following the release of Bank Negara’s first-quarter GDP data last Friday. In 2014, Petronas produced a total of 1,358 kboe (kilo barrel of oils equivalent) of gas out of a total of 2,226 kboe of oil and gas. Gas made up 61% of Petronas’ total oil and gas production that year. The LNG sales volume that year increased 4% to 30.12 million tonnes from 28.85 tonnes in 2013, driven by higher trading volume and higher sales from the Petronas LNG complex in Bintulu, Sarawak. Not only would that have implications on Petronas earnings, but Petronas’ contributions to government revenue could be impacted. Petronas contribution had dropped to about 22%, from 30%. In 2012 and 2013, when the going was still good and Brent crude stood above US$100 per barrel, Petronas had contributed RM80bil and RM73.4bil respectively to the Government.
http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/05/18/LNGs-adverse-effect-on-Petronas-and-Malaysia/?style=biz

M'sian O&G companies should explore consolidation opportunities, says Petronas Monday, 18 May 2015 KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysian oil and gas (O&G) companies must consider exploring consolidation opportunities within the fraternity to increase competitiveness and put the industry in a good stead when the global oil market recovers. Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) President and Group Chief Executive Officer Datuk Wan Zulkiflee Wan Ariffin said consolidation opportunities were  plentiful.   "Those with heftier cash and other means to fund consolidation and guided by a clear strategic focus, will be able to beat competitors to the negotiating table for winning deals," he said. The manoeuvres, he added, would also position the companies ahead of the pack when oil prices recover. Wan Zulkiflee said this in his welcoming remarks at the Asia Oil and Gas Conference 2015 here today. http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/05/18/Msian-OnG-companies-should-explore-consolidation-opportunities-says-Petronas/?style=biz

6 May 2015: PETRONAS JV group offers US$950 million to native group for Pacific NorthWest LNG project, Petronas completes asset acquisition - 15.5% interest in the Shah Deniz production sharing agreement in the Caspian Sea, a 12.4% stake in Azerbaijan Gas Supply Co and a 15.5% share in the South Caucasus Pipeline Co; PETRONAS carigali pay cut report quickly denied

Petronas-led JV offers aboriginal group US$950m in Canada for project nod (Update) Tuesday, 5 May 2015; KUALA LUMPUR: Pacific NorthWest LNG is offering up to C$1.15bil (US$950mil) over 40 years to an aboriginal community in Canada to approve its natural gas export terminal on Canada’s Pacific Coast.  Reports said on Tuesday the joint venture, which is led by Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) had made the offer to the community, which would be paid over 40 years.
Pacific NorthWest LNG is offering the payments to the Lax Kw’alaams First Nation so it can build the unit on the community’s traditional lands at the port of Prince Rupert in northern British Columbia, the native group said on its website. The reports said the deal also included incentives from the provincial government and gas pipeline developers.  According to the native group, the payments are for the life of projects (approximately 40 year to 60 years) using 40 years as an assumption in its summary.  http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/05/06/Petronas-seeks-Canadian-community-support-for-project/?style=biz

Petronas still in talks with Canadian aboriginal group By Fatin Rasyiqah Mustaza / The Edge Financial Daily   | May 6, 2015 : 8:41 AM MYT KUALA LUMPUR: A Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) led consortium has yet to conclude the long drawn out negotiations with the Lax Kw’alaams First Nation group on the oil company’s plan to build a gasification terminal to export liquefied natural gas (LNG) at the port of Prince Rupert, western Canada.  The consortium’s Pacific NorthWest LNG project is required to have the consent of the Lax Kw’alaams to construct a LNG terminal within their territory. The project will liquefy and export natural gas produced by Progress Energy Canada Ltd in which Petronas also holds a controlling stake. Currently, Petronas owns 62% of Pacific NorthWest LNG. Other stakeholders include China Petroleum & Chemical Corp Ltd (15%), Japan Petroleum Exploration Co Ltd (10%), Indian Oil Corp Ltd (10%) and Brunei National Petroleum Company Sdn Bhd (3%). Petronas said an impact benefit agreement offer has been tabled to the Lax Kw’alaams, in addition to offers from both the government of British Columbia and TransCanada Corp.... http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/petronas-still-talks-canadian-aboriginal-group?google_editors_picks=true

Petronas completes asset acquisition Monday, 4 May 2015 - 15.5% interest in the Shah Deniz production sharing agreement in the Caspian Sea, a 12.4% stake in Azerbaijan Gas Supply Co and a 15.5% share in the South Caucasus Pipeline Co; BAKU: Malaysia’s state-owned oil and gas (O&G) giant Petronas has completed its transaction for the acquisition of O&G related assets in Azerbaijan, following a sales and purchase agreement it signed with Norway-based Statoil in October last year.
Petronas’ Azerbaijan country chair Zainal Abidin Zainudin said Petronas completed the acquisition on April 30 and now officially owns a 15.5% interest in the Shah Deniz production sharing agreement in the Caspian Sea, a 12.4% stake in Azerbaijan Gas Supply Co and a 15.5% share in the South Caucasus Pipeline Co. It was reported earlier that Statoil sold its stake in the Shah Deniz project for US$2.25bil (RM8bil). The deal was Petronas’ third largest acquisition, after its US$5.7bil acquisition of Canada’s Progress Energy Resources in 2012 and the US$2.5bil acquisition of Gladstones LNG project in Australia in 2008. Zainal Abidin said the acquisition gives Petronas a strategic presence in a producing field in oil-rich Azerbaijan, where the company is involved in project development totalling around US$38bil.... http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/05/04/Petronas-completes-asset-acquisition/?style=biz

*This was soon denied: Petronas Carigali cuts salaries by 20% Posted on 15 April 2015 - 05:39am  by Eva Yeong PETALING JAYA: Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd has asked its staff to take a 20% pay cut in view of the challenging market conditions caused by low global oil prices, a source told SunBiz. According to a memo obtained by SunBiz, Petronas Carigali indicated that a 20% reduction in current salaries would be required effective May 1, 2015. The company said in the memo that it intends to continue investing to sustain production levels despite the low oil price environment affecting its expenditure and projects feasibility. However, it would be challenging to do so at the current cost structure and as part of its cost optimisation efforts, the company has decided to revise salary rates. Petronas Carigali is the exploration and production (E&P) subsidiary of Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas).

UPDATE 1-Petronas not cutting pay or staff, chief executive say (Adds details from Petronas statement) Wed Apr 15, 2015 7:39am EDT  (Reuters) - Malaysian state oil firm Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) on Wednesday denied a media report that said staff at one of its units were asked to take a pay cut due to the plunge in global oil prices. "It is misreporting. There is no salary cut and retrenchment for Petronas staff," Chief Executive Wan Zulkiflee Wan Ariffin told reporters following a shareholders meeting for a Petronas unit. Local newspaper SunBiz earlier reported that Petronas Carigali issued an internal memo asking its staff to take a 20 percent pay cut due to low oil prices.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/04/15/malaysia-petronas-idUSL4N0XC42B20150415

21 April 2015: PETRONAS FLNG by 1Q2016, Carigali strives to improve efficiency, Petronas Chemicals gears up for 80%-85% plant utilisation rate; Pengerang terminal added to Platts recognised loadings from Pasir Gudang, Tanjung Langsat, Tanjung Bin and certain floating storage units in nearby waters for its Singapore price assessment process

Petronas FLNG to tap marginal fields by 1Q of 2016 Tuesday, 21 April 2015 By: INTAN FARHANA ZAINUL; KUALA LUMPUR: Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) expects to complete its ambitious floating liquefied natural gas (FLNG) vessel by the first quarter next year.  Petronas vice president and venture director LNG project domestic Datuk Abdullah Karim said on Tuesday the Petronas FLNG 1 (PFLNG) is now 91% completed. "With PFLNG we are able to monetise gas fields which previously were considered too small or stranded," he told reporters at the PFLNG briefing.
He explained that a marginal field for gas would have a reserve of about half a trillion cubic metres.
For the PFLNG1, Abdullah said would be on site, which is in Bintulu, Sarawak (Kanowit field) by March 1 next year. "We are looking about 1.2 million tonnes per annum of LNG production from the PFLNG 1," he said. The PFLNG 1 was designed to operate in shallow waters. The final investment decision for the PFLNG Satu was made on March 27, 2012......... http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/04/21/Petronas-FLNG-sails-1Q-next-year/?style=biz

Petronas Carigali strives to improve efficiency to mitigate oil plunge impact Published: 21 April 2015 5:58 PM Petronas Carigali has implemented strategies to improve cost efficiency. – The Malaysian Insider pic, April 21, 2015. Petroliam Nasional Berhad (Petronas)'s upstream arm Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd has implemented strategic approaches to improve its cost efficiency to mitigate the adverse impact of the plunge in oil prices. Among the initiatives taken is production with minimal cost, leaner operations and drilling, integrated logistics, and better innovation and collaboration, according to a statement issued by the state oil company today. In the same statement, Petronas Carigali president Datuk Mohd Anuar Taib urged Petronas contractors to remain agile, resilient and versatile.  Anuar also shared that Petronas Carigali's deliverables were significantly growing in terms of number and complexity....  http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/business/article/petronas-carigali-strives-to-improve-efficiency-to-mitigate-oil-plunge-impa#sthash.4SzG0ueH.dpuf

Petronas Chemicals gears up for 80%-85% plant utilisation rate Tuesday, 21 April 2015
KUALA LUMPUR: Integrated chemicals producer, Petronas Chemicals Group Bhd (PCG) is currently pushing for a higher average plant utilisation rate of between 80 to 85 percent in a bid to drive sales volume. PCG President  and  Chief Executive Officer Datuk Sazali Hamzah said the company's efforts in this respect are progressing well.  "PCG has improved operational excellence, with a plant utilisation rate of 80 per cent last year compared with 78 per cent in 2013, and for 2015 our utilisation rate is expected to rise to 80 to 85 per cent.  "And with the latest Sabah Ammonia Urea (SAMUR) plant due for commission next year, PCG's utilisation rate could hit beyond 85 per cent from 2016," he told Bernama on the sidelines of the 3rd Hazards Asia Pacific symposium held here today.......... On the SAMUR project in Sipitang, Sabah and the Refinery and Petrochemical Integrated Development (RAPID) in Pengerang, Johor, Sazali said they are progressing well and on track. "SAMUR is 90 per cent completed and we target to commission it by the first quarter of 2016.
"As for RAPID, as far as I know the project is also progressing as planned," he said.
The world-class SAMUR project aims to produce 740,000 metric tonnes per annum (mtpa) of liquid ammonia and 1.2 mtpa of granulated urea. Meanwhile, RAPID is expected to produce 7.7 mtpa of differentiated and specialty chemicals such as synthetic rubber and high-grade polymers, and its refinery will be capable of producing petrol and diesel that meet Euro 4 and Euro 5 fuel specifications.......... http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/04/21/PCG-gears-up-for-80-85-PCT-plant-utilisation-rate/?style=biz

Pengerang gets Platts’ nod Tuesday, 31 March 2015; PETALING JAYA: The Pengerang oil terminal in Johor is expected to receive greater interest following its inclusion into oil agency Platts Singapore’s pricing assessments for middle distillates and gasoline. Industry players said the inclusion of the Pengerang oil terminal was expected to offer traders more flexibility in loading cargo and improve market liquidity.  “This will help efforts to make Johor the region’s oil and gas trading hub by providing traders accurate and timely information on the prices of oil products,” an analyst said. The Pengerang terminal, majority owned by the 51%-49% joint venture between Dialog Group Bhd and Dutch oil and chemicals storage company Vopak, started operations last year.
“The accreditation (by Platts) will help us in marketing our terminal. We can market to those traders on Platts.  ........Meanwhile, Reuters quoted a source from Vopak who said that the facility was in the process of being filled but it has not yet reached full capacity. “With the Platts approval, we expect interest to pick up,” Reuters quoted the source as saying.  .......Apart from landed storage tanks in Singapore, Platts currently recognised loadings from Pasir Gudang, Tanjung Langsat, Tanjung Bin and certain floating storage units in nearby waters for its Singapore price assessment process.
.......Platts said Pengerang joined those as an alternative delivery location, and would be subject to the same performance requirements and normalisation processes. The terminal has five berths, with the largest able to accommodate a VLCC (very large crude carrier).  The new terminal has an initial storage capacity of 1.3 million cu m over 50 tanks, though a second stage could add an additional one million cu m....... http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/03/31/Pengerang-gets-Platts-nod/?style=biz

12 April 2015: Low oil prices improving economics for Petronas-led B.C. LNG project

Low oil prices improving economics for Petronas-led B.C. LNG project by Yadullah Hussain | April 9, 2015 12:06 PM ET TORONTO – Low oil and gas prices have improved the economics for a Petronas-led natural gas export project on the British Columbia coast as the company looks to make a final investment decision in June. “Over the past three months, we have driven costs down … in a very significant way,” Michael Culbert, CEO of Pacific NorthWest LNG, a consortium led by Malaysia’s state-owned Petronas, told an energy conference in Toronto this week. http://business.financialpost.com/news/energy/low-oil-prices-improving-economics-for-petronas-led-b-c-lng-project?__lsa=1169-da7e

5 April 2015: Japan's Toho Gas to buy LNG,  Petronas’ Botswana operation hit by fall in prices

Japan's Toho Gas to buy LNG from Malaysia's Petronas TOKYO, Tue Mar 31, 2015 1:35am EDT
(Reuters) - Japan's third-biggest city-gas supplier, Toho Gas Co, said on Tuesday it signed a basic agreement with a wholly-owned unit of Malaysia's Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) to buy liquefied natural gas (LNG). The company is set to accept seven to nine LNG cargoes a year during the 10-year contract starting in April 2017, it said in a statement. The prices will be linked to crude and U.S. Henry Hub prices, with an option to change the destination on condition of obtaining the seller's prior consent, it added....... http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/03/31/toho-gas-petroliam-lng-idUSL3N0WX23Y20150331

Petronas’ Botswana operation hit by fall in crude oil prices By: MOHD HAFIDZ MAHPAR Friday, 3 April 2015 KUALA LUMPUR: Petroliam Nasional Bhd’s (Petronas) Botswana-listed operation last year recorded its first profit drop in four years due to the decline in international crude oil prices.
Engen Botswana Ltd told the Botswana Stock Exchange on Friday that its net profit was halved to 65.2 million pula (RM24.1mil) last year on the back of a slightly lower revenue of 2.6 billion pula (RM962mil). The downstream petroleum marketer said its gross profit fell by 26.9% mainly due to the decline in international crude oil prices, which necessitated the revaluation of inventories during the course of the year in line with International Financial Reporting Standards. Foreign exchange gains also decreased from 9.7 million pula (RM3.6mil) at the end of 2013 to 1.4 million pula (about RM520,000) at the end of 2014. It said this was due to the depreciation of the Botswana pula against the South African rand. Engen Ltd, which operates South Africa’s second largest refinery, is 80% owned by Petronas and has a 70% stake in Engen Botswana, according to Engen Botswana’s 2014 annual report..... http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/04/03/Petronas-Botswana-operation-profit-hit-by-fall-in-oil-prices/?style=biz

31 March 2015: Cost management crucial for O&G, says Petronas

Cost management crucial for O&G, says Petronas COO By: WONG WEI-SHEN  Tuesday, 31 March 2015 “I strongly believe that one of the issues that the O&G industry needs to focus on in the current environment is cost management,” said Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) chief operating officer and executive vice-president of downstream Datuk Wan Zulkiflee Wan Ariffin (pic). Due to falling prices and increasing costs, companies are now re-prioritising shareholders’ returns over production growth, he said at the launch of the Offshore Technology Conference (OTC) Asia 2016. He added that across the board, there had been a reduction in budgeted capital expenditure, lower production plans and more targeted exploration efforts, as well as rationalisation of the downstream business.
Petronas executive vice-president and chief executive officer of upstream Datuk Wee Yiaw Hin said: “In this challenging environment, it becomes more important that we really push technology to the limit to help manage cost.”........ http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/03/31/Cost-management-crucial-for-OG-says-Petronas-COO/?style=biz


26 March 2015: PETRONAS Carigali JV strikes oil off Sabah

Petronas Carigali JV strikes oil off Sabah By: MOHD HAFIDZ MAPHAR  Wednesday, 25 March 2015; KUALA LUMPUR: A Japanese-led group exploring Deepwater Block R off Sabah, which includes Petronas Carigali, has made “a significant oil discovery” at the Bestari-1 exploration well. The group comprises operator JX Nippon Oil & Gas (27.5% interest), Inpex Corp of Japan (27.5%), Petronas Carigali (25%) and Australia-listed Santos (20%).... Santos told the Australian Stock Exchange on Wednesday that the discovery was being evaluated with a view to planning an appraisal campaign. “The Bestari-1 well encountered 67 metres of net oil pay in multiple sand packages within the primary Miocene age formation at true vertical subsea depths ranging from 1,860m to 2,702m,” it said. “The oil bearing sands are of high quality with good porosity and permeability. Oil samples, recovered from wireline pressure and sampling tools, confirm 27-30 degree API Oil with no indication of hydrogen sulphide and neglible carbon dioxide.”.... Petronas awarded the production sharing contract for Deepwater Block R, a 672 sq km area where the well is located, in January 2012. .... The national oil company said the exploration block was near key discoveries such as the Kikeh, Kebabangan, and Gumusut-Kakap fields. http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/03/25/Petronas-Carigali-JV-strikes-oil-off-Sabah/?style=biz

24 March 2015: Petronas says $5 bln bond issue for capex, possible M&As - Reuters

Malaysia's Petronas says $5 bln bond issue for capex, possible M&As KUALA LUMPUR, March 19  Thu Mar 19, 2015 4:00am EDT (Reuters) - Malaysia's Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) plans to use the $5 billion it raised in Asia's largest bond offering so far this year for corporate expenses as well as possible acquisitions, the company said. In a statement to Reuters, the state-owned energy firm, which posted its first quarterly loss in at least five years in the fourth quarter due to the slump in global oil prices, declined to give any details about its potential M&A plans. It had earlier stated plans to cut capital expenditure by 10 percent and operating expenses by up to 30 percent this year, but still went ahead with the bond and sukuk issue, its first foray into the debt market in six years. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/03/19/malaysia-petroliam-bonds-idUSL3N0WK3SJ20150319

 12 March 2015: US$5 billion bonds sold, some bonds sold at lower premium than initially offered, analyst says "risk on for Asia" when PETRONAS gets the deal out, new PETRONAS bonds seemed expensive compared to the curve but cheaper than CNOOC (PETRONAS used to trade inside CNOOC)

Malaysia’s Petronas Sells $5 Billion of U.S. Dollar Bonds by Elffie Chewand Christopher Langner 2:25 PM HKT  March 11, 2015; (Bloomberg) -- Petroliam Nasional Bhd., Malaysia’s state-owned oil company, sold $5 billion of dollar-denominated bonds Wednesday.... Petronas issued the debt in four parts, including a sukuk tranche, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The longest-dated portion was $1.5 billion of 4.5 percent, 30-year bonds that yield 1.9 percentage points more than similar-maturity U.S. Treasuries.... The Kuala Lumpur-based energy company borrowed in dollars at a time when Malaysian issuers in the currency are the worst performers in Asia for the year. It also sold $1.5 billion of 3.5 percent, 10-year notes, $750 million of 3.125 percent, seven-year securities, and $1.25 billion of five-year 2.707 percent sukuk, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Petronas’s new Islamic bonds were sold at a premium of 110 basis points. It had initially offered the debt with a yield of about 135 basis points, people familiar with the matter said earlier this week.
Its seven-year conventional debt paid 130 basis points, versus a marketing spread of about 150, while the 10-year and 30-year securities were marketed at about 175 basis points and 220 basis points respectively. The 30-year debentures priced at a 190 basis-point premium.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-03-11/petronas-prepares-7-billion-bond-as-borrowing-costs-soar-on-oil

ASIA CREDIT CLOSE: Petronas curve holds steady as EM bonds weaken Wed Mar 11, 2015 4:54am EDT; SINGAPORE, March 11 (IFR) - Malaysian energy giant Petronas Corp dominated attention today with its four-tranche bond and sukuk offering, which is expected to be USD6bn-7bn in size.... "If Petronas can get this deal out of the door, it will be risk on for Asia," said one credit trader. "That's not a given, thanks to the size and the weak oil price."... Petronas's old bonds were little changed, despite the new supply. The 2019s were at Treasuries plus 115bp/122bp, around 2bp wider, while the 2022s were at T+135bp/140bp. The new bonds offer around a 5bp concession to the curve, according to a bond investor. However, many investors are underweight Malaysia, and a new issue of benchmark bonds gives them a quick way to balance their portfolios.... Investors said that the new Petronas bonds seemed expensive compared to the curve, but cheap in comparison to CNOOC's 2018s, for example, which were quoted today at a Z spread of 77bp/86bp. Petronas used to trade inside CNOOC.... http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/03/11/markets-asia-debt-idUSL4N0WD35920150311


9 March 2015: PETRONAS starts roadshow for RM17 billion bond and sukuk, S&P assigns preliminary A- to sukuk,  Mahathir urges external auditors to allay public concerns about the billions of overseas investments by PETRONAS and other key entities / agencies

REFILE-Malaysia's Petronas begins $17 bln bond and sukuk drive Thu Mar 5, 2015 7:28am EST
(Reuters) - Malaysian energy company Petronas began roadshows on Thursday to raise up to $17 billion from conventional and Islamic bonds, or sukuk, for working capital.... State-owned Petronas met potential investors for a $15 billion multi-currency conventional bond programme and a one-off dollar-denominated sukuk issuance of $2 billion, two sources told Reuters.... A spokesman from Petronas confirmed the plans.... Bank of America Merrill Lynch, CIMB Group Holdings , Morgan Stanley MUFG, JP Morgan and Citibank are lead arrangers, while HSBC and Deutsche Bank are playing smaller supporting roles, the sources said. Petronas will conduct roadshows in Kuala Lumpur, Abu Dhabi, Dubai, London, Hong Kong, Boston, Los Angeles and New York from Thursday to March 10, they added. Ratings agency Standard & Poor's on Thursday assigned a preliminary rating of A- to the Petronas sukuk.... The move by Petronas comes after the company announced its first quarterly loss in at least five years on Feb. 27 because of the global slump in oil prices. It stated plans to cut capital expenditure by 10 percent and operating expenses by up to 30 percent this year.... http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/03/05/petronas-bond-idUSL4N0W744U20150305

Felda chairman’s son quizzed on London luxury hotel buy Published: 7 March 2015 5:09 PM; Felda's overseas buying spree was raised by former prime minister Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad earlier this year, when he urged Putrajaya to appoint external auditors for all its agencies to allay public concerns about the billions being spent on investments across the world. "We see entities such as Felda, EPF, Tabung Haji spending billions in acquiring foreign properties while others such as MAHB (Malaysia Airports Holdings Bhd) and Petronas have bought shares in airports and Canadian ventures also involving huge sums of money," the former PM had written in his blog.... http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/felda-chairmans-son-quizzed-on-london-luxury-hotel-buy#sthash.ATeX0UAr.dpuf

28 February 2015: PETRONAS says no more RSCs when oil price below US$80, earnings weakness in Malaysia O&G inevitable with 10-15% capex cuts in 2014-2015 (mulling 30% opex cut too), Canada project FID by June 2015 with award of capital tax allowance (sources earlier said not given) and re-bidding of tenders to save cost.

 Malaysia’s Petronas Swings to First Quarterly Loss- State oil-and-gas firm intends to cut investment plans over next two years after $2.7 billion loss.By Saurabh Chaturvedi  Feb. 27, 2015 8:33 a.m. ET
KUALA LUMPUR, Malaysia--Malaysia’s national oil-and-gas company, Petroliam Nasional Bhd., or Petronas, on Friday said it would cut its investment plans by as much as 30 billion ringgit ($8.3 billion) in the next two years as the company reported its first-ever quarterly loss.... Petronas Chief Financial Officer George Ratilal told reporters that the loss was primarily due to the fall in global crude-oil prices and on account of some asset impairment charges totaling 20 billion ringgit for the full year. ... The company’s cut represents a reduction of 10%-15% for this year and the next as Petronas expects crude prices to hover around the $55-a-barrel level, Chief Executive  Shamsul Azhar Abbas  told reporters at an earnings briefing. The company is also evaluating options to cut operating expenses by 30%.... http://www.wsj.com/articles/malaysian-state-oil-gas-energy-firm-petronas-posts-first-ever-quarterly-loss-1425043981

Shamsul: No more RSC for third party for now  By: NG BEI SHAN  Saturday, 28 February 2015
THERE was a time when redeveloping marginal oil fields was a “hot” topic among local oil and gas services players.... Some of these companies’ aspirations to move upstream, however, are shattered as Petrolaim Nasional Bhd (Petronas) has reiterated that it would not dish out any more new risk sharing contracts (RSC) at below US$80 per barrel.... “We don’t see any future awards of RSC contracts at prices below that,” says president and chief executive officer Tan Sri Shamsul Azhar Abbas....
It will be re-developing the brownfields on its own via Vestigo Petroleum Sdn Bhd, a subsidiary that was set up less than two years ago to develop small and mature fields... “We reckon the time has come for us to say that we are capable of doing this ourselves rather than award to other international or local players,” he says, explaining that the upstream unit of the national oil company has garnered the capabilities and knowledge from its partners over the years.... To recap, Petronas’ upstream unit Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd has established Vestigo in July 2013 to complement the former’s upstream activities with the focus on small, marginal and mature fields.... http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/02/28/Shamsul-No-more-RSC-for-third-party-for-now/?style=biz

Earnings weakness from O&G inevitable Saturday, 28 February 2015; IT must have come as a shock for Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) to report its first quarterly loss in five years since it started reporting quarterly figures. The RM7.3bil loss was mainly due to an impairment of assets after a revaluation, but the headline figure does indicate that 2015 is not going to be rosy. Petronas has said it will cut capital expenditure (capex) by 10% this year and by 30% for some items. This directly means less activity for the sector, and it has started to show in some of the oil and gas (O&G) service providers in the latest earnings season. http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/02/28/Earnings-weakness-from-OG-inevitable-Any-more-Stuart-Gullivers-out-there-Feeling-the-pinch-from-MAS/?style=biz

Canada project on track Saturday, 28 February 2015; PETROLIAM Nasional Bhd (Petronas) will make a final investment decision (FID) on a project to build a multi-billion-ringgit liquefied natural gas (LNG) export terminal in British Columbia, Canada, by June this year... However, president and chief executive officer Tan Sri Shamsul Azhar Abbas has alluded that the national oil company would pursue the development as it has received what it wanted from the Government and was waiting for further approvals.... “The issues outstanding with the local provincial government and the Canadian government have been resolved. The capital allowance will be given, which will further improve the economics of the project,” he said yesterday... He also dismissed speculation that Petronas was considering walking out of the project because of the economics.... “Enough of such speculation …we can wait until the end of June and still complete it within time,” he reiterated.
Petronas will be re-bidding the tenders for the job to build the LNG plant because cost has come down with the decline in oil and gas prices.... http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/02/28/Canada-project-on-track/?style=biz


27 February 2015: PETRONAS 4Q2014 loss or RM9.9 billion / US$2.7 billion on US$76.27 Brent (down from US$109.27 a year ago) and impairment, planned capex spend will be cut by RM30 billion over next two years, PETRONAS cash from operations RM10 billion shortfall versus capex spend and dividend commitments in 2015 says Moody's; Shamsul's says 2015 outlook likely "bad"

Petronas Turns to $2.7 Billion Fourth-Quarter Loss on Oil Slump 'By' Pooi Koon Chong 5:31 PM AWST   February 27, 2015 (Bloomberg) -- Petroliam Nasional Bhd., the Malaysian state oil company preparing for a leadership transition in April, reported a loss in the fourth quarter following crude’s plunge. The loss was 9.9 billion ringgit ($2.7 billion) in the three months through Dec. 31, compared with a 9.6 billion ringgit profit a year ago. Revenue dropped 6.4 percent to 79.4 billion ringgit. ... “Petronas Group is taking steps to reduce its planned capital investments and operating expenditure in order to mitigate the potential adverse effect on its profitability and cash flows,” the company said in a statement today.... Natural gas futures dropped to $2.58 per million British thermal units on Feb. 6, the lowest since 2012, while Brent futures are down 44 percent since June. Petronas derived 21 percent of its revenue from gas and an equal amount from crude, with petroleum products being the... Petronas will pay Malaysia’s government, its sole shareholder, a dividend of 26 billion ringgit from 2014 profit of 37 billion ringgit, Petronas Chief Financial Officer George Ratilal told reporters in Kuala Lumpur. Planned capital spending will be cut by as much as 30 billion ringgit over the next two years, he said.... Petronas won’t generate enough cash from operations this year to cover capital spending and dividend commitments, said Vikas Halan, a Singapore-based vice president at Moody’s Investors Service Inc., estimating the shortfall to be at least 10 billion ringgit. .. Petronas deferred its final decision to build a C$36 billion ($29 billion) liquefied natural gas project in Canada’s British Columbia in December, citing low oil prices...Petronas has said it aims to reduce its share in the development to as low as 50 percent..... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-02-27/petronas-turns-to-2-7-billion-fourth-quarter-loss-on-oil-slump

Petronas postst first quarterly loss in 4Q, braces for grim year ahead - Petronas said the Dated Brent averaged US$76.27 in 4QFY14, a decline from US$109.27 a year ago...on prospects, Shamsul 2015 will likely be "bad"...http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/petronas-posts-first-quarterly-loss-4q-braces-grim-year-ahead-0

Malaysia's Petronas posts $2 bln quarterly loss amid global oil slump KUALA LUMPUR  Fri Feb 27, 2015 3:03pm IST http://in.reuters.com/article/2015/02/27/petronas-results-idINL4N0VL1TV20150227

25 February 2015: Canada hopes C$18+ billion BC LNG project put on hold on 3 Dec 2014 will be revived on major cost drop; PETRONAS "humble pie" says Kinibiz on novation of four LNG carriers costing US$1.1 billion to MISC 

Petronas visit bolsters hopes for dormant B.C. LNG project  by BRENT JANG; VANCOUVER — The Globe and Mail;  Published Sunday, Feb. 22 2015, 4:27 PM EST; A major B.C. LNG project put on hold by Petronas in December is showing signs of a revival as three executives from the Malaysian energy giant prepare to visit Canada..... The Pacific NorthWest LNG joint venture, led by Malaysia’s state-owned Petronas, is positioned to become the first major exporter of liquefied natural gas from Canada, despite a delay that has lasted nearly three months.... On Dec. 3, Petronas and its four Asian partners placed the venture on hold indefinitely due to anticipated high capital costs that make the project uneconomic to build.... Since then, Petronas-led Pacific NorthWest LNG has made progress in extracting cost savings from prospective contractors and suppliers, B.C. Deputy Premier Rich Coleman said. “Evidently, those costs have come down dramatically,” he said in an interview.... The Petronas-led group estimates that $36-billion will need to be spent in order to achieve planned exports to Asia in 2019. The huge budget includes $6.7-billion in two pipeline projects and $11.4-billion for the export plant at Lelu Island, located near Prince Rupert in northwestern British Columbia... Incoming Petronas chief executive officer Wan Zulkiflee Wan Ariffin will travel to Vancouver to meet with B.C. Premier Christy Clark and Mr. Coleman....Pacific NorthWest LNG is scrutinizing international engineering costs, subcontractors and two natural gas pipelines to be built by TransCanada Corp. – the $5-billion Prince Rupert Gas Transmission plan and the $1.7-billion North Montney Mainline.... http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/industry-news/energy-and-resources/after-delay-in-lng-deal-petronas-chiefs-to-visit-bc-in-march/article23141240/

Petronas eats RM4bil humble pie By TigerTalk  8:47AM Feb 25, 2015; KINIBIZ The collapse of crude oil price in the last 12 months is forcing many oil giants (to quote the usual biz speak) “rethink”, “reprioritise” and “reposition” their business plans drastically. Budgets are slashed. Expenditure reduced. Mega projects are postponed or scaled down.... In many cases, some may say that they are eating a long overdue humble pie.... Case in point is the recent move by Malaysia’s state oil company Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) to transfer ownership of four new liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers to Malaysia International Shipping Corporation Bhd (MISC).... The carriers will be constructed for an estimated US$1.1 billion (RM4 billion) and are to be delivered to MISC in 2016-2017.... Petronas will then charter these LNG vessels from MISC for 15 years, or maybe even more.... The deal is practically an amendment to a deal that was signed two years ago. It novates or replaces a previous shipbuilding contract signed in 2013 between Petronas, MISC and Hyundai Heavy Industries (HHI)... http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/290144

24 February 2015: MISC - PETRONAS extends time on 5 and signs 5 new LNG carriers

MISC reports that Petronas extends the time charter of five existing LNG carriers and signs on five new LNG carriers. UOBKH Research 24 Feb 2015.

22 February 2015: SapuraKencana's Mokzhani sees need for PETRONAS to manage expectations of Malaysia O&G players as well as sector consolidation (4,000 companies of which 40 are public listed); PETRONAS to set aside RM2.1 billion for Sarawak O&G contractors; Johor to take 10% stake in Pengerang Terminals 2 and Pengerang LNG 2; Pengerang Package III contracts awards; Petronas-Vopak-Dialog industrial terminal info

New Petronas CEO urged to encourage consolidation By: WONG WEI-SHEN Saturday, 21 February 2015; A prominent oil and gas (O&G) player feels that one of the primary tasks of the newly appointed president and chief executive officer of Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) should be to encourage consolidation within the industry....  “He has to encourage consolidation, as a lot of service companies had mushroomed in the last five to 10 years, enjoying US$100 oil. Having said that, at US$50 oil, we will all have to revisit our cost structures and find efficiencies to help with bringing costs down,” says SapuraKencana Petroleum Bhd vice-chairman Tan Sri Mokhzani Mahathir (pic) of Petronas’ new head Datuk Wan Zulkiflee Wan Ariffin.... Mokhzani is one of the major shareholders in SapuraKencana with a 10.38% equity stake. He also has a 18.55% stake in Yinson Holdings Bhd via Kencana Capital Sdn Bhd.... To paint a clearer picture, there are currently about 4,000 O&G firms that come under the purview of the International Trade and Industry Ministry, while only about 40 of them are listed on the local bourse.... Wan Zulkiflee will be taking over the helm from Tan Sri Shamsul Azhar Abbas starting April 1.... Mokhzani foresees more companies turning to Petronas for help and shelter during this “rough patch” for the next two years.... While there is no more cheap oil production, innovative solutions can help save, Mokhzani adds.... “That’s where Petronas has to encourage Vestigo/Carigali to work smarter with contractors to do this. I think Wan Zulkiflee will be the right person to spearhead this new business approach.... “He has to manage the expectations of both his shareholder and stakeholders (everyone involved in the O&G industry),” he says.... http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/02/21/New-Petronas-CEO-urged-to-encourage-consolidation/?style=biz

RM2.1bn Petronas ang pow just for Sarawak by FMT Reporters  | February 21, 2015
Exclusive yearly bonanza for oil and gas contractors in the state; KUCHING: Oil and gas contractors in Sarawak have been given a RM2.1 billion “ang pow” from Petronas, to be given every year. The figure is the value of yearly contracts that will be set aside by the national oil corporation exclusively for oil and gas contractors in the state, Star Online reported today.... http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2015/02/21/rm2-1bn-petronas-ang-pow-just-for-sarawak/

Johor state to take 10% stake in Petronas’ Pengerang terminals Thursday, 5 February 2015  KUALA LUMPUR: The State Secretary, Johor (Incorporated) will take a 10% stake in two terminals at Petroliam Nasional Bhd’s Pengerang Integrated Complex (PIC).  The Johor government had on Thursday signed two lease agreements with Pengerang Terminals (Two) Sdn Bhd (PT-2) and Pengerang LNG (Two) Sdn Bhd (PLNG-2) respectively.  “The issuance of the lease agreements by the state of Johor marks the next stage of progress in the development of Petronas’ Pengerang Integrated Complex (PIC) in Pengerang, Johor,” said the national oil company. Subsequent to the signing of the agreements, the Johor government would hold a 10% equity in PT-2 and PLNG-2 respectively. PT-2 terminal will serve as a dedicated storage and industrial terminal for Petronas’ Refinery and Petrochemical Integrated Development (RAPID) complex.... RAPID is estimated to cost US$16bil while the associated facilities will involve an investment of about US$11bil.  http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/02/05/Johor-state-to-take-10pct-stake-in-Petronas-Pengerang-terminals/?style=biz

Muhibbah gets RM116m Petronas Rapid job in Pengerang Published: February 4, 2015 02:48 PM
KUALA LUMPUR, Feb 4 — Muhibbah Engineering (M) Bhd today announced it has been awarded a RM16 million contract by Tecnicas Reunidas, SA Group for the design and building of temporary construction facilities and accommodation camp for package three in Petronas’ Refinery and Petrochemicals Integrated Development (Rapid) project in Pengerang, Johor. In a filing to Bursa Malaysia, Muhibbah said the construction was scheduled to commence in the first quarter and was expected to be completed by the first quarter of 2016. Tecnicas Reunidas is one of the leading international engineering and construction company for oil and gas production, refining and petrochemicals and power generation projects. The company was awarded by Petronas as an engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning (EPCC) contractor for Package III, the construction of kerosene hydrotreating unit, diesel hydrotreating unit, naphtha hydrotreating unit, cracked naphtha hydrotreating unit, and continuous catalytic reformer units in Petronas’ Rapid project. - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/money/article/muhibbih-gets-rm116m-petronas-rapid-job-in-pengerang#sthash.CzKiXoVh.dpuf

Petronas, Vopak, Dialog to develop major storage terminal in Malaysia 4 February 2015 The companies recently signed a shareholders agreement for the development in Pengerang, JohorPetronas, Dialog and Vopak are to develop and operate an industrial terminal in Pengerang, Johor, Malaysia. The industrial terminal will serve the world scale Petronas Refinery and Petrochemicals Integrated Development (RAPID) project. Each company recently signed the shareholders agreement to jointly develop an industrial terminal in Pengerang, Johor, Malaysia. Vopak will have a 25% share. The industrial terminal will serve the users of the new world-scale Petronas' RAPID project which is an integral section of Petronas Pengerang Integrated Complex (PIC). The industrial terminal will have a storage capacity up to 2.1 million m3 for crude, refined products, petrochemical products and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). The marine infrastructure includes 12 berths. The 24m draft can accommodate very large crude carriers. Berths for unloading and reloading of LNG vessels up to QMax are included in the project plans. - See more at: http://www.tankstoragemag.com/industry_news.php?item_id=8809#sthash.D29xVXWC.dpuf


13 February 2015: "1MDB Mess Clouds Petronas $7 Billion Debt Proposal" - Bloomberg
1MDB Mess Clouds Petronas $7 Billion Debt Proposal; 'By' Christopher Langner and Elffie Chew  12:00 AM AWST  February 13, 2015; (Bloomberg) -- Malaysia’s national oil company Petroliam Nasional Bhd is paying for troubles at a state investment fund.... The yield premium on Petronas’s 2022 U.S. dollar-denominated debt over Treasuries has surged 54 basis points in the last six months after the government said it wasn’t liable for 1Malaysia Development Bhd’s debt and the fund missed a loan payment. That was unfortunate timing for Petronas, which is planning its first dollar bond in five years to raise as much as $7 billion, according to people familiar with the matter.... The cost of insuring Malaysian sovereign debt reached a 16-month high on Jan. 13, one week after local media reported 1MDB’s missed payment, and is up 27 basis points since Dec. 31. Fitch Ratings said last month it may downgrade Asia’s only net crude exporter, citing plunging oil prices and “uncertainty” surrounding finances of the investment fund, whose advisory board is headed by Prime Minister Najib Razak.... “The 1MDB mess is being factored into the spreads for Malaysia and there aren’t that many bonds in which you can express that view,” said Dilip Parameswaran, the Hong Kong-based head of independent advisory firm Asia Investment Advisors Ltd. “That, mixed with lower oil prices and a potential downgrade of the sovereign, are all weighing on Petronas.” ... Natural gas futures dropped to $2.58 per million British thermal units on Feb. 6, the lowest since 2012, while the price of Brent futures is down 46 percent since June. Petronas derived 21 percent of its revenue from gas and an equal amount from crude, with petroleum products being the biggest contributor to its top line, according to its 2013 annual results...The investment fund (1MDB) failed to repay a 2 billion ringgit loan due in December, Edge Financial Daily reported Jan. 6. The spread on the 2023 notes soared 115 basis points in two days to 417 basis points. It had widened to a record 430 basis points on Feb. 12...http://khoryuleng.blogspot.com/2014/08/sovereign-wealth-fund-swf-news.html

More news links on 1MDB here: http://khoryuleng.blogspot.com/2014/08/sovereign-wealth-fund-swf-news.html

12 February 2015: PETRONAS goes to bond market for $7 billion with Deutsche, CIMB & BofA

Today Petronas announced their biggest USD bond offering ($7b)  where they mandated Deutsche, CIMB & Bk of America.

KL bank specialists have interesting observations on choice of mandated banks.

10 February 2015: PETRONAS CEO announcement goes to the wire - Wan Zulkiflee (COO and head of downstream) succeeds Shamsul  on 1 April 2015; Shamsul expected 7-month extension did not eventuate

Malaysia Names Wan Zulkiflee as Petronas CEO Succeeding Shamsul  'By'Pooi Koon Chong
5:59 PM AWST  February 9, 2015 (Bloomberg) -- Malaysia named Wan Zulkiflee Wan Ariffin as president and chief executive officer of state oil company Petroliam Nasional Bhd from April.
Wan Zulkiflee succeeds Shamsul Azhar Abbas, whose contract ends today and will serve through March 31, Prime Minister Najib Razak said in a statement via state news service Bernama today. Wan Zulkiflee, currently Petronas’ chief operating officer and head of its downstream business, will take over the top post in a three-year term.... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-02-09/malaysia-names-wan-zulkiflee-as-petronas-ceo-succeeding-shamsul

Next 24 hours will determine who runs Petronas By: RISEN JAYASEELAN Monday, 9 February 2015; While it had been widely reported recently that the oil giant’s current president and chief executive officer, Tan Sri Shamsul Azhar Abbas, will be offered only a 7-month contract extension, nothing has been firmed up yet considering that there is no statement from Petronas at the time of writing.... The last day of his contract is supposed to be today.... Four names have been speculated to be front runners for this – Datuk Wan Zulkiflee Wan Ariffin, Datuk Mohd Anuar Taib, Datuk Ahmad Nizam Salleh and Md Arif Mahmood.... http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/02/09/Next-24-hours-will-determine-who-runs-Petronas/?style=biz


4 February 2015: Malaysia - PETRONAS next pressure point in LNG risk, BofA says 10% fall in LNG price worsens current account by 0.5% GDP versus 10% oil price drop impact of 0.1% of GDP

Malaysia's Next Pressure Point Looms in LNG Risk, BofA Says 'By' Sharon Chen 11:45 AM BNT   February 3, 2015; (Bloomberg) -- Malaysia’s current account surplus will probably narrow as liquefied natural gas prices drop, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch, adding a new risk to the nation’s weakening economic outlook.... LNG prices may be down 50 percent by the middle of this year from last June, as they track oil with a lag of four to six months, according to Singapore-based Bank of America economist Chua Hak Bin. Such a decline would probably reduce Malaysia’s current account surplus by about 2.5 percent to 3 percent of gross domestic product, he wrote in a report Tuesday.... “Collapsing LNG prices will likely be the next pressure point,” Chua said. “Malaysia may be a small net oil exporter but the net gas trade surplus is huge” at 58.9 billion ringgit ($16 billion), or 6 percent of GDP in 2013, he said.... Crude prices at about half the level of a year ago have forced oil-producing Malaysia to cut government expenditure.... The currency has fallen more than 11 percent against the U.S. dollar in the past six months, the second-worst performer among 11 most-traded Asian currencies tracked by Bloomberg.....  Malaysia’s current-account surplus shrank to 7.6 billion ringgit in the third quarter, the smallest in more than a year. A 10 percent decline in LNG prices will worsen the current account by about 0.5 percent of GDP while a 10 percent drop in oil prices will only hurt the current account by 0.1 of GDP, according to Chua..... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-02-03/malaysia-current-account-surplus-to-narrow-on-lng-bofa-says

31 January 2015: PETRONAS affirms planned RM60 billion for Pengerang, questions about Johor's multiple oil & gas hubs, on-hold APH rights sold Dubai investors with no progress since, Benalec reclaimed land project in echo of newbie reclaimed projects affecting Johor property sector?

One too many oil and gas hubs By: M. SHANMUGAM Saturday, 31 January 2015
Going forward, what the nation would be watching closely is the kind of numbers that Petronas would be forecasting to churn out this year. Considering that Brent crude has come down by more than 50% since it hit a high of US$115 per barrel on June 19 last year, Petronas’ earnings would be impacted. The impact would be felt not only in the pockets of the Treasury but also the 4,000-odd oil and gas companies operating in Malaysia. Petronas, however, had said that it would not reduce its planned expenditure for the integrated oil and gas hub in Pengerang where it would be spending RM60bil over several phases. This amount would multiply many times over if investments from other oil and gas majors to set up downstream oil and gas related ventures in Pengerang are included.
...........However, the oil and gas hub in Pengerang is not the only one coming up in Johor.
Earlier this week, Benalec Holdings Bhd received approval to reclaim some 1,400ha in the Straits of Johor that will be developed into an oil and gas hub. Benalec is essentially a company that made its fortune by reclaiming sea-fronting land in Malacca and selling or jointly developing it. Its expertise is to reclaim land. But the business plan that it has mapped out for its 1,400ha of proposed development in Johor is similar to the Petronas-led Pengerang development, albeit on a smaller scale. Benalec has influential partners in the form of the Johor royalty and businessman Daing A. Malek Rahman. So although it seems like a Herculean effort for Benalec, there is no reason to doubt that the project is here to stay......Apart from Benalec’s proposed oil and gas project in Tanjung Piai, there are two more oil and gas hubs in Johor already in operations – in Tanjung Langsat and Tanjong Bin.
Johor Corp owns the Tanjung Langsat oil and gas terminal and it operates the oil and gas hub together with its partners Trafigura, Technip and MISC. As for Tanjung Bin, there is a petrochemical and maritime industrial park there that is owned by MMC Corp Bhd and its partners are Vitol and MISC. Not to be forgotten is the yet to be completed Asia Petroleum Hub (APH) bunkering and storage facility that is saddled by financial difficulties and is now under the control of banks. CIMB Banking group announced in September that it was selling its rights on the APH project that is to build oil storage and bunkering facilities, to a group of investors from Dubai. Since the announcement, there has not been any progress.......... There is nothing wrong in the creation of oil and gas hubs. But too many hubs lead to over-crowding and eventually forces price-cutting. The end result is there will be casualties. It is already happening in the Johor property sector where prices are dropping. The Iskandar dream is in jeopardy because of several unplanned projects on reclaimed land.......... http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/01/31/One-too-many-oil-and-gas-hubs/?style=biz

29 January 2015: PETRONAS alternative energy from shale gas in Canada and Australia might not see immediate returns (but be for future generations?), JGC Corp US$502 million contract to expand LNG Bintulu to help Japan energy security

Petronas digs deeper for future generations by yuen meikeng Updated: Thursday January 29, 2015 MYT 7:51:00 AM;  PETALING JAYA: Exciting times lie ahead for Petronas as it explores new sources of oil and gas or “unconventional energy” at locations which include Canada and Australia.
“Petronas is investing heavily in unconventional energy as we are working hard to safeguard and ensure that there is sufficient energy supply for future generations” said Dr Chan Tuck Leong (pic), the process engineering head of Pacific Northwest LNG, a subsidiary of Petronas. He said unconventional hydrocarbon resources were oil and gas, similar to what consumers use today.
In its venture in Canada, Petronas will be converting natural gas extracted from the shale reservoirs into liquefied natural gas (LNG), similar to its operations in Malaysia LNG, Bintulu. Apart from Canada, Petronas has been exploring and producing different types of unconventional energy in Australia too. Dr Chan said these investments might not see immediate returns, but “would definitely benefit future generations”. http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2015/01/29/Petronas-digs-deeper-for-future-generations-Company-explores-new-sources-of-oil-and-gas-as-far-as-Ca/

Japan’s JGC Corp secures US$502m Petronas contract By: JOSEPH CHIN  Monday, 26 January 2015; KUALA LUMPUR: Japan’s JGC Corporation has secured a 60bil yen (US$502mil) contract from Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) to expand the facilities at its liquefied natural gas (LNG) complex in Bintulu, Sarawak.... JGC Corporation said on Monday the contract was awarded by Petronas LNG 9 Sdn Bhd (PL9SB) which included engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning (EPCC).... JGC Corporation said the PLC is one of the world’s largest LNG production facilities and has eight production trains with a combined capacity of 25.7 million tonnes per annum (MPTA). JGC said the project would help stabilise Malaysia’s capacity to export LNG which would help to support the country’s continuing economic growth.  “The project will also be important in helping Japan’s energy security, as they currently rely on Malaysia for more than 15% of its total LNG imports,” it said.  http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/01/26/Japan-JGC-Corp-secures-US$502m-Petronas-contract/?style=biz


20 January 2015: GDP outlook dampened, Ringgit at 6 year low, qualitative budget adjustments, most savings from removal of energy subsidy? Petronas' dividend slightly lower as calculated on last year's prices. PETRONAS quashes talk of plan to cut 10% of its workforce.

29 January clarification: An economist friend confirms that the energy subsidy cut savings was already built into models and known with effect for Dec 2014; so the recent budget revisions would not reflect such savings

Petronas Says NST's Job Cuts Article is 'Misreported and Inaccurate' by  Rigzone Staff  Tuesday, January 20, 2015; Malaysia's state-owned Petroliam Nasional Berhad (Petronas) clarified Sunday that a local newspaper's article published Saturday saying that the firm plans to trim its workforce by more than 10 percent was "misreported and inaccurate", the firm said in a press release.... In an article entitled "Petronas Trimming Expenditure," the New Straits Times (NST) reported that the Malaysian national oil company plans to reduce its workforce by around one-tenth "as part of measures to lower operating cost in response to the plunging global oil prices," the newspaper said, citing unnamed company officials.... "The downsizing and restructuring would include axing redundant positions and underperforming staff," the NST article revealed, quoting a company official who disclosed that these issues were raised at a senior management briefing last week that was led by Petronas CEO Shamsul Azhar Abbas.... http://www.rigzone.com/news/oil_gas/a/136842/Petronas_Says_NSTs_Job_Cuts_Article_is_Misreported_and_Inaccurate#sthash.kyZZj5g5.dpuf

Petronas’ dividend ‘slightly lower’ this year Published: 20 January 2015 4:07 PM. Petronas' dividend contribution to the government this year will be slightly lower than the previous contribution as the amount would be calculated based on last year's crude oil price. Dispelling misconceptions that the national oil corporation's contribution to the government would be severely slashed due to the slump in crude oil prices, Treasury Secretary-General Tan Sri Dr Mohd Irwan Serigar Abdullah said the amount, which has been decided by Petronas, would be announced soon. "Last year, the price was strong whereby in June Brent crude oil was sold at US$115 per barrel. googletag.cmd.push(function() {googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1400601790726-3');}); "It (amount) will be slightly lower, but not that much of a drop in dividends," he told reporters after a briefing on the special address on measures to strengthen Malaysia's economic resilience by Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak today... http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/business/article/petronas-dividend-slightly-lower-this-year#sthash.Ijo9EZtx.dpuf

A downgrade to GDP growth outlook and some trimming of the federal budget (including a move to defer the National Service programme, which would save the country RM400 million) and qualitative changes. Chatting with analyst friend at lunch, the quick reaction was that the oil price drop impact is likely mitigated in large part by the removal of energy subsidies - on fuel subsidy alone that saves some RM11 billion, and more also saved on gas subsidies. Last year some RM70 billion came to the federal budget from PETRONAS.

What is Putrajaya cutting from Budget 2015? By Ida Lim Published: January 20, 2015 12:07 PMUPDATED: January 20, 2015 02:33 pm; He said that the government stood to save RM10.7 billion by removing direct fuel subsidies for the public and using the managed float mechanism for RON95 petrol and diesel. - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/what-is-putrajaya-cutting-from-budget-2015#sthash.c0QA6w6M.dpuf

PM announces measures to strengthen Malaysia's economic resilience Last updated on 20 January 2015 - 09:18pm; In a special address this morning, Najib said that the government remained confident that the country's gross domestic product (GDP) will grow by between 4.5% to 5.5% in 2015. Meanwhile, in light of falling oil prices, volatile capital flows and a worsening global economic outlook, the prime minister also announced that Malaysia's fiscal deficit target would be revised to 3.2% of GDP in 2015.... "It is higher than the three per cent set out in the Budget, but lower than the 3.5% in 2014, and in line with the government's continuing commitment to fiscal consolidation," said Najib.... The development expenditure for 2015 meanwhile would be fully maintained, but operating expenditure is expected to be reduced by RM5.5 billion, he said. The government will also encourage government-linked-companies (GLCs) and government-linked investment companies (GLICs) to invest domestically; further reduce the cost of doing business; allocate 30% of the annual procurement budget of government agencies and GLCs for goods and services to local SME producers; and increase local goods and services in government procurement.
http://www.thesundaily.my/news/1301381

Highlights of PM's special address on the economy Last updated on 20 January 2015 - 03:23pm
* Malaysia is a crude oil exporter. Thus, when oil prices plummeted recently, there was a perception that export receipts will also decline drastically and result in a current account deficit. Indeed, this perception is not correct.
* As a net crude oil exporter, Malaysia had a surplus of RM7.7 billion from January to November 2014.
* Malaysia is an importer of petroleum products with a net import bill of RM8.9 billion during the same period.
* The perception that Malaysia is a large oil producer is also not true
http://www.thesundaily.my/news/1301422

Ringgit extends losses against US dollar at close - Bernama Last updated on 20 January 2015 - 07:27pm; At 5pm, the local note was quoted at 3.6060/6730 against the greenback compared with 3.5700/5590 on Monday. A dealer said the ringgit hit a near six-year low after the government increased its fiscal deficit target to 3.2 per cent of gross domestic product and cut forecast economic growth and inflation this year to adjust the country's budget after a sharp fall in earnings from oil and gas.... http://www.thesundaily.my/news/1302135

18 January 2015: Najib to hold 20 January talk but consensus that Malaysia can hold up with removal energy subsidies and new 6% GST; some concern over impact of PETRONAS Sarawak gas pipeline explosion in June 2014 on its earnings

This Is Asia's 'Undisputed Loser' From Oil and Fiscal Cuts Are Looming By Sharon Chen and Liau Y-Sing  Jan 16, 2015 10:44 AM GMT+0800; The plunge in oil prices that spurred a currency crisis in Russia and endangered Venezuela’s leadership is also roiling markets in Malaysia, a net oil exporter in Southeast Asia. Economists say it’s not time to panic, yet.... For one thing, Malaysia’s oil and gas products account for about 22 percent of its exports, compared with more than 70 percent for Russia’s energy. For another, Prime Minister Najib Razak is buying some fiscal breathing room by abolishing decades-old energy subsidies and introducing a 6 percent goods and services tax in April, according to Nomura Holdings Inc..... That would allow Najib to keep close to his budget goals even as declining investor confidence pushed the currency this week to its lowest level since April 2009 and boosted the cost of insuring the nation’s debt.... Najib will hold a special session to talk about economic developments and the country’s financial position on Jan. 20, the finance ministry said. With crude prices at half the level of a year ago, the pressure will be on him to accelerate the restructuring of an economy grappling with a cash squeeze and elevated household debt and further reduce the nation’s dependence on oil.... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-16/meet-asia-s-undisputed-loser-from-oil-where-fiscal-cuts-loom.html

Baru wants Petronas to clarify rumour on February LNG sale – BorneoPost Online | Borneo , Malaysia, Sarawak Daily News | Largest English Daily In Borneo - http://www.theborneopost.com/2015/01/06/baru-wants-petronas-to-clarify-
Petronas' evaluation of SSGP ongoing - Business News | The Star Online - http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/01/12/PETRONAS-EVALUATION-OF-SSGP-ONGOING/?style=biz
Sarawak PKR chief demands answers from Petronas over pipeline explosion - The Malaysian Insider - http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/state-pkr-chief-demands-answers-from-petronas-over-pipeline-explosion
Portion of Petronas RM3bil Kimanis-Bintulu pipeline project exploded (photos) - Bintulu Weekly - News, Opinions and Multimedia - http://www.bintulu.org/2014/06/10/portion-of-petronas-rm3bil-kimanis-bintulu-pipeline-project-exploded.php


13 January 2015 evening: Najib says Budget 2015 may be revised next week

Putrajaya might tweak Budget 2015 in face of falling oil prices, flood aid Published: 13 January 2015 Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak says today Budget 2015 might be revised because of unexpected major events. Falling global oil prices and a weakening ringgit have forced Putrajaya to relook Budget 2015. The recent flood in the east coast states might also affect government spending after it said it would spend RM800 million for flood relief. Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak said today the budget might be restructured in view of current developments, national news agency Bernama reported today. "I will come out with a statement (on this) next week," he said after receiving flood relief assistance from China today.....Treasury had ordered all government-linked companies and statutory bodies to hold off foreign purchases in response to falling global oil prices and a weakening ringgit. "After taking into consideration the uncertain world economic outlook in 2015, the government on December 17 is of the opinion that domestic consumption must be increased to generate and support the country's economy," according to the Treasury circular.... http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/possibility-2015-budget-will-be-restructured-says-najib-bernama#sthash.2akSW6Uh.dpuf


13 January 2015: World Bank sees significant risk for Malaysia with 1.5%-age point drop in key balances versus GDP if Brent average $63.80 in 2015; talk of naivety of fossil fuel "get rich quick" schemes in Greenland and Norway on alert, looking at tapping reserves and observations on need to revamp government spending

Thanks to reader N who pointed out World Bank Economic Report Dec 2014 to me on Malaysia. It analyzes the impact of lower oil and gas prices as significant for Malaysia at the $75 and $63.80 levels for Brent for 2015. Currently, that's trading just below $50 and we'll have to see how average prices pan out in 2015.


source: World Bank Malaysia Economic Monitor December 2014


Elsewhere, talk of naivety of fossil fuel "get rich quick" schemes in Greenland and Norway on alert, looking at tapping reserves and observations on need to revamp government spending

$50 Oil Kills Bonanza Dream That Made Greenlanders Millionaires By Peter Levring  Jan 12, 2015 7:00 AM GMT+0800 Greenland, an island that may be sitting on trillions of dollars of oil, has had to acknowledge that its dream of tapping into that wealth looks increasingly far-fetched. Back when oil was headed for $150 a barrel, Greenlanders girded for a production boom after inviting in some of the world’s biggest explorers, including Chevron Corp. and Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) Now, with Brent crude dipping below $50 last week, Deputy Prime Minister Andreas Uldum says Greenland’s hope of growing rich quickly on fossil fuels was “naïve.” ... ://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-11/-50-oil-kills-bonanza-dream-that-made-greenlanders-millionaires.html

Oil Losses Force Norway to Consider Measures to Back Economy By Mikael Holter, Saleha Mohsin and Jonas Cho Walsgard  Jan 9, 2015 6:37 PM GMT+0800; Norway is considering tapping reserve funds to shield western Europe’s biggest oil producer from the worst slump in crude prices in more than half a decade.... Prime Minister Erna Solberg said the government is now “on alert” to respond to the rout. “If the economic situation requires it, we can react quickly,” she said yesterday at a conference in Oslo organized by Norway’s confederation of industry. Erna Solberg, Norway's Prime Minister, said her government is working on models that... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-08/norway-on-alert-as-oil-losses-have-government-exploring-options.html

Hayman’s Bass Sees Oil Slump Disciplining Petro-State Norway By Saleha Mohsin  Jan 8, 2015 5:20 PM GMT+0800; Hayman Capital Management founder and chief investment officer Kyle Bass said, Norway... The oil rout that has dragged down Norway’s krone since June will ultimately discipline a government that has relied too much on its petro-dollars to finance expenditure.
That’s according to Kyle Bass, the founder and chief investment officer of Hayman Capital Management LP, who was in Oslo yesterday to attend a Skagen AS conference.... Norway “trades like an emerging market because of its dependence on crude,” Bass, one of the first hedge-fund managers to predict and make money on the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, said in an interview. “A traditional cleansing is a good thing in the long run, it keeps government spending in check. Politicians are going to have to figure out how to cut back on the spending that they shouldn’t have been doing in the first place.” .... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-07/hayman-s-bass-says-oil-plunge-will-discipline-petro-state-norway.html



10 January 2015: Petronas’ quarterly results avidly awaited, How bad will it be? Malaysia oil and gas companies planning to lobby that PETRONAS stop awarding contracts to foreign companies.

How low will Petronas profits dip? Saturday, 10 January 2015  By: M.SHANMUGAM; A clearer picture will emerge on the impact that the almost 50% drop in the price of crude oil over the last six months has had on the coffers of the Federal Government when Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) unveils its next quarterly results... Everybody knows that Petronas is not going to show a sterling set of numbers. When Petronas released its third-quarter results on Nov 28, 2014, it had already sent a clear message that the final quarter would be bad. The question is: How bad will it be?... As at end-November, Shamsul had predicted Brent Crude to stabilise between US$70 and US$75 per barrel. At the upper limit of US$75, Petronas’ payout to the Government in the form of dividends, taxes and royalties would be RM43bil.... But now, it would appear that the best-case scenario for Brent Crude next year is US$75 and not many are betting on that price.... The domestic oil service providers have stopped forecasting the price, while global oil majors have not discounted US$60 or below as the average.... So, even a prospective payout of RM43bil to the Government this year is looking rather shaky. Previously, Petronas’ quarterly results used to be a mundane affair. But surely, it is not going to be the same this year, as all eyes will be on how low its profits have dipped...
http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/01/10/How-low-will-Petronas-profits-dip/?style=biz

Source: The Edge Malaysia, 12 January 2015

Note: Some local companies have suggested that they be allowed to at least match the bids of the foreign companies. However, there is no indication to date of Petronas bowing to political pressure... The national oil company has in the past come under fire for awarding jobs to foreign companies such as Hyundai. These awards are said to have resulted in Malaysian companies that did not win the contracts labouring to make ends meet. However Petronas has stood firm, looking at improving its cost efficiency... In 2013, Petronas paid the government some RM63 billion, contributing 29.5% to tis revenue. The sum comprised RM36 billion in tax income and royalties, and RM27 billion in dividends... However, The Edge understands that Malaysian oil and gas companies are planning to collectively lobby the Ministry of Finance (MoF) to ensure that Petronas contracts are not awarded to foreign companies... Late last year, the MoF had asked government-linked companies (GLCs) to refrain from acquiring assets in foreign countries in order to stem capital outflow... In this vein, the local oil and gas companies argue that Petronas too should not award jobs to foreign companies....

9 January 2015: PETRONAS wants to slash OPEX by 30%
 
After slashing capex, Petronas plans up to 30% cut in opex By: JAGDEV SINGH SIDHU, NG BEI SHAN; Wednesday, 7 January 2015; PETALING JAYA: Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) is looking to make cuts in its operating expenditure (opex) by between 25% and 30% to preserve its profitablity as crude oil prices continue to tumble.... Sources said that the national oil company was reviewing its spending and was in the process of identifying where cuts could be made. Projects it has committed to from last year and in its budget are likely to continue.... Oil company executives said word was starting to filter to them that cuts in opex would be made as the price of crude oil continues to fall. As the price of Brent crude oil was falling and at US$70 a barrel late November last year, Petronas said it would slash its capital expenditure (capex) up to 15% this year.... With the price of global crude oil now at around US$50 a barrel, more oil majors have announced cuts in not only capex but also their opex, which includes payroll.... http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/01/07/Another-cut-After-slashing-capex-Petronas-is-now-looking-at-reducing-operating-expenditure/?style=biz

7 January 2015: Oil & gas work has been in favour, energy companies drop with oil price plunge

From Mat Rempit to being an offshore rig worker Updated: Wednesday January 7, 2015 MYT 7:13:03 AM; BANGI: When he was a teenager, Mohd Ikhwan Iskandar would spend his nights racing bikes on the highways and his days loitering in shopping malls. Now 23, he is a new man of sorts especially after signing up for Kem Perkasa, an intervention programme for the so-called Mat Rempit. “I wanted to change and become a better person,” he said in an interview at the camp’s “graduation ceremony” at Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM) here yesterday. He said the intervention programme was “life-changing” as he made new friends, learnt vocational skills and gained an insight into his own character. “Now I am working on an offshore rig. My parents used to tell me don’t just sit at home, go study or get a job. Now I can support them and they’re very happy,” he said.... Datin Seri Rosmah Mansor was present yesterday at the camp organised by Permata, an initiative on early child care, and UKM’s Centre for Youth Empowerment, assisted by the Youth and Sports Ministry. Rosmah, who heads Permata, also launched camp coordinator Dr Rozmi Ismail’s book on Rempit di Malaysia.... “The ‘alumni’ of Kem Perkasa had gone on to become fitness instructors, chefs and managers of entertainment centres,” she said.... http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2015/01/07/From-Mat-Rempit-to-being-an-offshore-rig-worker/

Asian Stocks Extend Drop, Led by Energy Companies on Oil Plunge By Jonathan Burgos  Jan 7, 2015 8:10 AM GMT+0800  Asian stocks fell, after yesterday sinking the most in nine months, as U.S. equities extended declines and the slump in crude oil deepened. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index (MXAP) declined 0.3 percent to 134.57 as of 9:03 a.m. in Tokyo, with energy companies dropping the most. The Asian gauge slumped 1.7 percent yesterday and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell for a fifth day, extending the longest losing streak in 13 months. West Texas Intermediate oil sank below $48 a barrel in New York amid speculation data on U.S. supplies today will fuel concern over a global glut.... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-07/asian-stocks-extend-drop-led-by-energy-companies-on-oil-plunge.html

16 December 2014: Petronas' newer foreign investments in question?

Low oil prices, domestic politics put Petronas’s B.C. LNG project at risk by Ng Weng Hoong, Special to Financial Post | December 15, 2014; "VANCOUVER – The announcement by Petronas Berhad this month to delay its final decision on whether to invest $36-billion in a Canadian LNG export project may be just that  — a delay. But it could also be a sign the Malaysian national energy company is caught in a difficult pinch between collapsing global energy prices and political turbulence back home undermining Petronas’s global expansion plans.... With those two pressures together, the planned Lelu Island project near Prince Rupert in British Columbia appears to be very much in the company’s — and the country’s — crosshairs. Analysts say the case for a major Canadian LNG-export project is rapidly weakening amid the energy price collapse, the emergence of the United States as an oil and gas supplier and the advanced state of competing projects in Qatar, Australia, Russia and even Papua New Guinea and Angola............ With the coming expiry of some long-term sales contracts with Asian customers and the development of new capacity in Australia and Malaysia, Petronas will have as much as 26 million tonnes of flexible and tradeable LNG capacity by 2022. Even without PNW LNG, Petronas will still have nearly 20 million tonnes of capacity, Mr. Chong said.... Days before the deadline for its final investment decision, the company said it was deferring the 12-million tonnes/year project despite having secured agreements with the B.C. government............“The U.S. factor emerged strongly in 2014,” Mr. Munro said. “We have a very competitive neighbour, which has raised the odds against the development of a major Canadian-LNG export industry.”... Petronas is under pressure to increase investments back home largely to placate powerful politicians and counter Malaysia’s slowing economy. As a result of reduced earnings from lower oil prices, the company’s expected reduced contributions to the economy next year could spark criticism following its recent costly forays into Canada, Brazil and Venezuela... At Petronas’s third quarter results briefing last month, CEO and President Shamsul Azhar Abbas warned of a 15% to 20% cutback in next year’s capital expenditure, and a 37% reduction in oil-based payments to the government if Brent crude averaged US$75 a barrel. Brent is now trading below US$65......... While the company was unhappy with what it saw as a delay by the B.C. government in announcing its final LNG tax rules, it also gave itself the herculean task of completing the massive greenfield project from conception in 2013 to plant start-up within five years.... Lacking experience with North America’s regulatory, aboriginal, labour and environmental challenges, the company plunged into Canada’s shale sector by proposing to bet the equivalent of 10% to 12% of Malaysia’s GDP on a single project...." http://business.financialpost.com/2014/12/15/low-oil-prices-politics-put-petronass-b-c-lng-project-at-risk/?__lsa=c601-bc7f

15 December 2014: Weaker credit metrics, PETRONAS lower earnings problem for Malaysia coffers, award of Sabah onshore deals

Sharply lower oil prices is driving concerns about the oil & gas sector in Malaysia. PETRONAS has warned about a 30% reduction in earnings.

Low oil prices and high capex will weaken credit metrics for rated oil & gas firms, says Fitch
By TheEdge Markets.com / theedgemarkets.com   | December 15, 2014 : 12:06 PM MYT    
KUALA LUMPUR (Dec 15): Low oil prices and high capex will weaken credit metrics for rated oil and gas companies in south-east Asia, but ratings to remain stable in 2015, according to Fitch Ratings. In a report released Dec 14, Fitch said South-east Asian oil companies continued to require high capex to maintain and increase their upstream and mid-stream production capacities.
It said low oil prices would reduce their net operating cash generation in 2015, at a time when the capex flexibility of these operators is somewhat limited;
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/low-oil-prices-and-high-capex-will-weaken-credit-metrics-rated-oil-gas-firms-says-fitch

Petronas juggles lower earnings  By Farah Saad & Doreen Leong; Friday, 12 Dec 2014, 12:30 AM
Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) is experiencing one of the toughest challenges of its corporate history. Revenue and profit are plunging. Its RM109 bil Canadian dream gas project could become a nightmare and another RM90 bil in other projects it announced in the last five years may have to be reviewed. The slump of more than 40% in world crude oil prices in the last six months, from US$112 to US$64 per barrel, has affected its bottomline. Each US dollar fall in the world oil price has a RM1 bil impact on Petronas’ pre-tax profit. Poor market sentiment has also affected at least three of Petronas’ five listed companies – Petronas Dagangan, Petronas Chemicals and Petronas Gas, which have lost a combined market capitalisation of RM30.3 bil this year alone. The rest of the industry catches cold when Petronas sneezes. When the oil company announced a 15-20% cut in its capex on Dec 1, oil-and-gas stocks on Bursa Malaysia fell by 5-20% the next day....  http://www.focusmalaysia.my/Mainstream/Petronas%20juggles%20lower%20earnings#sthash.mPrlQw7C.dpuf

Petronas urges Putrajaya to 'tighten belt' over possible lower ...Nov 28, 2014 - Petronas pre-tax profit fell 12% in the third quarter ended September 30, 2014, against the previous quarter this year. - The Malaysian Insider ... Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas), which contributes to almost 40% of the national coffer, is urging the government to "tighten its belt" as the national oil firm is facing the possibility of less earnings in light of the falling crude oil prices. Petronas president & Group chief executive officer Tan Sri Shamsul Azhar Abbas (pic) believes that the price range of Brent crude oil at US$70 (RM237) to US$75 may be a 'new era', until the end of next year, if not for the next two years.  Based on the new oil price assumptions, Shamsul said Petronas is looking to cut as much as 15%-20% of its capital expenditure (capex) budget for next year. Shamsul also called on the government to be prudent on its spending as the state oil firm has to safeguard its growth plans.  "If we are to maintain our dividend contribution or higher, it would significantly impact our growth plans," said the chieftain at Petronas' third quarter results briefing today..... http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/petronas-urges-putrajaya-to-tighten-belt-over-possible-lower-dividend

‘Lower oil price is a reality check’   By Cynthia Blemin / The Edge Financial Daily   | December 11, 2014 : 9:30 AM MYT     “Our dependency on O&G has been reduced over the years,” he said, adding that Malaysia is now a broad-based economy which will help to ride the current fluctuations in the oil price. Wahid said that the country has also managed to reduce its dependence on oil revenues. “Back in 2009, we were at 40% in terms of contribution from oil revenues and that has been reduced to 36% in 2011 and 31% in 2013,” Abdul Wahid added....http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/‘lower-oil-price-reality-check’
Sunday, December 7, 2014; Sabah news (update 6): Sabah onshore oil & gas, the oil royalty push, secession talk is sedition; 7 December 2014: Sabah onshore oil & gas, the oil royalty push, secession talk is sedition:  News is out - we had been hearing about talk of this from friends in the oil & gas industry for some time now. Is there big onshore oil & gas in Sabah? Notably in the vicinity of Sahabat? Sabah signed oil and gas production sharing contracts (PSCs) effective 20 November 2014 for 27 years. Petronas awarded.... /khoryuleng/2014/08/sabah-sulu-problems-fester-on.html




29 June 2014: Petronas RAPID project in Johor

There is considerable and growing interest in the PETRONAS Rapid project in the south eastern coast of Johore, just north of Singapore. Some useful links on public information and academic sources are put together here. Broadly, while the project is said to be complementary to Singapore's oil and petrochemical hub role there are many who also view it as potentially competitive, especially in light of relatively stagnant growth in this sector for Singapore. Industry veterans do point to general over capacity in refining in the region and the shifting economics of the oil and derivatives trade, given large investments in China and India and also the changes triggered by the US shale gas revolution[1].  Pengerang terminal's deepwater jetty with a draft of up to 24 meters to berth one VLCC, is due by the end of 2014. Companies doing ventures with PETRONAS at Pengerang include Evonik and Itochu; whilst BASF declined. What's interesting are also some Malaysia Federal versus State kerfuffles[2].

[1] WSJ 25 June 2014 19:14: "The Obama administration cleared the way for the first exports of unrefined American oil in four decades. We report that the Commerce Department gave Pioneer Natural Resources Co. and Enterprise Products Partners LP permission to ship a type of ultralight oil known as condensate to foreign buyers, in separate rulings that haven't yet been announced. Our story considers the implications of the decisions, which allow energy companies to start chipping away at the longtime ban on selling U.S. oil abroad. Shipments, we note, could begin as soon as August, though they are likely to be small and it isn't clear how much oil the two companies are allowed to export. Meanwhile, we find that the fracking boom has its downside as refineries are starting to complain that oil extracted from shale formations  is quite hard to handle with existing equipment because it's full of volatile gases that make it tricky to transport and to process into fuel."
[2] View our posting here: /khoryuleng/2014/06/johor-iskandar-policy-admin-moves.html

PETRONAS REACHES FINAL INVESTMENT DECISION FOR PENGERANG INTEGRATED COMPLEX, 3 April 2014: "Based on the current progress, the project is poised for its refinery start-up by early 2019. The project will further strengthen PETRONAS’ position as a key player in the Asian chemicals market, focusing on key growth areas of differentiated and specialty chemicals and capturing the growing automotive, pharmaceutical and consumer products sectors. Domestically, the PIC will contribute towards meeting the growing demands for petroleum products and Euro 4M and Euro 5 specification fuels." Link to press release: http://www.petronas.com.my/media-relations/media-releases/Pages/article/PETRONAS-REACHES-FINAL-INVESTMENT-DECISION-FOR-PENGERANG-INTEGRATED-COMPLEX.aspx

Readers might be interested in some recent back history on Petronas. Released in February 2011, our report entitled "PETRONAS: Briefing on Petronas' new strategy," update on new marginal field contract and issues on its Sudan concessions with the impending secession of South Sudan expected in mid-2011. Download here:
https://sites.google.com/site/khorreports2011/home/Malaysia_briefings/khorreports-malaysia001-petronas-1102.pdf?attredirects=0&d=1

Across in Singapore, there was a proposal for a 4th refinery by Hin Leong (to be sized larger, possibly at 500,000), but that seems shelved having gone rather quiet for a while. News links include (from older to newer):

Note: our annotations include yellow highlight of PETRONAS Rapid project area and red circled approximate area of Country Garden's land reclamation project. Notable that the Rapid project zone looks to be bigger than Singapore's Jurong Island. Legend removed - please do go to the original map source. Map source: "THE EXTENDED STRAIT - Singapore's Oil Hub" by Martin Garcia and Magnus Nickl, Draft Version. Which notes that the key oil hubs in the Malacca Straits are: "1. Port Klang: Port Klang is divided mainly in two ports, each one with its own operator. These are called the North Port and the West Port. Both have oil tank facilities of considerable dimensions. Port Klang is the biggest oil storage harbour in the Strait of Malacca. 2. Port Dickson: Port Dickson is one of the locations of Royal Dutch Shell in Southeast Asia and ExxonMobil, each of them running a refinery at this location. 3. Malacca Oil Storage Terminal: Very near Malacca in Sungai Udang petronas erected a refinery taking a large part of the terrain. Through one major jetty the tankers that brings the crude oil and takes the refining products can dock perfectly even if the depth are quite small. 4. Jurong Island in Singapore: Jurong Island of Singapore is the biggest oil and petrochemical hub in the region and is the preffered location for bunkering of both tankers and cargo vessels because a lot of their main operative actions take place in Singapore."
Dialog Group is leading the oil storage thrust in Johore with key JV partners. There are several other storage projects in Johore, and some seem likely to compete with each other, while several are part of Dialog (company website link: http://www.dialogasia.com/core_CTF.htm). The Dialog JVs seem akin to the Tanjung Pelepas move in Johore in the late 1990s when two key container line operators were encouraged to relocate from Singapore. The latest news, is that Malaysia's Pengerang oil terminal seeks to extend its storage to biodiesel and LNG too.
Related to this are large Johore land reclamation projects (located off Singapore's western tip) that are apparently raising new transboundary questions. Specialists tell us that congestion in maritime traffic is resulting in a rise in the number of vessel collisions in the waters off Johore - Singapore.
NST news link: http://www.nst.com.my/node/5883; "The Department of Environment has issued a temporary stop-work order against all coastal land reclamation works for the development of the massive Forest City off Tanjung Kupang here pending a detailed study.... State Health and Environment Committee chairman Datuk Ayub Rahmat said any negotiation on lifting the suspension would be between the department and the project’s joint developers, China’s Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd and state-owned Kumpulan Prasarana Rakyat Johor... The project hit a snag after the Singaporean government raised concerns over the state’s coastal land reclamation projects, citing that it might cause trans-boundary issues...."[3]

[3] Other land reclamation (non-oil & gas sector) in Danga Bay area, just west of Johor Bahru town: Land and development on man-made Danga Bay island to cost RM8bil, Published: Tuesday February 19, 2013 MYT 12:00:00 AM; http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2013/02/19/Land-and-development-on-manmade-Danga-Bay-island-to-cost-RM8bil/
   

Malaysia by-elections on 18 June (update 5): Post by-elections changes - Cabinet reshuffle, Lim Guan Eng charged, Dr M reminds on hajj bribes

30 June 2016: Post by-elections changes - Cabinet reshuffle, Lim Guan Eng charged, Dr M reminds on hajj bribes


Cabinet reshuffled with eye on coming polls, analysts say BY KAMLES KUMAR June 28, 2016 -- ..... “It is clear that Najib is gunning to regain Selangor in the next election,” Ibrahim said. Yesterday's reshuffle came after Umno sacked Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin and Datuk Mukhriz Mahathir who had been openly attacking the prime minister over 1Malaysia Development Bhd (1MDB) and related issues. Datuk Seri Shafie Apdal was also suspended from the party and Umno leaders from his Semporna division yesterday quit en masse in protest. With the three leaders as well as former prime minister Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad no longer in Umno, Najib's position as party president — and, by extension, prime minister — is now virtually unassailable from within............Sarawak overwhelmingly returned BN to power during a state election in May, and is considered a key state for keeping the coalition in Putrajaya. “It is quite surprising to note that no Sarawakian minister was appointed even to replace Douglas,” Ibrahim added..... Najib was banking on Mah and Gerakan to help foment the return of the Chinese vote to BN, after the community that abandoned the coalition in Election 2013 began showing signs of reconsidering its previous hostility. “When Mah was given a full ministership, it was Najib trying to help restore Gerakan's influence. He is trying to shore up the Chinese votes ahead of the GE,” Khoo explained. - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/cabinet-reshuffled-with-eye-on-coming-polls-analysts-say#sthash.m8xWDxEC.dpuf

Lim Guan Eng pleads not guilty on two corruption charges Astro Awani |  Published on June 30, 2016 -- Lim was charged under Section 23 of the Malaysian Anti-Corruption Commission (MACC) Act 2009 for 'Offence of using office or position for gratification'. If convicted, he could be jailed a maximum 20 years and fined an amount of no less than five times the bribe, or RM10,000, whichever is higher. Azmi granted Lim bail of RM1 million in one surety on the two corruption charges. He also allowed the DAP secretary-general to hold on to his passport, under the condition that if Lim wanted to travel overseas, he needed to inform the court and the Attorney-General two days before departure. The court then set Sept 22 for case management. Meanwhile, businesswoman Phang Li Khoon also claimed trial to the charge of abetting Lim in the purchases of a plot of land and the bungalow on Jalan Pinhorn..... http://english.astroawani.com/malaysia-news/lim-guan-eng-pleads-not-guilty-two-corruption-charges-109663 

Dr M: Using bribes to go for hajj doesn’t make it okay to be corrupt June 27, 2016 -- ..... “The truth is that money that is stolen or received as bribes remains haram. Charity or worship performed does not make haram money halal,” he wrote. “Many who are prepared to receive money to perform the hajj and umrah do not ask where the money comes from. We are not forced by the religion to perform the hajj if we cannot afford it. We are not forced to steal and rob and commit corruption in order to perform the hajj.” He said those who sought to make corruption acceptable were doing so with political motives, such as to hide their abuse of power and oppression of the people. - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/dr-m-using-bribes-to-go-for-hajj-doesnt-make-it-okay-to-be-corrupt#sthash.4wjgjHjf.dpuf


27 June 2016: Rafizi concern on voters motivated by racial/religious and goodies, a review of by-elections, "duit raya" for Felda settlers excludes 13,589 not selling oil palm fruit its mills


Calling a spade a spade, Rafizi responds to critics by Rafizi Ramli     Published 23 Jun 2016,  MP SPEAKS I am aware that my initial response to the Sungai Besar and Kuala Kangsar by-elections results have been reported as me blaming the voters for BN's win.....My conclusion was the racial/religious sentiments as well as the goodies and cash handouts splurged during the campaigning were the two most important factors. I reiterated my view previously that unless and until voters (and our society) can move beyond these two tools deployed by the BN, it is unlikely there will ever be a change.... One minister called me a dictator, the other one said that I was the disease, and another one said I never fought for rakyat. While it is understandable that Umno behaves this way, I find it ridiculous that other non-traditional media (often considered more independent) also behaved the same way....No one in fact had disputed with facts and evidence (the scholarly way and objectively) that my diagnosis of the root causes was wrong.... What I was frustrated was the tendency of the public, civil society leaders, analysts and commentators not to call a spade a spade. Even worse, while the lack of unified opposition forces was a key issue that needs to be addressed, the simplicity of the thinking that puts all the blame on the opposition bickering to the point of ignoring the flagrant abuse of money/rewards; the race/religion sentiments and a plethora of other electoral abuses by the BN is counter productive. It is ironic that while the public seems to appreciate the extent of corruption in the country, it seems oblivious to the massive corruption in the form of electoral bribery practised by BN that I get the feeling as if the public expects Harapan to win in spite of this electoral bribery. Instead of focusing on the immorality of using taxpayers money to win votes by bribing the voters with a list of promised projects, many analysts and some civil society leaders seem to consider this (electoral bribery through promised projects) as a matter of campaign strategy i.e local issue versus national issue.....The percentage of Malay support for Umno is status quo with no substantial increase (59 percent in Kuala Kangsar and 60 percent in Sungai Besar)....There was a notable increase of support for Harapan in both Sungai Besar and Kuala Kangsar among Malay middle class and young voters... Considering these seats are semi-rural, the swing can be expected to be higher in semi urban/urban seats..... PAS bagged circa 26.6 percent Malay support for Kuala Kangsar and 30.6 percent in Sungai Besar at the time when their campaign ​massively benefited from​ Umno/BN.....(PAS) they are definitely retreating and sliding towards the pre-2008 position....The Chinese voters’ turnout was lower by 21 to 28 percent. However even if we take into account a normalised turnout, we still see a swing of five to seven percent to Umno/BN though I think this is very much localised because of the promises and goodies given by BN.... Therefore, while the defeat was a wake-up call to concentrate on one-to-one contest with PAS, it is also a confirmation that it was not a rout ​nor has the public abandoned Harapan. If Chinese turnout normalises during the general election plus early preparations and good machinery, as well as BN having less firepower​ ​(cash, goodies, projects)​ ​during a general election – my guess is we may still make a strong​showing.....  https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/346391 


How can the opposition create another Ijok? by Ong Kian Ming     Published Today 8:59 am 

https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/346730

Najib announces ‘duit raya’ of RM49.52m for Felda settlers Bernama      22 Jun 2016 https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/346242

PAS cries foul as over 13,000 Felda settlers denied 'duit raya' 23 Jun 2016 -- PAS has criticised the government for denying Hari Raya incentives to 13,589 Felda settlers. This was after Prime Minister Najib Abdul Razak yesterday announced RM49.52 million "duit raya" to 99,046 Felda settlers. The remaining settlers did not qualify for the payout as they sell their produce to third parties instead of Felda. PAS Felda affairs chief Naraza Muda said the government should not be punishing Felda settlers who choose to be independent.... https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/346401

Malaysia Paddy Fields Are Najib’s Battlefield to Woo Voters by Shamim Adam June 20, 2016 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-06-19/malaysia-paddy-fields-become-battlefield-for-najib-to-woo-voters


Meeting K Kangsar folk’s needs is Mastura’s priority Bernama     23 Jun 2016 -- The mother of four is the widow of the previous Kuala Kangsar MP, Wan Mohammad Khair-il Annuar Wan Ahmad who died in a helicopter crash with five others in Sebuyau, Sarawak on May 5. Mastura has a list of things on her agenda, including visiting the site for the building of the Malaysian Palm Oil Board’s (MPOB) training centre, which had been promised by her late husband who was the MPOB chairperson. On her status of still being in the ‘edah’ period, Mastura said she had asked for views and guidelines from Perak mufti Harussani Zakaria in carrying out her tasks. “According to the mufti, If I am required to serve (the people), I am allowed to go out but certain things like celebrating the win is not permitted,” she said.... https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/346328

20 June 2016: About the extraordinary regime resilience in Malaysia (and Singapore)

Editor's note: Blending some comments by Prof Weiss, "A key part of what sustains electoral authoritarianism over the long term is genuine popular support.... While disproportional access to electoral resources and curbs on civil and political rights clearly matter to the persistence of electoral-authoritarian regimes, long-term acculturation to political
norms and modes of governance on the ground further complicate these
regimes’ transformation. Singapore and Malaysia, the world’s most
durable examples of electoral authoritarianism, exemplify this pattern."


Going to the Ground (or Astroturf): A Grassroots View of Regime Resilience by Meredith L. Weissa. https://www.cseas.kyoto-u.ac.jp/en/event/20160628-en/
Abstract: While disproportional access to electoral resources and curbs on civil
and political rights clearly matter to the persistence of electoral-authoritarian regimes, long-term acculturation to political norms and modes of governance on the ground further complicate these regimes’ transformation. Singapore and Malaysia, the world’s most durable examples of electoral authoritarianism, exemplify this pattern. A combination of what amounts to classic machine politics with the structural “assist” of sub-par elections renders electoral
authoritarianism increasingly resilient over time, not just because it is hard or unlikely for voters to vote in new leaders, but also because the aspiring or elected opposition may end up reproducing rather than subverting key attributes of that regime. Clientelist political praxis may be highly responsive, offer direct accountability, and align with voters’ rational self-interest, at least in the short term. However, its persistence impedes pursuit of new ideological or programmatic objectives, perpetuates piecemeal and inefficient allocation of
resources, assumes that most voters should expect little from state policies, and discourages attention to proactive legislation, in favor of more localized, reactive politics. A machine-oriented political regime, then, is not only exceptionally hard to shake, but suboptimal in the long term.

Payoffs, Parties, or Policies: “Money Politics” and Electoral Authoritarian Resilience by Meredith L. Weissa* ABSTRACT. A key part of what sustains electoral authoritarianism over the long term is genuine popular support. Dominant parties, particularly in a developmental context (the primary setting for such regimes), and especially where elections are more than minimally meaningful, curry performance legitimacy and loyalty not just through skewed rules and coercion, but through material incentives: “money politics.” If challengers can find a way to de-emphasize support based on material inducements, they stand a chance of securing gains via elections, rather than relying on economic downturns to shrink patronage coffers. Drawing on extensive original ethnographic and survey data from electoral-authoritarian Malaysia, I explore campaign finance and distributions on both sides in the latest, most regime-threatening general election, which was held on May 5, 2013. Evidence suggests that it was by disentangling clientelist networks from the patronage they so often serve to disseminate, allowing a focus on more programmatic than particularistic appeals, that the opposition Pakatan Rakyat alliance so nearly bested the long-dominant Barisan Nasional regime. Persona – being known and seen among the electorate – still matters as much as before, but relies less consistently than in the past on targeted patronage as a premise for loyalty.  http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/14672715.2015.1126139?journalCode=rcra20




20 June 2016: Post mortem of significant BN gains in by-elections, trumping 1MDB and other worries, BN comments dwell on Mahathir failed slander of Najib


Source: http://www.spr.gov.my/, accessed 20 June 2016
Note: Turnout was around 70%

Source: http://english.astroawani.com/politics-news/najib-hails-landslide-election-wins-108585


Analisa Awal Pilihanraya Kecil Kuala Kangsar dan Sungai Besar June 19, 2016 bujangsenang
http://www.bujangsenang.my/analisa-awal-pilihanraya-kecil-kuala-kangsar-dan-sungai-besar/ -- 
Estimates that BN gained 54-58% of Malay votes and 46-50% of Chinese votes and youth vote for BN was about 50%. Note: this is regarded as UMNO Youth source. Will check on others too.


Editor's notes: 
  • I was talking to a professor of politics who said that the "nusantaran / archipelago" attitude may allow things that continental (Muslim) countries may not allow. What do Malaysia voters care for and what drives their big vote swings? 
  • First, a quick look at the ethnic Chinese vote - a swing in the by-elections came on unexpectedly strong. Some say that Chinese voters may not stand much on principle but practicality (a swing the the opposition may be a big protest vote and the opposition's report card has been seen wanting, post 2013). Its important to note the recent major vote swings in this neigbourhood. Singapore's last GE saw an extraordinary 10%-age national vote swing, in its anniversary year and after the death of its founding patriarch and a reportedly extraordinary effort to appease voters disgruntled by population change. The Malaysia ethnic Chinese vote has also swung, by-elections swing reported at over 15%-age and of course in national GEs (the opposing swings of the Malay-Chinese votes after the Asian Financial Crisis and Anwar Ibrahim ouster and after 2008). These big swings appear to be more abnormal in the Western context? 
  • Certainly the big gain for BN in Kuala Kangsar and Sungai Besar means that Chinese voters in these by-elections had a change of heart on the opposition (greatly fractured and lacking leadership). Some comments from social media relating to the ethnic Chinese voter include: "The Chinese are pragmatic people. Western people are more idealistic." "The Opposition has no one to blame but themselves. They let the country down. Honestly I am quite disgusted." "I think the oppositions need to get the house in order and get PAS out of the way once and for all. Then perhaps they will see better result. Now it is beginning to look no different to BN."  
  • I'll turn to Malay voter-think and trend in a forthcoming posting - but a quick note that the Amanah share of the ethnic Malay vote was not seen as strong, and some put it down to being a new party, yet to develop a strong voice and message.  
  • Looking ahead, there's speculation of whether the GE may come in May 2017 to coincide with 60th anniversary of Merdeka and 71st founding of UMNO? In the business news, there's talk of a 1%-age drop in the GST rate, since oil prices are doing better. Also, lots of news on Bandar Malaysia and high-speed rail and strong investment and links with China; clearly to get into these sector businesses, linkages via BN cannot but help. Reform is unlikely as BN can remain in power.

The economy will determine if BN wins in GE14 FMT Reporters | May 26, 2016
A Bloomberg report says the real threat to the BN is how the economy fares, not the fallout from the 1MDB scandal or the Opposition; .... Although Najib has denied wrongdoing in connection with the 1MDB scandal, and although Umno divisional chiefs have publicly backed him, some Umno members feel uneasy.
“The continued support for the current leadership is there and it’s strong — there’s no doubt about that,” said Suhaimi Ibrahim, an Umno Lipis division committee member. “I must admit that it is not 100 per cent as some members are unhappy about some things.” While Suhaimi didn’t elaborate, some party officials alluded to undercurrents in Umno over eroded trust in Najib, asking not to be identified given the risk of repercussions, the report said. “Umno is still united, but not like before, and to some extent it has lost its fire,” the report quoted an unnamed official at Umno’s Kuala Lumpur headquarters as saying. “Great damage has been done.”... “Umno has a feudal political culture that may keep the party behind Najib even as the scandals make his leadership appear ‘untenable’,” said Universiti Sains Malaysia political science professor Ahmad Fauzi Abdul Hamid. The party structure also limits any push for real change, he said. “Umno politics is the politics of patronage, and as long as they have connections with levers of power, they will not reform,” he said. “Najib’s government is a weak government — in parliament or by popular vote — and they still haven’t reformed. They don’t have to because they can remain in power.”..... http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2016/05/26/the-economy-will-determine-if-bn-wins-in-ge14/


About the ethnic votes

Malaysia Paddy Fields Become Battlefield for Najib to Woo Voters by Shamim Adam June 20, 2016 — 6:00 AM SGT; Standing near paddy fields that stretched to the horizon, Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak had one message for voters of the rural district of Sungai Besar: My government will take care of you. Fairuzita Mohamad Amir, who was in the crowd Najib addressed earlier this month in the state of Selangor, voted on Saturday in a by-election that saw his United Malays National Organisation crush the competition. The 51-year-old widow grows rice on 2.5 acres of land with the help of subsidies plus access to fertilizers and pesticides, for which she credits UMNO. "I learned to say UMNO along with my ABCs," Fairuzita said. "Over the years, they have helped me a lot. I need their support and they have mine."... Malaysian farmers have been hit by falling commodity prices, rising living costs and a stock investment that hasn’t always delivered what was promised. Najib has responded by pledging bigger subsidies for rubber planters and rice farmers in the 2016 budget. He announced monetary handouts this month for rubber farmers totaling 194 million ringgit ($47.5 million).... "Farmers and fishermen are from the mainstream Malay heartlands and those heartlands are key to Barisan Nasional regardless of any issue, whether it’s about GST or 1MDB," said Ahmad Martadha Mohamed, dean of the college of law, government and international studies at Universiti Utara Malaysia. "If the prime minister continues to provide support to these groups, they will continue to support him in the future."... "No one thinks about the Malays except UMNO, we must remember that," Felda Global chairman Mohd Isa Abdul Samad said last month. "Our successes are not because of our own cleverness. Many Malays forget. It’s all because of UMNO."...  http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-06-19/malaysia-paddy-fields-become-battlefield-for-najib-to-woo-voters

Wong Chen Yesterday at 9:13am · Well, somewhat disappointing and humbling results last night in Kuala Kangsar and Sungai Besar. My office math guy has started analysing the numbers. For proper perspective, turnout was below GE13 by some 10% to 15% and these two seats were won by UMNO during GE13. So a 3 corner fight would in fact guarantee BN victory. The results were therefore a given.... What really mattered for analysis was support level of Amanah, the new party. Conclusion is they did OK and their numbers can improve as it's political branding grows. PKR went through similar teething experiences, when we were written off as a tiny party in our early days. So, I think it is just simply a matter of time for Amanah to grow. The paradox is, emotions are high and many voters feel that we don't have much time. Amanah trouncing PAS in Sungai Besar and putting up a credible showing in Kuala Kangsar were good results, in the circumstances..... Without doubt PAS was the biggest loser. But does numbers and math matter to Hadi? This is a radical leader that we cannot apply game theory on. His political decisions are not necessarily logical despite his more reasonable deputy Tuan Man..... The really unexpected story was Chinese voter swing. This is incomprehensible in the backdrop of 1MDB, hudud and GST issues. Even after factoring shrewd pro development vote, the swing was too significant. So the lesson is Chinese votes cannot be taken for granted. There is obviously a dip in support for the Opposition. Chinese voters are generally results oriented. They vote based on administrative capabilities. It has to be earned. Therefore, the lesson is our state administrations must earn these votes. We must govern with efficiency, be fair to all races and always be free of corruption.... https://www.facebook.com/wongchenpkr/?fref=nf

20-Jun-16 Current Affairs (08:35 AM) Sungai Besar & Kuala Kangsar: Twin Wins Takeaway - Ibrahim Suffian, Director, Merdeka Center -- Barisan Nasional saw landslide wins in both the Sungai Besar and Kuala Kangsar by-elections. Ibrahim Suffian, director of the independent pollster Merdeka Center, shares his main takeaways from the results and examines the issues which affected voter sentiment, including reports of a Chinese voter swing back to BN and a lack of "The Mahathir Effect".  http://www.bfm.my/current-affairs-sungai-besar-and-kuala-kangsat-twin-wins-takeaway.html



.......................


Ministers: Twin polls victory good GE14 omen, opposition leaders must quit  19 Jun 2016 -- Umno supreme council member Idris Jusoh said BN's wins clearly proved the people were still supporting the government via giving the wins with bigger majorities. "What is more important is that the successes show the people, especially voters in the two areas, can evaluate for themselves and are not easily influenced by the rhetorics of the opposition, especially (former prime minister) Dr Mahathir (Mohamad)," he said... Perlis Menteri Besar Azlan Man (photo) regards the BN wins at the Kuala Kangsar and Sungai Besar parliamentary by-elections announced last night, as extraordinary. He said they were extraordinary because the Umno leadership from the top to the bottom were incessantly attacked since 2015. "These wins have thwarted all accusations hurled against Umno and its leadership by the opposition. "The people of Malaysia, and voters specifically, are more matured and can differentiate between truths and lies, and wild accusations and facts," he added....."..  Some say the majorities are high because of the break-ups involving PAS and Amanah, that is only part of it"Even if Amanah and PAS break up, and Umno, too, breaks up, we will not get that much majorities," he told reporters when commenting on the BN triumphs at the two by-elections. 

Ahmad, who is also Umno Information Technology Bureau chief, said the commitment of the Sungai Besar Umno division chief Jamal Yunus, despite not being picked, also helped the by-election machinery this time.....ural and Regional Development Minister and Umno supreme council member, Ismail Sabri Yaakob.... He said the wins also showed the people rejected the politics of hatred, slander and lies which were championed by the opposition all along. "The opposition, prior to this said the Kuala Kangsar and Sungai Besar by-elections would become the people's referendum to Prime Minister Najib Abdul Razak, namely, if the people rejected the BN candidates, it means the people rejected his leadership.....   https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/345878 



Kuala Kangsar by-election: DAP blames PAS for failure to wrestle seat by Nazialita Geynna Maharan, Astro Awani |  June 19, 2016  http://english.astroawani.com/politics-news/kuala-kangsar-election-dap-blames-pas-failure-wrestle-seat-108586



What by-elections show: Amanah no replacement for PAS, and PAS can’t continue on its own BY AIZYL AZLEE AND YAP TZU GING  June 19, 2016 - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/what-by-elections-show-amanah-no-replacement-for-pas-and-pas-cant-continue#sthash.tuIaribm.dpuf



The Opposition’s crushing defeat in the twin by-elections proves that PAS cannot hold its own with just Malay support while Amanah cannot only rely on non-Malay votes, said observers. Political analysts noted that if the Opposition continues to move forward in its fragmented state, only bad news awaits them in the 14th general election (GE14).“Nobody cares about who comes in second or third place. It just means that all the resources spent amounted to nothing for either parties on election day,” Ibrahim Suffian of independent pollster Merdeka Center told Malay Mail Online..... PAS had come in second, ahead of Amanah in Kuala Kangsar by 801 votes, while in Sungai Besar, it was Amanah ahead of PAS by 707 votes. BN won both seats with a 6,969 and 9,191 majority respectively.... “PAS cannot move forward on its on. What the results show is that without working together, the Opposition have no way to go against BN. “If they are serious about politics, they must figure out how to sit down together,” Ibrahim added..... Institute for Democracy and Economic Affairs (IDEAS) chief executive Wan Saiful Wan Jan noted that should PAS continue on its own, it would only create a hard time for the rest of the Opposition parties. “If PAS continues as a spoiler, then it means the Opposition will have a most hard time. PAS’ presence is a boon to Umno and bad news for Pakatan,” he told Malay Mail Online.  “This is why I believe Datuk Seri Azmin Ali’s earlier effort to mediate between PAS and Amanah was crucial. Pakatan needs more people who share Azmin’s aspiration to mediate and negotiate between differing parties in the Opposition bloc. Otherwise they will have a very difficult time.”  He added that moving forward, if Pakatan Harapan and PAS remained at odds, he expects PAS to aim its attacks at Amanah as they know they cannot challenge Umno. - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/what-by-elections-show-amanah-no-replacement-for-pas-and-pas-cant-continue#sthash.tuIaribm.dpuf

Kuala Kangsar by-election: Percentage of turnout below target Bernama |  June 18, 2016  http://english.astroawani.com/politics-news/kuala-kangsar-election-percentage-turnout-below-target-108556


18 June 2016: News and view from those on the ground in Sungai Besar and KK



Malaysiakini live blog on by-electionsAmanah rally tells voters to choose roti telur over nasi lemak Team Malaysiakini 17 Jun 2016 LIVE BLOG DAY 13 https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/345624

Editor's note: I also checked with people who have gone to Sungai Besar and Kuala Kangsar on topics discussed, campaign and outlook:
  • Ceramahs there are relatively small affairs. The Pakatan Harapan grand finale was about 2500 at KK. 
  • Issues discussed include GST (rise in cost of living), rubber price, 1MDB and the Najib-Rosmah jet-and-bags questions. 
  • The Kuala Kangsar UMNO candidate has an issue not being a local (born in Negeri Sembilan) and perceived as Rosmah-associated (chosen ahead of local UMNO KK leaders, both women and men); the local machinery is said to demoralised and the crew for this campaign is mostly from out of state. Notably, the PAS and Amanah candidates are locals (for SB and KK).
  • Hudud is not a topic (except for Chinese politicians to fellow ethnic voters).
  • The Azmin-Mahathir team showed up to a dismal crowd of 300 at SB finale (pro PH teams were at KK not SB); notably in Selangor itself.

A senior political analyst says: Sungai Besar looks fairly secure for BN. If the opposition were to create an upset, it will be in KK. If not for the Pakatan Rakyat breakfup, we can bet on BN losing KK. Strange, who gets more votes between PAS and Amanah seems to be as important as BN versus Pakatan Harapan.

News links:

Rosmah jet video expose by Rafizi

  • Rafizi reveals video in latest jet exposé, expects lawsuit  10 Jun 2016 -- K KANGSAR POLLS For the third consecutive day, PKR secretary-general Rafizi Ramli continued his expose on Rosmah Mansor using a private jet for a trip to Istanbul. He revealed a two-minute video that purportedly shows Rosmah boarding the plane owned by Emirates Airline (Emirates), while her officers are carrying bags into the aircraft. Speaking to reporters in Kuala Kangsar, Rafizi questioned the number of officers who accompanied Prime Minister Najib Abdul Razak's wife on the trip and on the contents of the bags. Claiming that he had "lost count" of the number of bags, the Pandan lawmaker asked why the bags were not placed in the designated luggage area....https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/344795; video link: https://youtu.be/XutPEn7QlLU 
  • Why must Rosmah waste taxpayers’ money on private jet junket? Yoursay  Published 13 Jun 2016 https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/345029

Support for rubber smallholders
  • Rubber Smallholders Must Be More Proactive In Generating Income - Najib PEKAN, June 11 (Bernama) -- Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak on Saturday said rubber smallholders in the country must proactively think of ways to diversify their source of income in the uncertain global economy. Najib said they should not depend solely on income from tapping rubber in the light of the dropping price of the commodity currently. "Don't just depend on rubber, we must have income from several sources, it will be tough if we have only one source especially when the price of rubber drops. "The government itself has channelled RM29 million for a programme to boost the income of smallholders, so endeavour to find additional sources of income to meet family needs," he said. He said this at a ceremony to hand over the 2016 Risda dividend and the launching of the smallholders death benefits scheme at the Sultan Ahmad Shah Convention Hall here. http://www.bernama.com/bernama/v8/sp/newssports.php?id=1254649
  • Najib in Kuala Kangsar to present aid to rubber smallholders BY M. HAMZAH JAMALUDIN - 10 JUNE 2016 --  http://www.nst.com.my/news/2016/06/150880/najib-kuala-kangsar-present-aid-rubber-smallholders
  • Najib: Sarawak rubber smallholders to each receive RM500 aid March 30, 2015 -- http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/najib-sarawak-rubber-smallholders-to-each-receive-rm500-aid#sthash.42ztMb6S.dpuf




17 June 2016: Some major shifts to note - tilt to China and Sarawak pressure on KL, but likely of little import to rural Peninsula?


Editor's note: KL chat is abuzz with the significant national and geopolitical shifts that are linked to the clean-up of 1MDB and the country's constrained fiscal-debt situation. These are constraints the Najib Administration is labouring under, and are points of pressure against which stakeholders may emerge to gain leverage. Kuching chat includes worries about racial and religious commotions, plus corruption in the Peninsula. The tangle of contradictions is growing, but rural Peninsula should stay on-message in a period of political navel gazing while the Najib Administration moves Malaysia for major change.

Adds notes on the heli crash during the Sarawak state election campaign period.


Sarawak pressures KL on Petronas, budget angst and more

Sarawak seeks to regulate Petronas activities within state BY SULOK TAWIE June 15, 2016 http://m.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/sarawak-seeks-to-regulate-petronas-activities-within-state#sthash.DjzxLOl4.FBxfcMTJ.dpuf

‘Why funds for Pan Borneo Highway minus from budget’ http://www.theborneopost.com/2016/06/16/why-funds-for-pan-borneo-highway-minus-from-budget/

Zahid: RM12m raised by kin given to Filipino Islamic body 16 Jun 2016; Home Minister Ahmad Zahid Hamidi said the RM12 million raised by the families of hostages recently freed by the Abu Sayyaf was given to an Islamic body in the Philippines. However, he stressed that the payment was not ransom to secure the four Sarawakian hostages’ release. “The government decided not to pay ransom, and police adhered to this order. “The money raised was from public donation and assets sales (by the hostages’ families), and I can confirm that it was channelled not as ransom, but to a body in the Philippines which assists in an Islamic struggle. https://m.malaysiakini.com/news/345535


Malaysia tilt to China?


Source: The Edge Financial Daily June 17, 2016  

Malaysia capitulation to China? http://www.asiasentinel.com/politics/1mdb-behind-malaysia-asean-capitulation-to-china/

The Way of Amicable Consultations - Enlightenment from both China's and Malaysia's Approach to South China Sea Disputes (From Chinese Embassy in Malaysia) 2016/06/13 http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/wjb_663304/zwjg_665342/zwbd_665378/t1371566.shtml

KL-Singapore high-speed rail project – China on board BY PATRICK LEE 13 June 2016 | MYT 9:51 AM http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/06/13/kl-singapore-high-speed-rail-project-china-on-board/

Chinese envoy praises Najib’s leadership 22 March 2016 http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/03/22/chinese-envoy-praises-najibs-leadership/


About the Sarawak campaign period heli crash

Editor's note: Since the heli crash that happened during the Sarawak state election campaign period, the Malaysia Ministry of Primary Industries and Commodities (MPIC) has not had a Minister of Deputy Minister (former MP for Sungai Besar). The Minister stepped down and has become one of three Deputy Chief Ministers of Sarawak. The Deputy Minister was in the crash, which also took the lives of the BN legislator (former MP for Kuala Kangsar) appointed as head of the Malaysian Palm Oil Board and the Chief Secretary (top civil servant) of the the MPIC. At this point, questions to the MPIC are answered by the Prime Minister's Office and a cabinet reshuffle is pending. The heli was not alone (a second heli is known to have also been carrying others working on the plantation industry) in visiting at Betong, the constituency seat of the Uggah Embas, the former Minister.


Preliminary report: No disclosure yet on cause of Sarawak heli crash BY BEATRICE NITA JAY - 16 JUNE 2016 
 http://www.nst.com.my/news/2016/06/152357/preliminary-report-no-disclosure-yet-cause-sarawak-heli-crash

Heli crash: Body of pilot found  May 9, 2016  http://www.theborneopost.com/2016/05/09/heli-crash-body-of-pilot-found/#ixzz4BnTM11Tu

Copter crash: Tragedy strikes fear among campaigners BY STEPHEN THEN 6 May 2016 http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/05/06/copter-crash-tragedy-strikes-fear-among-campaigners/


16 June 2016: Malaysia by-elections on 18 June - Sungai Besar and Kuala Kangsar (additions underlined)


Editor's note: The overwhelming view is that Barisan Nasional / BN should win both. The battle is over second place - PAS (pushing Hudud Bill, which has been received strong Najib Administration support on being accelerated ahead of government work in Parliament recently) or PAS-splinter of its progressives that is Amanah. A total loss is expected for non-BN parties - they have a relatively weak presence in rural Malaysia, although PAS has its geographic stronghold in the north-east, notably Kelantan and PAS been a major contestant for rural favour. PAS's past history of being part of BN gave it some institutional access, and Felda experts note that there have been repercussions ever since in certain Felda areas - impacting Felda settler acceptance of outsourcing management, replanting and more decades later (especially in more heterogeneous areas). 

Under Malaysia's statist development model, the long-time ruling coalition (in control since Independence) has deep and strong policy and administrative roots in all aspects of rural life, including important economic factors e.g. farmer access to loans for replanting and entrepreneur grants and more. These two areas have little to no Felda presence so this shouldn't be a major factor. However, FELCRA and RISDA are among the key rural state agencies who may matter.

UMNO-BN internal issues include factors such as the Kuala Kangsar candidate (widow of the MP killed in the helicopter crash in the run up to the Sarawak state polls, alongside the Deputy Minister also killed in the same accident - the former MP for Sungai Besar) being absent from the campaign, and how the sympathy votes may play out. Also, whether ex-PM Mahathir has any impact on diluting BN's vote bank (PKR's Selangor Chief Minister has joined in his campaign of complaints PM Najib). Overall, the 1MDB crisis is an issue of high finance that seems to confuse voters and may be regarded as lacking relevance to "rice bowl" considerations in rural Malaysia. Also, "Malay unity" may be driven by fears relating to certain non-ethnic Malay voices in high politics (that voters are often warned are linked to some Christian agenda).

In the race for #2, voter turnout is important, as is mobilization of ethnic Chinese voters. But, some analysts say that the hurdle is 30% Malay votes to have a role in rural Malay politics. The urban-centric opposition parties like PKR  have had a problem penetrating UMNO's rural fortress (Felda and also non-Felda). Some say that Amanah's campaign in Kuala Kangsar seems to be going smoother and more organised than Sungai Besar, so far. Some analysts are hard pushed to predict on PAS vs Amanah. Some reckon say that the PAS machinery and candidates are better.

You can get a sense the BN coalition's (blue logo) rural power in Politweet's graphic of Peninsular Malaysia, which depicts non-BN parties largely in the more urban and semi-urban coastal belts (with major presence in certain states e.g. DAP in Perak):




source: http://www.politweet.org/site/politician_dash.php, accessed 16 June 2016

News collection on Rompin by-election here: http://khoryuleng.blogspot.sg/2015/05/rompin-by-election-spotlights-felda.html and research work on Felda political economy: http://khoryuleng.blogspot.sg/2014/11/the-political-tussle-over-felda-land.html


On the recent Sarawak elections

Elections in Test of Najib After Sarawak Win by  Pooi Koon Chong  May 13, 2016 -- Malaysia will hold by-elections next month after two lawmakers were killed in a helicopter crash, a fresh chance to assess Prime Minister Najib Razak’s popularity after a recent win for his ruling party in the Sarawak state election... Polls in Sungai Besar in Selangor state and for Kuala Kangsar in the northern Perak region will be held on June 18, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-13/malaysia-to-hold-by-elections-in-test-of-najib-after-sarawak-win

Victory and insecurity: Sarawak results and trajectories BY BRIDGET WELSH, GUEST CONTRIBUTOR – 13 MAY 2016 http://asiapacific.anu.edu.au/newmandala/2016/05/13/victory-and-insecurity-sarawak-results-and-trajectories/

Opposition coalition (update 23): Pahang Mufti criticised for 'explosive' remarks, silence in high politics worrying to readers

27 June 2016: Pahang Mufti criticised for 'explosive' remarks, silence in high politics worrying to readers

Editor's note: Obviously much the talk in KL circles and questions on sedition and inciting hatred. The recent by-elections stats point to opposition losing seats in the next GE as PAS votes have gone. Much speculation on a snap GE, as BN is riding strong on electoral results - http://khoryuleng.blogspot.my/2016/06/malaysia-by-elections-on-18-june-sungai.html. As high politics disappoints them, will voters just fail to show up and even just hunker down to rice bowl / business issues at the next GE? 


Pahang Mufti criticised for 'explosive' remarks -  Mufti Abdul Rahman Osman says the Chinese-based Democratic Action Party is "kafir harbi", or non-Muslims who have waged war against Islam and for whom the death penalty is justified. Mufti Abdul Rahman Osman says the Chinese-based Democratic Action Party is "kafir harbi", or non-Muslims who have waged war against Islam and for whom the death penalty is justified.PHOTO: YOUTUBE/ASTRO AWANI NEWS JUN 26, 2016 His claim that those who oppose hudud can be killed is condemned by Muslims, non-Muslims PETALING JAYA • A Malaysian state mufti has said that parties like the Democratic Action Party (DAP) are "kafir harbi" - non-believers who can be slain - as they are against Islamic laws. The remarks by Pahang Mufti Abdul Rahman Osman have raised temperatures in Malaysia's tense political landscape. Mufti Abdul Rahman Osman told the Umno-owned Utusan Malaysia daily on Friday that the Chinese-based DAP belonged to that particular group of non-believers as it "clearly opposes hudud and the Bill on the Syariah Court on punishments".... http://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/pahang-mufti-criticised-for-explosive-remarks

For 'kafir harbi', silence on both sides of fence disheartening  Yoursay     Published Today 8:54 am YOURSAY | 'The real culprits are the Malays in Pakatan Harapan, who sit and do nothing. 'No minister will speak out against Pahang mufti, muses Kit Siang https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/346729


For Tunku Aziz, Chinese have no right to win elections Yoursay     Published Today 7:24 am https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/346716


18 October 2015: UMNO luminaries joining PKR, PAS-Perkasa cooperation, Pakatan Harapan torn with a PKR faction ties with PAS

  

UMNO luminaries joining PKR - Saifuddin Abdullah, Mat Taib, Kamaruddin Jaafar

Saifuddin Abdullah just opposition’s flavour of the month, analysts say By Mayuri Mei Lin Sunday October 18, 2015 - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/saifuddin-abdullah-just-oppositions-flavour-of-the-month-analysts-say#sthash.baQMEnja.dpuf
Mat Taib, Kamaruddin Jaafar join PKR by Mariah Ahmad, Astro Awani | Translated by: Suganthi Suparmaniam  Published on September 11, 2015 12:08 MYT  http://english.astroawani.com/politics-news/mat-taib-kamaruddin-jaafar-join-pkr-72924

Saifuddin Abdullah joins PKR by Hilal Azmi, Astro Awani | Translated by: Suganthi Suparmaniam  Published on October 15, 2015 14:06 MYT http://english.astroawani.com/politics-news/saifuddin-abdullah-joins-pkr-76499

No Johor UMNO leader expected to join PKR - Khaled Nordin Bernama | Published on October 17, 2015 18:37 MYT  http://english.astroawani.com/politics-news/no-johor-umno-leader-expected-join-pkr-khaled-nordin-76715
'I'm disappointed Saifuddin did not join DAP' - Lokman Astro Awani | Translated by: Suganthi Suparmaniam Published on October 15, 2015 17:55 MYT  http://english.astroawani.com/politics-news/im-disappointed-saifuddin-did-not-join-dap-lokman-76523 

PAS-Perkasa cooperation and PKR faction close to PAS

PAS-Perkasa cooperation on issues nothing strange, says youth wing Published: 17 October 2015 10:43 AM - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/pas-perkasa-cooperation-on-issues-nothing-strange-says-youth-wing#sthash.1LZtcqVJ.dpuf
No loss for us, state Perkasa says after Selangor PAS snub Friday October 16, 2015 - See more at:

http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/no-loss-for-us-state-perkasa-says-after-selangor-pas-snub#sthash.lasHvfrk.dpuf
PAS and Perkasa find common cause Updated: Tuesday October 13, 2015 MYT 8:36:00 PM  by t. avineshwaran http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2015/10/13/PAS-Perkasa-make-up/
No formal cooperation with Perkasa, PAS clarifies Tuesday October 13, 2015 -

See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/no-formal-cooperation-with-perkasa-pas-clarifies#sthash.SXpAnmbn.dpuf

PKR Azmin continually in headlines on PAS
  

29 September 2015: New coalition "Pakatan Harapan," PAS splinter Amanah splits families, PKR torn by inclusion of PAS (actually not interested)?


Editor's note: Lot of machinations and shifts.

Hadi, PAS leaders’ families split over Amanah BY MOHD FARHAN DARWIS Published: 29 September 2015 7:00 AM - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/hadi-pas-leaders-families-split-over-amanah#sthash.GhiBKIxA.dpuf

Opposition parties form ‘Pakatan Harapan’, opens door to PAS By Shazwan Mustafa Kamal Tuesday September 22, 2015 - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/opposition-parties-form-pakatan-harapan-opens-door-to-pas#sthash.tJDOCt7t.dpuf
PAS repeats stand it will not cooperate with DAP, Amanah Monday September 21, 2015 - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/pas-repeats-stand-it-will-not-cooperate-with-dap-amanah#sthash.teXxf7SU.dpuf
Let PAS join new Pakatan, Azmin says Monday September 7, 2015 - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/let-pas-join-new-pakatan-azmin-says#sthash.xfdEud1l.dpuf


23 June 2015: What next for Malaysia opposition - DAP expansion, Nazir's NGO, PasMa? What about the rural vote?

DAP declared Pakatan Rakyat coalition under a changed PAS that has the two at logger heads. At a time when UMNO-BN is wracked by dissension over money deals (1MDB, Tabung Haji, FGV, MARA) and Prime Minister Najib faces daily jibes by former strong man Prime Minister Mahathir, the opposition coalition was in disintegration. Probably a lot of causal links there. Going forward there needs to be focus on Malay rural vote as the urban vote swung decisively against UMNO-BN in GE13. Large Chinese party political urban domination may be problematic - the GE13 Malay vote push back was obvious. How will the new political entities behave? Look at what they do, rather than what they say. If they behave in a way that is set to divide the urban vote, their motivations should be questioned as any bickering over urban seats, would be a boon to UMNO-BN come GE14. A renewed opposition coalition might present candidates to suit the plural urban electorate (while avoiding an anachronistic Chinese political ambition), avoid multi-cornered fights and instead look at a concerted push for rural vote getting.

PasMa will join G18 in setting up new party, says president BY ZULKIFLI SULONG Published: 23 June 2015 3:44 PM PasMa will work together with PAS's G18 group and other Muslim non-governmental organisations in forming a new party to replace PAS in Pakatan Rakyat (PR).
Its president, Datuk Phahrolrazi Zawawi, said that only one party would be set up to form a new alliance after PAS severed ties with DAP at its recent muktamar. "We will join the G18 and other Islamic NGOs to form a new party to replace PAS and to form a new alliance," Phahrolrazi told The Malaysian Insider. G18 refers to the 18 PAS leaders, dubbed the progressives, who were ousted in the party elections recently. Phahrolrazi explained that the new party would not only be working with DAP, as reported by the media, but also with PKR. "We have had several meetings with G18 to discuss the matter. God willing, we will make an announcement after Hari Raya," he added. The G18 has formed an action committee to develop a new platform based on political Islam that was truly inclusive and engaging following the failure of PAS to do so. The group is discussing its options with many NGOs and individual leaders to join them in their struggle for a more inclusive movement for Malaysians. http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/pasma-will-join-g18-in-setting-up-new-party-says-president#sthash.uhWCqCGr.dpbs

Nazir Razak's NGO idea brewing for more than a year by Shannon Teoh, Monday, Jun 22, 2015 News that prominent banker Nazir Razak was setting up a non-governmental organisation (NGO) set Malaysia abuzz about his political intentions last week, but it was not a bolt from the blue. The Sunday Times has learnt that Datuk Seri Nazir and "like-minded friends" have been meeting for more than a year now on ways to change the direction the country is headed.For Mr Nazir, who has spoken out increasingly about growing racial and religious intolerance and the mismanagement of 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB), this merely represents a shift in gears and is in part driven by a desire to preserve his father's legacy. - See more at: http://news.asiaone.com/news/malaysia/nazir-razaks-ngo-idea-brewing-more-year#sthash.1rEO440X.dpuf

Pakatan is over, says DAP Published: 16 June 2015 12:44 PM DAP's top leadership has moved ahead to declare that Pakatan Rakyat (PR) has ceased to exist, and said it would only work with PKR and "other forces" to end Barisan Nasional's hold on federal power. Its secretary-general, Lim Guan Eng, said the party's central executive committee, its highest decision-making body, last night resolved at a meeting to accept the motion by PAS at its muktamar or annual congress recently to sever ties with DAP. "Effectively… Pakatan Rakyat ceases to exist," Lim said in a statement today. DAP's decision comes as PKR president Datuk Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail, who is also opposition leader, is still holding out hope that the crumbling pact can be revived. Yesterday, she said there was an urgent need to review the working relationship between PAS, DAP and PKR to save PR from its demise. She called for continuous discussions and solidarity in political cooperation.  But Lim today said that since PR was founded based on consensus among the three parties, and was bound by the common policy framework, the PAS's muktamar motion had effectively killed off the pact. "The DAP will work with PKR and all other forces who aspire to see the end of Umno-Barisan Nasional’s one-party rule to reshape and realign Malaysian politics with the aim of winning Putrajaya for the people," he said. http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/pakatan-is-over-says-dap#sthash.gYIEmB3h.dpbs

7 June 2015: PAS shifts with landslide win for ulamaa / conservatives in internal polls; "Other Malays can fill PAS posts in Penang" - Guan Eng

Last Rites for Malaysia Opposition Bloc as God Trumps Politics  by Shamim Adamand Niluksi Koswanage June 7, 2015 — 5:00 PM BST Malaysia’s opposition alliance is at risk of collapse as one leader predicts “funeral rites” for the bloc after months of bickering between two of its three members. Disunity within the seven-year-old Pakatan Rakyat alliance could benefit Prime Minister Najib Razak as he fends off calls to resign from former premier Mahathir Mohamad over his handling of a troubled state-run investment fund. Pakatan Rakyat has already been tested in the past year over disagreements on governance in opposition-held Selangor state, and by the jailing of former leader Anwar Ibrahim for sodomy. The disparate alliance is largely held together by the goal of unseating a party that’s been in power since independence in 1957. Parti Islam se-Malaysia, whose conservative faction defeated moderates in party polls this month, is pushing to cut ties with the mostly ethnic-Chinese Democratic Action Party, even as it plans to stay in Pakatan Rakyat. PAS’ efforts to implement Islamic criminal law in opposition-run Kelantan state led the DAP to call it unconstitutional in secular Malaysia. “Najib has his own set of problems within UMNO and they are very serious ones,” said Ibrahim Suffian, an analyst at the Merdeka Center for Opinion Research in Kuala Lumpur, referring to the ruling United Malays National Organisation. “The PAS election results are a welcome respite for him. The fact that the opposition will not be able to function as effectively puts him at a stronger position.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-06-07/last-rites-for-malaysia-opposition-bloc-as-god-trumps-politics

Other Malays can fill PAS posts in Penang, says Guan Eng BY LOOI SUE-CHERN Published: 7 June 2015 1:30 PM - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/let-other-malays-fill-pas-posts-in-penang-says-guan-eng#sthash.ZJJWnbdC.dpuf

29 May 2015: Umno manipulating PAS over hudud, says Ahmad Awang  - Malaysian Insider

Umno manipulating PAS over hudud, says Ahmad Awang BY ZULKIFLI SULONG, FEATURES AND ANALYSIS EDITOR Published: 29 May 2015 9:00 AM Ahmad Awang, the PAS presidential challenger to Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang, says if Umno is sincere in its support for hudud, one of its parliamentarians should propose the matter in the Dewan Rakyat. – The Malaysian Insider pic by Afif Abd Halim, May 29, 2015.PAS presidential candidate Ahmad Awang has questioned Umno’s sincerity in supporting Kelantan's plan to implement hudud, saying it now appears to be part of the Malay ruling party's political game. The veteran politician believes the absence of the private member’s bill from the parliamentary order paper over the past week proves that Umno has been playing with the Islamist party over the issue. "At the last parliamentary sitting, they said the proposal will be discussed at the current sitting, but until now, nothing. I am sure, Umno has successfully manipulated us," Ahmad told The Malaysian Insider. googletag.cmd.push(function; Previously, he said, the reason given was that there were too many bills that needed to be debated and that the private member's bill on hudud, submitted by party president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang, had to be set aside for the time being. "This time, the excuse is the presentation of the 11th Malaysia Plan. As of today, it is not even in the order paper. "There is also talk that the prime minister has issued a directive not to discuss the private member's bill just yet." This, he added, could be related to leaders in Sabah and Sarawak who were unhappy with Kelantan's move and who came out strongly against the implementation of hudud. - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/umno-manipulating-pas-over-hudud-says-ahmad-awang#sthash.KqmcqrKr.dpuf

16 May 2015: Malaysiakini - Mat Sabu on the ulama faction in PAS

Mat Sabu on the ulama faction in PAS By Alyaa Azhar 9:48AM May 16, 2015; INTERVIEW In comparing PAS ulama from several decades ago to the ones today, PAS deputy president Mohamad Sabu says the ulama from olden days were respected for their character instead of educational background. “Why was the late (PAS spiritual leader) Nik Abdul Aziz (Nik Mat) respected? It was because of his character. "When he was Kelantan menteri besar, he lived modestly and declined the privileges given to him," said Mohamad in an interview with Malaysiakini earlier this week.  "He walks the talk, that’s why people respected him even the non-Muslims."  Mohamad - better known as Mat Sabu - added the same could be said for the late (former PAS president) Fadzil Noor, who till his death, fought to uphold the truth and human rights.  "This is the kind of people we want. Whoever wants to be an ulama must have such a character.  "Just because one studied religion, must he or she be automatically regarded as an ulama?" he asked.  He went on to elaborate that he had cited as examples those who have passed away be use some ulama in PAS who had initially fought against Umno in the end embraced their bitter rivals and turned against their own party.  Mat Sabu's remark is seen as a subtle jibe against supporters of the ulama faction in PAS who are seen to be amicable with Umno... http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/298532?google_editors_picks=true


7 May 2015: PKR retains Permatang Pauh, majority c. 8,800, maintaining 57% vote share, some Malay swing to PKR and some Chinese swing to BN?; a view on hudud and a pro-ulama hudud scuffle in a kampong

Looks like anti-GST anti-BN swing happening in Permatang Pauh, as it did yesterday at Rompin? Unofficial 10,000+ majority turns on official result of about 8.800.

Wan Azizah wins Permatang Pauh BY LOOI SUE-CHERN AND ISTA KYRA SHARMUGAM Published: 7 May 2015 7:15 PM PKR president Datuk Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail wins Permatang Pauh parliamentary seat after incumbent Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim was disqualified due to his sodomy conviction. – The Malaysian Insider pic by Hasnoor Hussain, May 7, 2015.PKR president Datuk Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail was announced winner of the Permatang Pauh by-election at 10.20pm tonight, sealing her return to the parliamentary seat for the fourth time. She garnered 30,316 votes, a majority of 8,841 ballots ahead of Barisan Nasional newcomer Suhaimi Sabudin, who got 21,475 votes. Independent candidate Salleh Ishak won 367 votes and Parti Rakyat Malaysia candidate Azman Shah 101 votes. There were 843 spoilt votes. .... A total of 71,890 people are eligible to vote in the parliamentary seat, but voter turnout was 53,198 or 74%, according to the Election Commission (EC). In the 13th general election two years ago, voter turnout for this seat was 88.3%. PKR is ahead in all three state seats in the parliamentary constituency, including PAS stronghold Permatang Pasir. The other two state seats are Seberang Jaya and Penanti. In the 2013 general election, Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim retained the seat with 37,090 or 58.56% of the total 63,332 votes cast, by 11,721 votes.....Dr Wan Azizah was always the heavyweight in the campaign to retain the seat. This time, Pakatan Rakyat wins with a lower majority due to a lower voter turnout of 74%, compared to the turnout of 88.3% in the 2013 national polls. With a lower turnout, PKR essentially maintains its vote share, at about 57% of all votes cast this time. The opposition pact had been hoping for a bigger majority in this by-election to send a message to Putrajaya that people are rejecting the goods and services tax. – May 7, 2015. - See more at:

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/pkr-leads-with-3555-majority-in-permatang-pauh-as-counting-under-way#sthash.sMUtN5Ts.dpuf

Slight increase in Malay support for PKR in Permatang Pauh, says Wan Azizah BY LOOI SUE-CHERN and ISTA KYRA SHARMUGAM Published: 7 May 2015 11:19 PM Permatang Pauh MP Datuk Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail says there is an increase of Malay youth voters in this by-election. – The Malaysian Insider pic by Afif Abd Halim, May 7, 2015.PKR president Datuk Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail said tonight that the results of the Permatang Pauh by-election showed an increase of between 4% and 5% of Malay votes, especially the youths. She also attributed the turnout, 73.71%, to the fact that there was no element of sabotage from PAS election machinery and that voters wanted a stronger Pakatan Rakyat leadership. "This is not just a win for PKR but also the people who oppose Barisan Nasional's treatment towards Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim....It is clear the politically-motivated jailing of Anwar by BN has attracted much sympathy and proof that he is till relevant to the people "The results of this by-election also shows that people are disappointed with Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak for his lavish lifestyle and scandals; especially 1Malaysia Development Bhd (1MDB) and the latest use of funds from Tabung Haji," she said after the announcement of her victory in Permatang Pauh. She said the mainstream media had also failed in their attempt to slander her, Anwar and the opposition coalition leaders. "They tried their best to paint my performance in Kajang in a bad light and break up the unity in PR, but it didn't work.” - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/slight-increase-in-malay-support-for-pkr-in-permatang-pauh-says-wan-azizah#sthash.D56pg6wQ.dpuf

Official: PKR retains Pmtg Pauh, smaller majority, Malaysiakini 7:11PM May 7, 2015
10.18pm: OFFICIAL RESULTS FROM ELECTION COMMISSION
 PKR - 30,316 (57.1 percent of the popular vote)
 BN - 21,475 (40.44 percent of the popular vote, up by 0.38 percent)
 Ind - 367
 PRM - 101
 Majoriti: 8,841
 Spoilt vote: 843

9.31pm: Latest unofficial results with more or less all votes counted.
 PKR - 30,504
 BN - 20,586
 Ind - 359
 PRM - 98
 Majority - 9,918
.....8.15pm: Quick analysis: Although BN made marginal gains of between one to three percent in several polling districts where PKR won, it lost Kampung Belah Dua to PKR this time round.
BN won 51.6 percent of votes in Kampung Belah Dua in the general election last year, but only managed to garner 49.3 percent of the votes this time. It was one of only six polling districts it won in Permatang Pauh in 2013. There are a total of 28 polling districts in the parliamentary constituency**.
......7.50pm: Quick analysis: swing to BN or PKR is between 0.1% and 3% at various district polling centres. Though BN may have a slight edge. It appears that the main factor affecting the final majority will be the turnout as the swings are marginal.
......7.35pm: Quick analysis of four voting districts:
 - Mengkuang (91.8% Malay) = +0.1% swing to PKR
 - Sungai Semambu (71% Malay, 21% Chinese) = +0.04% swing to PKR
 - Sungai Lembu (98.7% Chinese) = +13.8% swing to BN
 - Telok Wang (58.1% Malay, 26.7% Chinese) = +3.3% swing to BN
 Note: BN only won 16 percent of the votes in Sungai Lembu in 2013. However, BN won 30.4 percent this time round and this is cause for MCA and Gerakan to celebrate.
http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/297557

**Wong Chen: Victory for Kak Wan! Majority now has crossed 9,000 and heading up!
My office team was stationed at Kampung Belah Dua for the elections, an outpost of BN. BN took 54% in 2013, we overturned it with a 5% swing to take 51% of Kampung Belah Dua.
We worked with Yahya Shari and the Kuala Langat gang. Congrats to all my crew and associates. We brought powerpoint presentations to the kampung. This is a sweet victory for all who worked the door to door and ceramah kelompoks.

https://www.facebook.com/wongchenpkr/posts/808822635854795?notif_t=notify_me


Festive mood at packed Pakatan finale ceramah By Susan Loone & Alyaa Azhar  10:33PM May 6, 2015; PMTG PAUH Permatang Pauh is in a celebratory mood as several ceramah venues in the Pakatan Rakyat camp is crowded with supporters. At the Tapak Ekspo in Seberang Jaya - where ceramahs are frequently held - hundreds turn up to hear Pakatan leaders speak in a grand finale ceramah. A night market sets up as the crowd sit on the floor listening attentively to the speeches.
Cars triple park on the roadside as the crowd swells to an unexpected size, given the dismal turnout on prior days. The total turnout at Pakatan ceramah at Kubang Semang, Bukit Mertajam and Kubang Semang was around 10,000 people. Cars are bumper to bumper on the road leading to the ceramah spot. A convoy of motorbikes carrying PKR's flags adds to the festive mood..... In Taman Ciku, Bukit Mertajam, about 1,000 turned up near DAP's service centre..... In Seberang Jaya, PAS deputy chief Mohamed Sabu predicts a 16,000 majority for Wan Azizah, saying the number should be more than BN's majority in Rompin, Pahang.  "If the majority is lesser than BN in Rompin, I would be ashamed of you, Permatang Pauh voters!" he said. "Because you are a more develop constituency compared to Rompin. You have wi-fi, you can read the silly remarks made by the BN ministers," he added.
"So if you still let BN, I will be so ashamed!" he said to loud laughter... On her part, Wan Azizah urged voters to remember why her husband and incumbent Permatang Pauh MP Anwar Ibrahim was convicted of sodomy and is now serving a five-year jail sentence. "I committed no offence by being a grandmother. So please vote this grandmother tomorrow," she said. "For the rakyat!".... Wan Azizah faces Umno's Suhaimi Sabudin, PRM's Azman Shah Othman and Salleh Isahak, the independent candidate. http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/297465

Hudud, a cause for hubris and hypocrisy COMMENTARY BY JAHABAR SADIQ, EDITOR Published: 23 March 2015 12:25 PM PAS president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang says it is the party’s democratic right to table a private members’ bill to enable the implementation of hudud in Kelantan. – The Malaysian Insider file pic, March 23, 2015.Justice or hubris, democracy or hypocrisy, these are the questions cropping up as hudud laws make their regular appearance in the Malaysian political and legal landscape. If you read or listen to PAS president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang, and even self-confessed PAS progressives such as Dr Dzulkefly Ahmad, you get the impression that hudud has a place in Malaysian society. Fact is, even Umno politicians, with the exception of Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad, will find it hard to disagree with their political opponents in PAS..... And Muslims themselves have to confront the fact that the Quran does speak of such criminal laws and punishments. Hadi told Malay daily Berita Harian that it was PAS's democratic right to push through such laws and a private members' bill to enable it. Meanwhile, in his column in The Malaysian Insider today, Dzulkefly wrote, “To answer specifically on our position on hudud, I once again say, without fear or favour, that hudud has its own unique place in the larger corpus of Islamic legal prescription or jurisprudence, ie. in Islamic law. “We nonetheless do not think that it is the most important imperative of the shariah, given the many other competing priorities. Never should a Muslim be accused, however, of rejecting shariah if he/she believes in its transcendental (revealed) origin, but prioritises other more important shariah imperatives as taking precedent over its penal code.” To be fair, almost everyone – and this includes politicians in parties other than PAS, PKR or Umno – believes that hudud is eventually possible in Malaysia. The answer, though, is no.....  http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/hudud-a-cause-for-hubris-and-hypocrisy#sthash.3vtDSxBB.dpuf

Villagers drive out PAS demonstrators By Zulaikha Zulkifli 10:23PM May 6, 2015; A scuffle marked the last day of Permatang Pauh by-election campaign when a group claiming to be 'pro-ulama' PAS members squared off with residents of Kampung Kubang Semang in the Penang parliamentary constituency. The group of 10 led by Bagan PAS information chief Azmi Jaafar gathered at a junction near the Kampung Kubang Semang petrol station at about 5 pm today. They held up placards which read "Hudud hukum Allah" (Hudud is Allah's law) and "Pemuda bersama kepimpinan ulama" (Youths support ulama leadership). But within a minute of their arrival, two men sitting at a food stall across the street approached them and told them to leave. One of the men yelled: "Don't create a scene at our village. You are not even voters here." This was followed by shoving between them when the man tried to snatch the group's placards. The situation became more tense when a group of villagers who were at the food stall stated surrounding the pro-ulama group to chase them out. One of them grabbed a loud hailer from Azmi and smashed it on the road, prompting Azmi to instruct his group to go elsewhere. They left 10 minutes after that. Former Permatang Pauh PAS secretary Abdul Razak Abdullah, who was also at the scene, told reporters that they drove the "pro-Ulama" group away to avoid an incident. .........The same group had gathered in front of Majid Batu, Kampung Pertama to urge PKR to apologise over its statement regarding the hudud. PKR said it will not support PAS president Abdul Hadi Awang's Private Member's Bill to amend the Syariah Courts Act, so that the Kelantan Syariah Criminal Code II 1993 (Amendment 2015) which includes hudud can be implemented....
http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/297463?google_editors_picks=true

PAS and PKR men in brawl over hudud outside mosque Updated: Thursday May 7, 2015 MYT 8:00:58 AM; BUKIT MERTAJAM: Groups of PAS members and PKR supporters brawled outside a mosque near here after a heated argument over hudud. Bagan PAS youth chief Azmi Jaafar and his group were holding a demonstration outside the mosque in Kubang Semang here when they were interrupted by PKR supporters. Members from both groups started to push and hurl insults at each other before a police team broke up the fight. Some of those involved were armed with iron rods but no one was injured in the fracas. Azmi said the demonstration was held to tell voters in Permatang Pauh not to vote for those who are against hudud.... http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2015/05/07/PAS-and-PKR-men-in-brawl-over-hudud-outside-mosque/




19 March 2015: Opposition coalition splits on unanimous Kelantan hudud vote

DAP youth to cease cooperation with PAS counterpart  by tan yi liang Updated: Thursday March 19, 2015 MYT 10:46:40 PM; PETALING JAYA: DAP Socialist Youth (Dapsy) will no longer be working with Pas Youth, said its chief Teo Kok Seong. “Today, the Dapsy executive council has decided by consensus to stop all forms of cooperation with PAS Youth at the state level throughout Malaysia and at the central level,” said the Rasah MP in a statement on Thursday. Teo added that the decision was made following the passing of amendments to the Syariah Criminal Code II 1993 at the the Kelantan state assembly on Thursday. “This has set aside the joint agreement of Pakatan Rakyat,” he said. Teo’s statement follows on the heels of other voices of opposition within Pakatan Rakyat.
The amendments to Kelantan’s Syariah Criminal Code 1993 were passed by the state legislative assembly on Thursday. The vote was passed unanimously by 44 assemblymen comprising 31 from PAS, 12 from Umno and one from PKR....... http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2015/03/19/Dapsy-to-cease-working-with-PAS/
15 March 2015: Survey finds more opinions for Anwar and other veteran opposition leaders to step down; The Star (BN-MCA linked newspaper) publishes a tough opinion piece on the PKR Anwar family leadership

Malaysians want veteran politicians to step down, survey shows BY ANISAH SHUKRY Published: 12 March 2015 9:00 AM


http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/malaysians-want-veteran-politicians-to-step-down-survey-shows?google_editors_picks=true#sthash.mstcujMb.dpuf

The Star (a BN-MCA linked newspaper) publishes a tough opinion piece on the PKR Anwar family leadership:

Political vacuum at the top  by joceline tan  Updated: Sunday March 15, 2015 MYT 7:45:15 AM
IT was supposed to be Nurul Izzah Anwar’s big moment in Parliament. She was Pakatan Rakyat’s choice to speak on behalf of her Opposition leader father. There had been all that political hype over Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim in the run-up to the Parliament sitting and the Pakatan Rakyat side thought this would be the golden opportunity for her to win hearts and minds as well as showcase what she is about.....  The Lembah Pantai MP has a strong yet feminine voice and MPs and the media had been expecting something extraordinary. But the speech, somehow, did not quite measure up to expectations. It was rather underwhelming and largely a repetition of the things that PKR leaders had been saying since the guilty verdict..... Although her mother, Datuk Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail, is the party president, she is seen as the one taking charge of a number of political events. She has been on the streets addressing the young group protesting Anwar’s verdict, making the ceramah rounds and calling up people for help and support.....  She has made no bones about the fact that she sees herself as the torch-bearer of her father’s legacy..... The Rafizi factor... Some think the Anwar family is being used by secretary-general Rafizi Ramli to strengthen his standing in PKR.....  Nurul Izzah has also claimed a leading role in the coming Permatang Pauh by-election. She and former secretary-general Datuk Saifuddin Nasution are co-chairmen for the party’s election committee. Party insiders said Saifuddin expressed interest in taking charge of the by-election. But Nurul Izzah wanted it and she got it..... The buzz over her sister Nurul Nuha has fizzled.There was a great deal of excitement when the family pushed Nurul Nuha centrestage. People were curious for a glimpse of her and to hear her speak..... Nurul Izzah is the only natural politician among her siblings and even she is seen as still having a long way to go. She has the charisma but still lacks depth and breadth when it comes to issues..... In fact, Pengerang MP Datuk Seri Azalina Othman Said almost stole the thunder from Nurul Izzah’s “Opposition leader speech” one day later. Azalina was at her most aggressive but her fierce, calculated and off-the-cuff response showed the younger woman what experience, a background in law and the ability to think on one’s feet added up to.... The political mood this time around has been a stark contrast to Anwar’s first imprisonment – no white hot anger or emotional eruption. The #KitaLawan rally last weekend drew a respectable crowd but it was nowhere close to the spontaneous tide of people pouring out into the streets in 1998. That is what happens when the PAS crowd stays at home.... To quote Zaid, who has become the “unconventional statesman” of Malaysia, it is time they show there is more to their struggle than Anwar Ibrahim.... •The views expressed are entirely the writer's own http://www.thestar.com.my/Opinion/Columnists/Analysis/Profile/Articles/2015/03/15/Political-vacuum-at-the-top-The-campaign-to-free-Datuk-Seri-Anwar-Ibrahim-is-lacking-the-passion-and/


12 March 2015: Hadi Awang set for party president showdown with "Hawaii Five-O" gang while Haron becomes PAS spiritual leader for the next five years

Haron is new PAS spiritual adviser by sira habibu  Updated: Thursday March 12, 2015 MYT 7:13:36 AM; PETALING JAYA: The appointment of Datuk Dr Haron Din as the new Mursyidul Am has apparently foiled the so-called “Hawaii Five-O” gang’s plan to convince the grassroots to “elevate” Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang to spiritual leader. The Hawaii Five-O gang would have preferred Hadi to “move on” to head the Syura Council and leave the party president’s post for others to contest. Hawaii Five-O is the name given to a WhatsApp chat group involved in an alleged attempt to topple Hadi. Pro-ulama netizens welcomed the Syura Council’s decision to appoint Dr Haron while signalling to the ground that Hadi would defend his presidency in the upcoming party elections.
PAS assistant secretary-general Datuk Takiyuddin Hassan said the Syura Council met on March 8 and unanimously decided to appoint Dr Haron who had served as the deputy. “Dr Haron is the new Mursyidul Am and Kelantan Mentri Besar Datuk Ahmad Yacob is the deputy,” said Takiyuddin. According to the PAS constitution, the Mursyidul Am appointment is made every five years.... http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2015/03/12/Haron-is-new-PAS-spiritual-adviser-Appointment-foils-Hawaii-FiveO-gangs-plan-to-elevate-Hadi/

9 March 2015: PR opposition splits on Sarawak as DAP claims 30 seats - takes a dig at PKR and others who have not done their groundwork

Sarawak Pakatan tested further as DAP eyes 30 seats BY DESMOND DAVIDSON Published: 9 March 2015 6:37 PM DAP chairman Chong Chieng Jen says the party is justified in its declaration to contest 30 seats in the upcoming state election without consulting PKR or PAS. – The Malaysian Insider pic, March 9, 2015.Sarawak DAP pushed the uneasy opposition alliance in the state over the edge yesterday with a declaration to contest 30 seats in the upcoming state election without consulting its Pakatan Rakyat (PR) partners – PKR and PAS. The number of seats suggested doubled the ones DAP had contested in the 2011 state polls. Its state DAP chairman Chong Chieng Jen said, after the party's state committee meeting in Kuching, that the numbers were justified because the party had done its constituency work in areas it intended to contest..... “For the moment, we will concentrate on the groundwork in 30 areas that we have identified. “For DAP, it has always been a policy that we will contest in areas that we have worked on to lay our foundation and (which) we are confident of delivering,” Chong said. Brushing aside seat allocation negotiation, Chong said there is no point saying “I want to contest in this area, I want to contest in that area” without doing the groundwork, a subtle reference to PKR getting a lion share of seats but was whipped in both state and parliamentary elections. - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/uneasy-opposition-alliance-tested-further-with-sarawak-dap-to-contest-30-se#sthash.9fl3eyoq.dpuf

9 March 2015: Attacks against PAS senior members Dr Dzul and Dr Hatta and continued leadership silence on violent incidents amid PAS internal strife; PKR's KitaLawan rally gets surprise 10,000 turnout; attendees note limited support from PAS at rally (its red brigade not present) and key DAP Penang leaders could not attend PKR rally as they had to stay back to work / hand out RM100 to the elderly (Lim Guan Eng denies telling them to stay away from rally, and says some did travel to and fro..)

PAS leader questions silence of leaders after violent attacks against members BY ZULKIFLI SULONG, Analysis and Features Editor Published: 7 March 2015 4:36 PM ...Two days after PAS research director Dr Dzulkefly Ahmad was assaulted by unknown assailants outside his home in Shah Alam, the party’s elections director, who was also a victim of a violent crime, urged the party's leadership not to remain silent and allow such acts to perpetuate. Dr Mohd Hatta Ramli, whose car was torched last month, said he was concerned that when there was silence over the matter, the culprits would get the impression that their acts were condoned. "If there is continued silence, they will climb on our heads, especially when there is no signal from the top leadership.... "Silence means, please continue, so leaders need to be firm," said Dr Hatta, who is believed to be directing his comments to the leadership, especially president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang who has yet to comment on the incidents happening within the party.... http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/pas-leader-questions-silence-of-top-leadership-after-violent-attacks-agains#sthash.U326YPcS.dpuf

Despite political fatigue, #KitaLawan’s 10k turnout commendable, say analysts BY EILEEN NG Published: 7 March 2015 8:06 PM; Pakatan Rakyat's ability to pull in a 10,000 crowd to its #KitaLawan rally today is commendable, say analysts, despite the opposition pact’s dented image due to incessant spats among its allies, lack of endorsement from the PAS leadership, and with Malaysians weary of politics and preoccupied with the rising cost of living. Although this number is far from the hundreds of thousands who took to the streets during the 1998 Reformasi demonstrations to protest against Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim's sacking from the federal government and in Bersih’s 2012 rally calling for free and fair elections, observers said today's turnout was telling as it managed to attract younger Malaysians to take part. The youth form an important voting bloc, especially since about 450,000 Malaysians turn 21 each year and some 70% of the estimated 4.2 unregistered voters are between the ages of 21 and 40. ... y's protest was in support of the jailed Opposition leader and to call for resignation of Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak.... http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/despite-political-fatigue-kitalawans-10k-turnout-commendable-say-analysts#sthash.CTRvFCcJ.dpuf

#KitaLawan protest attracts the angry, the creative and the nonchalant BY ANISAH SHUKRY Published: 7 March 2015 8:51 PM; Amid the chants of 'Reformasi' and 'Undur Najib'‎ at today's #KitaLawan rally outside Sogo in Kuala Lumpur, one tiny, elderly woman could be seen shuffling among the crowd, angrily smacking the banners held up within her reach. "Stop it!" she cried in Malay, her dark, wrinkled face pulled into a scowl, as she tried to grab a nearby protester. "You're being a menace!"....With the exception of the woman, the mood among the thousands who turned up today was largely festive, and their spirits remained unperturbed even as the evening wore on and it began raining intermittently. The creativity of Malaysians was on full display today as an effigy of Najib could be spotted among the crowd, as well as large cardboard puppets depicting a variety of animals.... http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/kitalawan-protest-attracts-the-angry-the-creative-and-the-nonchalant#sthash.03ztGUuC.dpuf

Guan Eng denies telling Penang Pakatan reps to stay away from #KitaLawan rally By Opalyn Mok Published: March 7, 2015 02:11 PM...GEORGE TOWN, March 7 — Penang Chief Minister Lim Guan Eng has denied warning Pakatan Rakyat (PR) elected representatives against taking part in the Kita Lawan rally today. He explained that some of the PR assemblyman, including himself, could not attend the rally in Kuala Lumpur today because they had to be in Penang for a state-organised senior citizens’ appreciation programme. “Yesterday, I did say some of them would be travelling to and fro like Deputy Chief Minister I Datuk Mohd Rashid Hasnon, but this was not reported,” he claimed, and blamed media controlled by the Barisan Nasional coalition for allegedly “twisting” his words... http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/guan-eng-denies-telling-penang-pakatan-reps-to-stay-away-from-kitalawan-ral#sthash.JAerSY7w.dpuf

24 Feb 2015: PAS Sec-Gen says Wan Azizah has chance to be opposition leader, PAS conservatives vs progressives tussle

Wan Azizah has chance to be opposition leader, says PAS BY ZULKIFLI SULONG, FEATURES AND ANALYSIS EDITOR Published: 24 February 2015 6:59 AM;  Datuk Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail will have to contest the Permatang Pauh parliamentary seat in Penang which fell vacant when her husband Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim was convicted of sodomy if she is to be appointed opposition leader. – The Malaysian Insider file pic, February 24, 2015.Datuk Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail will have to contest the Permatang Pauh parliamentary seat in Penang which fell vacant when her husband Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim was convicted of sodomy if she is to be appointed opposition leader. – The Malaysian Insider file pic, February 24, 2015.PAS's rejection of Datuk Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail as Selangor menteri besar is not going to affect her chances of being picked as the new parliamentary opposition leader, said PAS secretary-general Datuk Mustafa Ali.
http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/wan-azizah-has-chance-to-be-opposition-leader-says-pas?google_editors_picks=true

Audio proof of Mat Sabu plotting to unseat Hadi being circulated BY ZULKIFLI SULONG, FEATURES AND ANALYSIS EDITOR Published: 23 February 2015 4:00 PM The simmering war between PAS conservatives and progressives went up a notch today with the circulation of an audio clip purportedly of PAS deputy president Mohamad Sabu planning to unseat party president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang. The revelation comes after another expose of party election strategist Hatta Ramli also allegedly planning the same through the WhatsApp chat app. The recording was uploaded onto the Facebook page of Tuc Tok Usin Ceroi, who attacked Mohamad for being a "traitor". Tuc Tok Usin Ceroi is an account popular among the pro-Ulama group in PAS. - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/audio-proof-circulated-of-mat-sabu-plotting-to-unseat-hadi?google_editors_picks=true#sthash.xnlHVzUZ.dpuf

22 February 2015: Nurul Nuha Anwar seeking justice for her father

Nurul Nuha Anwar committed to free father, driven by injustice against him BY ELIZABETH ZACHARIAH Published: 22 February 2015 7:00 AM Slightly more than 16 years ago, when her famous father was first incarcerated, Nurul Nuha Anwar, then only 15, was confused and heartbroken. Fast-forward to 2015, Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim is bundled off to jail again, but this time Nuha the adult is seething with rage as she seeks justice for him. In an interview with The Malaysian Insider recently, the 31-year-old mother of two cut a spirited figure, in contrast to the grief-stricken person she was on February 10 when the Federal Court decided to uphold her father's conviction and five-year jail sentence for sodomy. "Back in 1999, I was only 15 and very confused, wondering why this was happening to my family. My sisters were really young at that time," she said, referring to when Anwar was convicted for corruption, following his sacking from his position as deputy prime minister the previous year.... http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/nurul-nuha-anwar-committed-to-free-father-driven-by-injustice-against-him#sthash.J6D1aiRk.dpuf

16 February 2015: Tussle for PR opposition leader post to come? Utusan complains that "Anwar not only has a sexual criminal offence but also inviting the meddling of foreign powers, an offence which is far bigger..."

PKR wants to hold on to post by wani muthiah  Updated: Monday February 16, 2015 MYT 7:52:44 AM, KLANG: While some in the DAP want the party to take over the Opposition Leader’s post, PKR leaders are not that happy to let go of it.... PKR vice-president Fuziah Salleh said the party had a special role to play in Pakatan Rakyat and deserved to keep the job. “We play a unifying role in Pakatan,” said Fuziah, who is the Kuantan MP. She said PKR deputy president Azmin Ali, being the party’s most senior leader in Parliament, should assume the post.... Azmin said the need to appoint a new Opposition Leader had not arisen yet, as jailed PKR adviser Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim was still holding the post..... Anwar’s Permatang Pauh seat will be declared vacant by the Election Commission soon, as the Federal Court rejected his appeal against his sodomy conviction..... Meanwhile, there is speculation that the DAP is also gunning for the post. According to sources, although the party’s veteran MPs are not adamant over the post going to the DAP, some of its younger elected representatives feel otherwise.  They feel that since the DAP holds the most number of seats among Pakatan in Parliament, the post should go to it. The DAP holds 37 seats in Parliament compared to PKR’s 28 and PAS’ 21......
http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2015/02/16/PKR-wants-to-hold-on-to-post-We-deserve-to-keep-Opposition-Leaders-job-says-party-vicepresident/

Utusan likens US criticism of Anwar case to sodomy - Several countries, including the US, Australia and Canada, have expressed concern and disappointment over Anwar’s trial; KUALA LUMPUR — The United States is continuing to meddle in Malaysia’s domestic politics with its views on opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim, the Utusan Malaysia said in an editorial piece yesterday, which compared America’s action to “sodomising” the country’s legal and judiciary systems.
In a Sunday column by its editors, the Malay-language newspaper owned by the ruling United Malays National Organisation (UMNO) party also tore into Anwar, pronouncing him guilty not only of sodomy but also of inviting the interference of foreign powers..... “Big powers such as the US wants to now ‘sodomise’ our legal and judiciary systems although the majority of Malaysians agreed with the court’s decision,” said Awang Selamat, the pseudonym used by Utusan editors.... “For Awang, Anwar not only has a sexual criminal offence but also inviting the meddling of foreign powers, an offence which is far bigger. Our sovereignty cannot be substituted.”.... http://www.todayonline.com/world/asia/utusan-likens-us-criticism-anwar-case-sodomy?singlepage=true

14 February 2015: PAS leader's car torched amidst accusations of factions conspiring to topple party president Hadi Awang and ulama leadership?

Senior PAS leader’s 4WD torched Updated: Saturday February 14, 2015 MYT 4:19:10 PM
PETALING JAYA: A senior PAS leader recently accused of conspiring against the party president found his four-wheel drive vehicle in flames outside his residence in Hulu Klang on Saturday morning.... Hatta, who is also a PAS central committee member, has been at the centre of controversy after being accused by certain quarters in the party of conspiring to topple party president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang.... Last Sunday, a group of Hadi’s supporters protested outside the PAS headquarters in Jalan Raja Laut calling ahead of the central working committee meeting.... They submitted a memorandum calling for Hatta’s resignation, and naming several other PAS leaders said to be in cahoots to topple the president and the ulama leadership.... http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2015/02/14/pas-car-torched/

Ibrahim Ali incurs netizens' wrath over remarks on Nik Aziz by akil yunus AND victoria brown Updated: Friday February 13, 2015 MYT 9:14:17 PM; PETALING JAYA: Perkasa president Datuk Ibrahim Ali (pic) angered netizens on Friday after he appeared to criticise late PAS spiritual leader Datuk Nik Abdul Aziz Nik Mat.... In a statement on Friday offering his condolences to Nik Aziz’s family, Ibrahim accused the former Kelantan Mentri Besar of failing to develop the state and falling short in his bid to implement hudud in the state... The original posting has since been removed, but not before social media users tore into Ibrahim for being insensitive....
http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2015/02/13/Ibrahim-Ali-Nik-Aziz/

13 February 2015: Niz Aziz - “He passed away on Thursday night. Hope Allah will bless his soul
and he will be among the pious in Heaven ” PAS said. Malaysia opposition loses Nik Aziz, a strong advocate of an opposition alliance who said he would "spit in the face" of any PAS leader forming an alliance with UMNO

Death of Nik Aziz deals fresh blow to Malaysian opposition - Effect on opposition uncertain with one less figure to hold PAS, PR together, says analyst Published: 4:13 AM, February 13, 2015; KUALA LUMPUR — Malaysia’s political opposition, already suffering from the jailing of leader Anwar Ibrahim, received another blow when veteran party spiritual leader Nik Abdul Aziz Nik Mat died yesterday. He was 84.... Mr Nik Aziz, who led the Islamist opposition Parti Islam Se-Malaysia (PAS) and was former Kelantan chief minister, died at his home in Pulau Melaka, Kota Baru last night, PAS officials said.... “He passed away on Thursday night. Hope Allah will bless his soul and he will be among the pious in Heaven,” the party said in a statement on its Facebook page.... While it is too early to tell what its effect will be on the political alliance, analysts previously said there would be an impact on both PAS and PR.... “His distrust of UMNO (United Malays National Organisation) decided the course of Malaysian politics to a very large extent, along with his reputation for being a clean-living, humble and principled person,” Dr Ooi Kee Beng, deputy director of Singapore’s Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, said in an earlier interview. UMNO is the largest party in Malaysia’s Barisan Nasional (BN) ruling coalition.... Mr Nik Aziz had been the strongest advocate of the PR alliance since its formation in 2008, and also rejected all possibility of PAS cooperating with UMNO.... He had once warned he would spit in the face of any PAS leader who wished to form an alliance with the ruling Malay party, having personally experienced the bitterness of leading PAS after UMNO ejected it from the ruling BN coalition.... http://www.todayonline.com/world/death-nik-aziz-deals-fresh-blow-malaysian-opposition?singlepage=true

Analysts have been and continue to watch for signs of policy and opinion trend lines between PAS and UMNO, especially since the Selangor Menteri Besar tussle. One of the key things to look out for is the redelienation exercise. BN/UMNO is strong in the semi-urban and rural sector, able to secure a good majority despite losing the popular vote to the opposition coalition (and lost most of its seats in the urban sector). Despite this success in the May 2013 General Election, the Pakatan Rakyat / opposition coalition has ben rendered asunder (inter party and intra-party) since with no leaders meeting in over six months, until the eve of Anwar Ibrahim's 5 year jail sentence for sodomy.

No objection from Sarawak PAS as deadline on redelineation passes BY DESMOND DAVIDSON Published: 4 February 2015 6:25 PM; Sarawak PAS is the only opposition party to have missed the deadline to file any objection against the Election Commission's proposed redelineation of the state's electoral map.... The party met last Saturday, a mere five days to the 4.30pm deadline of submission today, to scrutinise the EC's proposal and piece together their objections. PAS state commissioner Adam Ahid, when contacted today, said that they had planned to file an objection on how the electoral boundary to the Sadong Jaya state seat was drawn but could not find the 100 voters needed to validify the objection. ...  The support of 100 voters in the constituency is a mandatory requirement.... http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/no-objection-from-sarawak-pas-as-deadline-on-redelineation-passes#sthash.Q2fx9xDx.dpuf


A legal specialist contact (from outside Malaysia) said much the same to me the other night - that the legal . He felt the legal points were made and the key issue is in the evidence from the police..... that the hands (of the 5 judges) were tied, and it was the facts not the law that did Anwar in, but some lawyers point out the judges ignored key evidence and credibility issues.

Shafee throws down the gauntlet to Anwar’s supporters  By Farrah Naz Karim and Hidir Reduan - 13 February 2015 @ 1:00 PM; KUALA LUMPUR: THE man who on Tuesday secured Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim’s conviction for sodomising his former aide, Mohd Saiful Bukhari Azlan, threw down the gauntlet to those questioning the merits of the win, and to argue their case with him, purely on facts.... Tan Sri Dr Muhammad Shafee Abdullah, the lead prosecutor in the sodomy case, singled out several parties he said had taken been taking potshots from the periphery of the case to cast aspersions over the Federal Court’s decision to uphold the Court of Appeal’s decision to sentence conviction Anwar to of and the five years’ jail term for Anwar.... http://www.nst.com.my/node/72823

 Senior Aussie lawyer says judges in Anwar trial ignored evidence Published: 14 February 2015 3:43 PM; A senior Australian advocate who attended the recent Federal Court proceeding of Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim's sodomy appeal has criticised the guilty verdict, saying the judges ignored key evidence and credibility issues surrounding the complainant. "In reaching these conclusions the court rejected or ignored the evidence that raised serious doubts about the reliability of so-called independence evidence and the credibility of the complainant," said Queen's Council, Mark Trowell. Trowell, who wrote a book on the case, observed the trial on behalf of Geneva-based Inter-Parliamentary Union, LAWASIA and the Law Council of Australia..... http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/senior-aussie-lawyer-says-judges-in-anwar-trial-ignored-evidence#sthash.GPJ7LZy8.dpuf

11 February 2015: Losing Anwar a blow, but can opposition reorient around principles instead of personalities and tame Islamic extremists? Bloomberg editorial.

Conclusion and suggestion: Losing the charismatic Anwar will be at least a temporary blow to his fractious coalition. But if party leaders can reorient themselves around principles instead of personalities -- and tame the Islamic extremists in their own camp -- they will greatly strengthen their appeal as a viable alternative to the ruling coalition. Whatever their politics, Malaysians would benefit from a genuine contest of ideas....

Malaysia's Politics of Intolerance By  The Editors  Feb 10, 2015 6:45 PM EST; The five-year jail sentence imposed today on Malaysian opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim effectively ends his political career. The greater loss, however, will be to Malaysia's politics and economy if Prime Minister Najib Razak's intolerance continues.... Najib's government has greatly increased its use of the Malaysian courts for essentially political ends; according to Amnesty International, since 2013 at least 44 people have been investigated, charged or convicted under the colonial-era Sedition Act, which Najib once promised to repeal. (Anwar's conviction was for sodomy, though the case was highly politicized.) The prime minister has given Malaysians all too much reason to doubt the credibility of their judiciary.... Najib's broader efforts to shore up his political position are dragging the country backward. Buffeted by criticism from former Prime Minister Mahathir Bin Mohamad for his stewardship of 1MDB -- a government investment fund with murky finances -- he has sought to placate hard-liners within the ruling party with retrograde policies. He's redoubled support for racial preferences for Malay citizens and businesses and urged government-linked companies to give more contracts to ethnic Malays "on merit." He hasn't decisively confronted a rising tide of Islamism, nor rebuked one of his ministers who called for a boycott of Chinese-owned businesses.... As commodity prices plunge around the world, the country desperately needs to move further into downstream production in everything from energy to palm oil. It needs to spur entrepreneurship to invigorate its services sector..... Now, with Anwar deposed and new elections not due until 2018, Najib may feel he has more to fear from his own hard-liners than from the opposition.... Losing the charismatic Anwar will be at least a temporary blow to his fractious coalition. But if party leaders can reorient themselves around principles instead of personalities -- and tame the Islamic extremists in their own camp -- they will greatly strengthen their appeal as a viable alternative to the ruling coalition. Whatever their politics, Malaysians would benefit from a genuine contest of ideas.... http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-02-10/malaysian-opposition-needs-to-regroup-to-fight-najib

Penang Umno: We’re ready for Permatang Pauh by-election Published: February 10, 2015 08:45 PM : http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/penang-umno-were-ready-for-permatang-pauh-by-election#sthash.o02dwTbJ.dpuf


10 February 2015: Anwar convicted for 5 years in "sodomy II" after losing final appeal, who will be new Pakatan Rakyat / opposition coalition leader?

Sodomy II: Pakatan Rakyat to meet tonight; Updated: Tuesday February 10, 2015 MYT 3:40:00 PM
PETALING JAYA: Pakatan Rakyat leaders are expected to deliberate the future of the alliance following Federal Court's conviction to sentence Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim five years behind bars for sodomy.... DAP national organising secretary Anthony Loke said the emergency meeting would be held after a fundraising dinner for flood victims organised by PAS at MBPJ Civic Centre tonight.
"However, the question on who is taking over (the opposition leader position) can only be decided at a Pakatan leadership council meeting," said the Seremban MP when contacted.... http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2015/02/10/Sodomy-2-Pakatan-Rakyat-to-decide/

8 February 2015: Anwar's last PR Leadership Council (first in about 6 months); facing sodomy final appeal ruling on 10 Feb

Will this be Anwar's last PR Leadership Council meeting? by Astro Awani | Updated: February 08, 2015;  Mustafa when met by reporters, said the meeting is expected to discuss various issues including hudud implementation in Kelantan and local council elections in Penang. KUALA LUMPUR: The Pakatan Rakyat Leadership Council today began with all top leaders of the pact attending the much awaited meeting. The meeting was among others, attended by DAP leaders Lim Kit Siang, Lim Guan Eng, Gobind Singh Deo and PAS leaders Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang and Datuk Mustafa Ali.... Mustafa when met by reporters, said the meeting is expected to discuss various issues including hudud implementation in Kelantan and local council elections in Penang. Opposition leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim who arrived at 1.57pm at the PAS headquarters for the meeting, will know his fate on his sodomy case on Tuesday. The Federal Court will announce the much-awaited verdict on Anwar's final appeal against his conviction and five-year jail sentence for sodomising his former aide Mohd Saiful Bukhari Azlan, seven years ago.... http://english.astroawani.com/politics-news/will-be-anwars-last-pr-leadership-council-meeting-53563?cp

6 February 2015: DAP continues to push for local council polls suspended 50 years ago, expects majority of local councilors would be Malay - DAP eyes 10% of local councils (based on its analysis of majority non-Malay units)?

Political parties with big war chests and political ground troops would also be better able to contest. This would help push the ante on political parties gathering more funds - which is widely perceived to be linked to land development projects, whether for property, agro-forestry etc. The question of political party funding is therefore quite linked to the idea of having more elections that will surely cost more.

Impossible for Malays to lose political power in local council polls, forum told BY SHERIDAN MAHAVERA Published: 6 February 2015 8:55 AM; It would be impossible for Malays to lose political power if elections for local authorities were to be reinstated as they form the majority in 90% of all city, municipal and district councils in the country, DAP parliamentary leader Lim Kit Siang told a forum in Kuala Lumpur last night. He said if local government elections were brought back after being suspended 50 years ago, it is estimated that an overwhelming majority of local councillors would be Malay. This feature of the country’s demographics, which was revealed at the forum titled, “Will local government elections erode Malay rights”, negates the argument put forth by Umno, Malay supremacists and some PAS leaders that local government elections would worsen ethnic divisions..... Lim said that of the 150 local governments in the country, only three or 2% had Chinese-majority populations. "About 13 local authorities had plural populations where no race formed a clear majority," said Lim, who is also Gelang Patah MP......  http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/impossible-for-malays-to-lose-political-power-in-local-council-polls-forum#sthash.ETDUo5OS.dpuf

5 February 2015: Dr Mahathir fears annual flooding unless deforestation is halted, says Malaysia needs reduce illegal felling and also reduce legal logging - a Kelantan flood disaster critique

Note: The recent flood may be one of the large impacts of the policy for small-scale logging / agro-forestry projects. Specialists note that the small sizes mean that EIA / environmental impact analysis is not required.

Dr Mahathir: Malaysia can do without logging by neville spykerman  Updated: Thursday February 5, 2015 MYT 7:58:18 AM; KEPONG: Authorities should not only look to reducing the illegal felling of trees but logging in general if they want to avoid devastating floods, said former prime minister Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad.... He feared the floods would be an annual occurrence if nothing was done to stop deforestation.... “We have many sources of wealth in the country which do not cause environmental degradation and if we reduce even legal logging we will stand to benefit more,” he said when unveiling the National Heritage plaque at the Forest Research Institute Malaysia (FRIM).... Dr Mahathir said that deforestation was a main cause of the devastating east coast floods recently. “Of course there are other factors (that cause the floods) but this is one of them,” he said..... http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2015/02/05/Dr-Mahathir-Malaysia-can-do-without-logging/

1 February 2015: Selangor controversial Kidex project not in MBPJ council plan (but obviously must have been supported by key politicians??); Anwar appeals for Pakatan Rakyat unity (council has not met in over 6 months).

Council did not scrap Kidex, state has final say, says PJ councillor BY MELATI A. JALIL Published: 1 February 2015 4:09 PM The greenlight for the Kidex Highway lies with the Selangor state government despite facing strong opposition from residents in the affected areas. – The Malaysian Insider pic, February 1, 2015.The final decision on the controversial Kinrara-Damansara Expressway (Kidex) lies with the Selangor state government, said Petaling Jaya City Council (MBPJ) councillor Lee Suet Sen, as the deadline approaches for the highway developer to meet the three conditions set by the state. Lee said MBPJ only decided not to include the project in the draft plan for the city, following an analysis by an independent consultant on the matter. “The decision of the full council meeting in February last year stays... MBPJ has rejected Kidex to be included in the local plan then,” he said, adding that there is no indication to insert the project into the draft plan. - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/council-did-not-scrap-kidex-state-has-final-say-says-pj-councillor#sthash.aqSyJUVa.dpuf

Anwar appeals for Pakatan unity ahead of sodomy verdict on February 10 BY JAMILAH KAMARUDIN Published: 1 February 2015 11:33 AM PKR de facto leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim says all Pakatan Rakyat parties must come together for a discussion before February 10, when the Federal Court is due to deliver its verdict on his sodomy appeal. – The Malaysian Insider pic by Seth Akmal, February 1, 2015.With uncertainty over the Federal Court's verdict on Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim's second sodomy case, the opposition leader today appealed to DAP and PAS to stop their public bickering over issues and find solutions. The PKR de facto leader said all Pakatan Rakyat parties must come together for a discussion before February 10, when the apex court is due to deliver its verdict on his sodomy appeal. "I appeal to them, be patient and bring all disputes to the discussion table. We ought to meet before February 10.... "Unfortunately, we still don't have an agreement on the date," he said after speaking at an international youth conference in Kuala Lumpur today. Allies DAP and PAS have been in a media war over first, implementation of hudud or Islamic penal code, and lately, over restoring local council elections. The PR leadership council also has not met in more than six months. - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/anwar-appeals-for-pakatan-unity-ahead-of-sodomy-verdict-on-february-10#sthash.35YxV9Xt.dpuf

19 January 2015: Malaysia flood 2014 - deforestation question examined

 On the front page of The Sun today (image of Gua Musang area, Kelantan):


Youtube on deforestation seen in Google Maps for Kelantan: http://youtu.be/lvT64KtUEcM; Published on Dec 29, 2014... Kemusnahan hutan di Kelantan untuk tujuan Pembalakan atau Pertanian adalah dalam skala yang begitu dahsyat sekali. Kemusnahan kawasan tadahan semulajadi ini tidak dapat kita nafikan merupakan salah satu punca kepada banjir. Video ini saya rakam dari google earth menyusuri dari sungai kelantan di kota bharu naik ke hulu sehingga ke Lojing bersempadan dengan Perak.


12 January 2015: PAS reminds DAP it needs Malay and rural vote for wider electoral success

DAP will not succeed without us, says PAS  by Malaysiakini  12:17PM Jan 12, 2015
As an emboldened DAP appears ready to burn bridges with PAS over various disagreements including hudud, the Islamic party today reminded DAP that it cannot win the federal government alone..... http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/286058

5 January 2015: Kuala Krai badly hit, volunteer points to lack of central crisis coordination

In KL, we heard from a friend whose company's business had to shut about 10 branchhes during the floods - Gua Musang and Kuala Krai were worse, with the Kuala Krai branch flooded to the ceiling (look at the flood water line in the picture in the Malaysian Insider piece below). Also, a relative with business near Gua Musang received on-the-ground reports of flood waters rising 3 feet per hour at one stage.

Not just another monsoon: where is the leadership? BY JULES ONG, SPECIAL TO THE MALAYSIAN INSIDER Published: 5 January 2015........On the stretch from Gua Musang to Kuala Krai, the disaster got increasingly worse from Manek Urai onwards. About 30km into Kuala Krai town, the extent of the damaged revealed itself in greater severity on either side of the road. Houses swept away with only foundations and their cement stairs left. Further down, mounds of debris of what used to be homes. Trees uprooted, palm oil plantations destroyed. River banks that was inundated left dead and decaying trees all covered in silt. Everything was the yellow ocher colour of silt... She said in Kuala Krai, the current was so strong, their boats to bring aid in had capsized. That corresponded with what we saw after the water subsided – the extent of the damage caused by forceful moving mass of water. If it had come from the sea, it would have been called a tsunami. What I saw with my own eyes reminded me of post-tsunami in Aceh.... Kuala Krai town looked bombed out. It was covered in silt, and stank in some stretches. No water, no electricity. Shops were damaged, goods destroyed by water and silt. Mounts of debris and discarded items piled on the roadside. People were not sure whether to clean up or to wait for the next wave of floods. Again, there was no information of what to expect and how to respond. Elected representatives appeared to be more interested in showing themselves holding babies, delivering sacks of rice with their faces on them, rather than providing much-needed central coordination and useful information. In such a situation, a normal, functioning government would create a central crisis coordination centre that would provide (or attempt to provide as best it can)... http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/not-just-another-monsoon-where-is-the-leadership#sthash.ana2Vmvu.dpuf

4 January 2015: Flood disaster aid distribution questions. Land deals impacts for Geography 101 analysis of the flood? Hudud angst roils opposition with an open war of words.

The flood has been tragic and exacted a great toll on key parts of the east coast states of the Peninsula. It is possible that studies of land deals (and the key land brokers), satellite imagery of land conversion impacts, infrastructure (including drainage systems and siltation thereof) will emerge over time - studies of the human contribution to the flood severity. It is a fact that Malaysian state revenues are quite dependent on land deals / development projects. Land matters are entirely in the hands of state authorities.

As in many human disaster situations, the war of words starts early on. This has the added twists of racial-religious politics. A PAS leader has said the flooding tragedy in his state is a message from above to push for hudud (strict penalties in an Islamic criminal justice system). This was supposed to go to a special state legislature vote on 29 December 2014 - but it was prevented by the flood situation. (Some say this may also be considered a message from above NOT to proceed with the hudud vote...; "PAS's Pakatan Rakyat ally DAP has warned that ties with the Islamist party will further deteriorate if it was adamant about convening the state assembly sitting, with veteran opposition leader Lim Kit Siang saying he did not see any reason to attend future meetings of the coalition. PKR, on the other hand, said it had yet to decide whether to support the amendment, and preferred to first see the draft...." - refer to newslink below). Others question stewardship and governing ability in the flood disaster.


Donation info:

We also added some essential items donated at our local shopping mall collection for flood victim relief help.

Here's some more info from news website....

Malaysians respond to flood relief call Updated: Sunday December 28, 2014 MYT 7:32:46 AM;
The collection is from 9.30am to 5.30pm daily at Menara Star at Phileo Damansara 2, Jalan 16/11 here.... Other collection centres are at the Firefly Biz Lounge in Skypark Subang Terminal and Firefly airport ticketing centres at the Sultan Ismail Petra Airport in Kota Baru and the Penang International Airport.... The victims urgently need mats, blankets, towels, diapers, sanitary pads, cooking oil, bottled water, milk powder, sugar, rice and canned food. Donors are advised to label the boxes or bags of the items in the boxes that they drop off at the collection centres.... Cheques and bank drafts should be addressed to “Malaysian Red Crescent Society” and marked “The Star-MRCS-Firefly Relief Fund” on the back or bank transfers to Malaysian Red Crescent Society Maybank account 5144-2210-7228.... For updates on The Star’s collection centre and the relief fund, log on to www.thestar.com.my; http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2014/12/28/Malaysians-respond-to-flood-relief-call/

News links:

In Temerloh, villagers ‘not on the list’ appeal to NGOs for supplies as village chiefs cherry pick recipients BY MELISSA CHI  Published: January 3, 2015 04:02 PM; While authorities handling the rescue and aid distribution operations in Temerloh said they have enough resources to send supplies to evacuees as well as those trapped in their houses, hiccups at the village level are preventing some families from receiving them.... Housewife Hashimah Abdul Halim from Kampung Lubuk Kawah said ample supplies had been given to the village chief to be distributed but her family as well as many others did not receive any as their names were “not on the list”. “Thank god we have enough supplies as aid was sent in about three times since the flooding began. “But most of the time they were from NGOs. The government only sent once and they only gave us one kilo of rice,” she told Malay Mail Online outside her home yesterday.... Abdul Razak Hassan from Kampung Baru Bintang said yesterday was the second day of cleaning the house and his four children, including a 14-month-old baby, wife and mother who is in her 70s will finally get to sleep there after being away for six days. The 39-year-old said his family had barely enough to eat on the first day at the evacuation centre but supplies began to flow steadily after that. He even got some supplies to take home with him when he left yesterday. He noted though that the clean-up process would be challenging as all the ATM machines in Temerloh are still underwater and the nearest petrol station had run out of gas. “I have to get a ride to Jengka or Kuantan to get supplies,” he said.... http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/in-temerloh-villagers-not-on-the-list-appeal-to-ngos-for-supplies-as-villag#sthash.zTGcctHP.dpuf




Kelantan postpones hudud sitting as floods worsen Published: 27 December 2014 Kelantan Menteri Besar Datuk Ahmad Yakob says a new date for the special sitting will be announced later. – The Malaysian Insider file pic, December 27, 2014.Worsening floods have prompted the Kelantan government to postpone the state legislative assembly's special sitting on Monday to pave the way for the enforcement of hudud in the state, The Star reported. Menteri Besar Datuk Ahmad Yakob made the announcement today, and said all assemblymen were busy assisting their constituents affected by the floods in their respective areas, the daily reported. He said a new date for the sitting would be announced later.... Monday's sitting was planned to amend Kelantan's Shariah Criminal Code Enactment II, part of a move to pave the way for a private member's bill in Parliament in order to enforce the Islamic penal code in the east coast state.....PAS's Pakatan Rakyat ally DAP has warned that ties with the Islamist party will further deteriorate if it was adamant about convening the state assembly sitting, with veteran opposition leader Lim Kit Siang saying he did not see any reason to attend future meetings of the coalition. PKR, on the other hand, said it had yet to decide whether to support the amendment, and preferred to first see the draft....  http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/kelantan-postpones-hudud-sitting-as-floods-worsen#sthash.DFkQhz7M.dpuf

A note to self-righteous politicians – Hannah Yeoh; Published: 2 January 2015;... Recently, when an MP claimed that the east coast floods were intended to remind the people about the necessity to impose hudud, my heart cannot be more stirred. No eye has seen, no ear has heard and no human mind has conceived the plans of God for Malaysia.... How can anyone say with absolute certainty that disasters (whether man-made or otherwise) are God’s wrath to punish mankind? What if it is just a case of bad stewardship? As though it is not enough when leaders use racial politics to conceal corruption, it is more appalling when God is used as an excuse to justify leaders’ inability to govern..... http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/sideviews/article/a-note-to-self-righteous-politicians-hannah-yeoh#sthash.a8E4IwEk.dpuf

MetMalaysia: Monsoon surge to hit Malaysia next week Published: January 3, 2015 08:47 PM
This aerial view shows houses and plantations submerged in floodwaters in Pengkalan Chepa, near Kota Baru, Kelantan, on December 28, 2014..... KUALA LUMPUR, Jan 3 — The Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) anticipates monsoon surge to begin on January 7 or 8, with possible continuous heavy rainfall up to three days over certain states, especially Johor, Sabah and Sarawak....

3 January 2015: In aftermath of floods some urge PAS-UMNO unity

Curb ethnic Chinese power with PAS-Umno unity government in Kelantan, says ex-CJ Published: January 3, 2015 11:52 AM; KUALA LUMPUR, Jan 3 — The heavy floods in Kelantan should spur the state government, led by PAS to unite with its Malay brethren in Umno to curb the alleged rise of Chinese political power, according to former Chief Justice Tun Abdul Hamid Mohamad. In a letter penned to Utusan Malaysia, Abdul Hamid said PAS should emulate Acheh’s move to co-operate with Jakarta after the northern Sumatran province — which was fighting for an independent Islamic state — was hit by a tsunami in 2006, resulting in the death of close to one million people...... Abdul Hamid said the PAS-Umno rivalry split the Malays and gave minorities, especially the Chinese, the chance to exploit the situation. “In essence, because of Malay division, the non-Malays, especially the Chinese, are consolidating their political power”. - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/curb-ethnic-chinese-power-with-pas-umno-unity-government-in-kelantan-says-e#sthash.hM2Vy6J5.dpuf


Ku Li, enough of talk, be part of the solution Malaysiakini (subscription)  - ‎4 hours ago‎ 
YOURSAY ‘Make 2015 an exemplary year of at least one good BN leader.’ Telestai!: Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah (Ku Li) is one of the very few Umno politicians willing to face the truth. The country is indeed going backwards because Umno is desperately clinging on to power by resorting to the 3R politics (race, religion and royalty)..... http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/285208

3 January 2015: Malay Unity and the Pakatan Rakyat opposition coalition problem - 2015 outlook

Since 2008, DAP has seen successful expansionism and electoral gains. In contrast, political analysts widely report that there is a ground feeling within PAS of dissatisfaction: it has not gained enough while being part of the Pakatan Rakyat (PR) opposition coalition. Some feel it has subjugated its Islamic principles and policies for a lacklustre national electoral performance. PAS won 23 parliamentary seats in 2008 and in 2013 they had 21; DAP had 28 seats in 2008 and it moved aggressively up to get 38 seats in the 2013 national polls. PKR had 31 in 2008 and dipped to 30 in 2013. The success of DAP has significantly outpaced that of its partners. This has indirectly raised concerns. Such numbers matter. This has allowed PAS hard-liners to argue a return to more Islamic thinking. However, if this happens, there is concern that they could end up with its pre-2008 national political outcomes. Could it return itself to a purely single northern state party? PAS had 8 parliamentary seats in 2004. The challenge for PR is how PKR and PAS can gain seats. In the touchy multi-ethnic plural society of Malaysia, having a more equal balance of power within the PR opposition matters a lot.

Malay Unity talk is out there. Analysts also reckon there is a risk that the electoral boundary redelineation may attract individual parties to try to expand their seat numbers via this method. One of the anticipated risky moves mooted is PAS seeking more rural seats in a deal by voting in Parliament with Barisan Nasional (BN)/UMNO to increase total Parliamentary seats. Currently BN can count on 134 seats but needs 147 seats (the minimum required 2/3rd majority in a 222 Parliament) to amend the Federal Constitution to increase Parliamentary seats. However, analyst thinking is that this move may earn PAS a token handful of new rural seats, but PAS would then be at risk to the loss of its urban seats from urban voters backlash (i.e. a net loss). Bottom-line: the cost-benefit of any opposition party, especially PAS, making such a move may be negative for itself in particular, and the PR opposition coalition in general.

Furthermore, once BN / UMNO has gained what it needs out of the redelineation, it is likely to recalculate its partnerships. Key question: can BN component parties accept PAS as a formal/informal partner? Would Malay Unity (UMNO + PAS) over the upcoming redelineation be just an ephemeral convenience (for gain of BN/UMNO)? The feelings of the Sabah and Sarawak BN component parties (MCA regarded as irrelevant) will be of concern in this form of Malay Unity.

2015 will likely be a challenging year for the PR opposition coalition, already reeling from the Selangor Menteri Besar episode in late 2014 (read about it here: /khoryuleng/2014/07/malaysia-opposition-in-crisis.html). The irony of all this, is that a tough looking economic outlook for Malaysia in 2015: a) GST from April and lower bank credit growth (in 5-10% range from 15-20% in recent years; on a high level of household debt) is expected to challenge consumers and  b) lower commodity prices impacts. All PR needs to do in 2015 is to run their states well / better and sit passively together to gain from potential economic headwinds and apparent Najib political woes within UMNO (in a "race, religion, royalty" mode?). However, politicians don't often make decisions that analysts expect. Let's see!

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